Jake Madden — OGILVIE

Jake Madden P Spokane Indians

Age 24 RHP 6'6" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%18.6%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	20	20	79	373	80	48	11	100%	4.0	15.9%	15.2%	0.7%	3.2%	5.90	5.46	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	20	20	79	373	80	48	11	100%	4.0	15.9%	15.2%	0.7%	3.2%	5.90	5.46	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	20	20	79	373	80	48	11	100%	4.0	21.4%	12.9%	8.6%	2.9%	5.90	4.70	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	51	224	43	26	2	0%	1.5	14.1%	15.2%	-1.1%	1.3%	3.71	4.57	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	51	224	43	26	2	0%	1.5	14.1%	15.2%	-1.1%	1.3%	3.71	4.57	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	51	224	43	26	2	0%	1.5	19.2%	11.6%	7.6%	0.9%	3.71	3.45	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	2	0	4	14	4	2	0	0%	1.8	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.50	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	2	0	4	14	4	2	0	0%	1.8	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.50	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	2	0	4	14	4	2	0	0%	1.8	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	COL	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.8%	4.8%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	44	0	46	196	39	24	6	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.3%	7.4%	2.9%	5.05	4.97	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	44	0	46	196	40	24	6	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.93	4.89	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	19	0	20	84	17	10	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.3%	7.4%	2.9%	5.05	4.97	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30	0	31	131	27	16	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	12.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.93	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	51	215	43	26	6	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	102	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		55	20	134	611	95	93	15	36%	2.4	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	2.5%	4.90	5.06	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	30	200	912	142	138	22	36%	2.4	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	2.5%	4.90	5.06	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Madden (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	18.6%	13.8%	2.9%	—	4.93	20.1%	7.9%	93	-0.34	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	83
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	81
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	80
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	79
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	78
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	78
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	78
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	78
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	77
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	77
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	77
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	76
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	76
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	76
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	76
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	76
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	19.7%	12.6%	1.13	5.06
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77