Ben Ethridge
P
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 105
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%21.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 25 | 13 | 78 | 323 | 63 | 36 | 4 | 52% | 3.1 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.99 | 4.48 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 25 | 13 | 78 | 323 | 63 | 36 | 4 | 52% | 3.1 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 2.99 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 34 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 49 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.9 | 13.0% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 3.84 | 6.15 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 34 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 49 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 3.84 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 43 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 48 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 46 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.19 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 13 | 144 | 603 | 83 | 73 | 20 | 22% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 5.25 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 18 | 200 | 838 | 115 | 102 | 27 | 22% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 5.25 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Ethridge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.57 | 21.8% | 12.2% | 96 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 87 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 86 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 83 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 83 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 80 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 79 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 79 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 79 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.10 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .284 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 14.3% | 84 | -1.69 | 3.41 | 368 | 79 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 79 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 79 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 79 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 48 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 1.21 | 4.59 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |