Ben Ethridge — OGILVIE

Ben Ethridge P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%17.3%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	25	13	78	323	63	36	4	52%	3.1	14.4%	13.2%	1.3%	1.7%	2.99	4.45	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	25	13	78	323	63	36	4	52%	3.1	14.4%	13.2%	1.3%	1.7%	2.99	4.45	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	25	13	78	323	63	36	4	52%	3.1	19.5%	11.1%	8.4%	1.2%	2.99	3.53	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	34	0	66	280	49	26	10	0%	1.9	13.0%	11.0%	2.0%	4.8%	3.84	6.04	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	34	0	66	280	49	26	10	0%	1.9	13.0%	11.0%	2.0%	4.8%	3.84	6.04	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	34	0	66	280	49	26	10	0%	1.9	17.5%	9.3%	8.2%	3.6%	3.84	4.78	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	MIN	4	0	4	17	3	2	1	0%	1.0	17.3%	11.1%	6.2%	3.1%	5.12	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56	0	59	250	47	27	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.9%	7.8%	3.1%	5.00	4.97	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	58	246	47	27	8	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	3.1%	4.96	4.96	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	24	0	25	106	20	11	3	0%	1.0	18.7%	10.9%	7.8%	3.1%	5.00	4.97	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	35	0	37	156	30	17	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	3.1%	4.96	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	49	28	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.98	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	91	26	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.98	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		59	13	144	603	83	73	19	22%	2.4	13.7%	12.1%	1.6%	3.1%	3.38	5.19	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	18	200	838	115	102	26	22%	2.4	13.7%	12.1%	1.6%	3.1%	3.38	5.19	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Ethridge (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	17.3%	11.1%	3.1%	—	4.97	18.8%	8.0%	117	-0.15	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	92
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	86
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	84
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	83
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	82
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	82
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	82
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	82
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	81
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	81
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	81
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	81
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	80
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	80
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	18.4%	10.9%	1.20	5.02
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43