Luis Ghisays
P
ACL Cubs
Age 20
RHP
5'11" / 188 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.29
FIP5.29
K%15.6%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 11 | 11 | 35 | 158 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 3.2 | 13.8% | 15.0% | -1.3% | 3.4% | 6.37 | 5.69 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 11 | 11 | 35 | 158 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 3.2 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 6.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 49 | 210 | 51 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.1 | 16.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.22 | 4.86 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 49 | 210 | 51 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.1 | 24.3% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 4.22 | 3.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 13 | 1 | 22 | 102 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 8% | 1.7 | 14.7% | 14.7% | -0.0% | 5.5% | 7.06 | 6.74 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.29 | 5.29 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 48 | 215 | 40 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 18.5% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 6.08 | 5.94 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 28 | 119 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 4.67 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 87 | 29 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 24 | 106 | 470 | 71 | 59 | 18 | 67% | 2.9 | 15.2% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 5.55 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 45 | 200 | 887 | 135 | 111 | 35 | 67% | 2.9 | 15.2% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 5.55 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Ghisays (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.29 | 15.6% | 11.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.05 | 17.1% | 6.2% | 28 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 89 |
| Trent Fennell R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.5% | 12.5% | 1.9% | .317 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 7.5% | 89 | -0.24 | 3.88 | 163 | 86 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 84 |
| Nicholas Economos R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.95 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .233 | 5.28 | 10.4% | 0.6% | 57 | +0.33 | 4.58 | 223 | 84 |
| Adriel Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.27 | 14.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 117 | 83 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 83 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 83 |
| Sasagi Sanchez R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.42 | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.54 | 12.7% | 4.0% | 108 | +0.12 | 3.48 | 180 | 83 |
| Damian Mendoza R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .371 | 4.50 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 178 | -0.16 | 2.73 | 314 | 83 |
| Alain Pena R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .222 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 3.5% | 190 | +0.41 | 3.66 | 265 | 83 |
| Chad Bryant R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.96 | 12.8% | 13.3% | 2.3% | .345 | 5.27 | 14.4% | -4.5% | 49 | +0.31 | 3.93 | 136 | 82 |
| Luis Carias R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .391 | 6.21 | 20.0% | -2.8% | 64 | +1.12 | 4.07 | 157 | 82 |
| Henry Valencio R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.15 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .293 | 5.11 | 11.9% | -11.9% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.48 | 136 | 82 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 82 |
| Jonawel Valdez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.20 | 17.5% | 13.8% | 1.5% | .309 | 4.62 | 12.4% | 1.1% | 70 | +0.42 | 4.04 | 131 | 82 |
| Kristian Cardozo R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.98 | 16.3% | 13.5% | 2.8% | .358 | 7.24 | 13.6% | -4.3% | 15 | +2.26 | 3.49 | 138 | 82 |
| Maiker Manuel R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .278 | 4.62 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 51 | +0.06 | 4.56 | 148 | 82 |
| Weskendry Espinosa R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.6% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .368 | 4.11 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 78 | -0.90 | 2.98 | 147 | 81 |
| Ruben Galindo R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.13 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .345 | 3.57 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 149 | -1.56 | 2.91 | 239 | 81 |
| Julio Goff R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.80 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .364 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 207 | +0.04 | 4.43 | 251 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 16.4% | 11.2% | 1.16 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |