Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 12 | 8 | 44 | 167 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 67% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 3.7% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 2.27 | 2.80 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 12 | 8 | 44 | 167 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 67% | 3.6 | 24.6% | 3.0% | 21.6% | 0.6% | 2.27 | 1.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 11 | 6 | 32 | 138 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 55% | 2.9 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 4.74 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 11 | 6 | 32 | 138 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 55% | 2.9 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 3.19 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 21 | 17 | 81 | 357 | 76 | 33 | 10 | 81% | 3.8 | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.24 | 5.15 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 21 | 17 | 81 | 357 | 76 | 33 | 10 | 81% | 3.8 | 21.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 4.05 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 38 | 193 | 41 | 32 | 3 | 8% | 1.5 | 15.1% | 18.8% | -3.7% | 1.3% | 9.39 | 4.95 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 38 | 193 | 41 | 32 | 3 | 8% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 16.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 9.39 | 4.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 25 | 0 | 27 | 112 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 25 | 0 | 27 | 112 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.10 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 88 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 70 | 33 | 195 | 855 | 136 | 94 | 22 | 47% | 2.8 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.27 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 34 | 200 | 878 | 139 | 97 | 23 | 47% | 2.8 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.27 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Petit (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.48 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 27 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 83 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 79 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 78 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 77 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 77 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 77 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 76 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 75 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 74 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 74 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 74 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 73 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 73 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 73 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 73 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 22.3% | 10.2% | 1.14 | 4.50 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |