Jonathan Petit — OGILVIE

Jonathan Petit P Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 174 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%19.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	12	8	44	167	41	5	1	67%	3.6	16.7%	3.7%	13.0%	1.0%	2.27	2.70	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	12	8	44	167	41	5	1	67%	3.6	24.6%	3.0%	21.6%	0.6%	2.27	1.86	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	11	6	32	138	33	10	3	55%	2.9	16.3%	9.1%	7.2%	3.2%	4.50	4.64	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	11	6	32	138	33	10	3	55%	2.9	23.9%	7.2%	16.7%	2.2%	4.50	3.19	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	21	17	81	357	76	33	10	81%	3.8	15.8%	10.9%	4.8%	3.6%	5.24	5.15	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	21	17	81	357	76	33	10	81%	3.8	15.8%	10.9%	4.8%	3.6%	5.24	5.15	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	21	17	81	357	76	33	10	81%	3.8	21.3%	9.2%	12.0%	2.8%	5.24	4.05	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	15.1%	18.8%	-3.7%	1.5%	9.39	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	15.1%	18.8%	-3.7%	1.5%	9.39	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	21.2%	16.6%	4.7%	1.6%	9.39	4.48	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	PHI	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.2%	13.8%	5.4%	3.0%	5.23	5.23	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	33	0	34	146	29	19	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	3.0%	5.11	5.10	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	14	0	15	63	13	8	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	3.0%	5.11	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	8	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	3.0%	5.11	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	108	27	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	3.0%	5.11	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		70	33	195	855	136	94	22	47%	2.8	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.27	4.56	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	34	200	878	139	97	23	47%	2.8	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.27	4.56	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Petit (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	19.2%	13.8%	3.0%	—	5.10	20.1%	6.8%	34	-0.13	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	80
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	79
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	78
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	76
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	76
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	75
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	75
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	75
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	75
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	74
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	74
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	74
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	74
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	73
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	73
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.30	22.5%	7.6%	102	-0.46	3.74	283	73
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	19.7%	13.5%	1.15	5.16
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84