Noah Hall — OGILVIE

Noah Hall P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%18.1%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%1.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	5	13	65	12	10	2	100%	2.6	15.1%	17.0%	-1.8%	3.1%	9.69	5.65	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	5	13	65	12	10	2	100%	2.6	15.1%	17.0%	-1.8%	3.1%	9.69	5.65	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	5	13	65	12	10	2	100%	2.6	18.5%	15.4%	3.1%	3.1%	9.69	5.56	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	25	21	113	475	115	63	6	84%	4.5	18.6%	15.3%	3.4%	1.5%	2.72	4.27	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	25	21	113	475	115	63	6	84%	4.5	18.6%	15.3%	3.4%	1.5%	2.72	4.27	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	25	21	113	475	115	63	6	84%	4.5	24.2%	13.3%	10.9%	1.3%	2.72	3.43	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	26	23	123	564	134	73	17	88%	4.7	18.6%	14.8%	3.8%	3.7%	5.11	5.43	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	26	23	123	564	134	73	17	88%	4.7	18.6%	14.8%	3.8%	3.7%	5.11	5.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	NYM	19	16	88	403	96	60	8	84%	4.6	23.8%	14.9%	8.9%	2.0%	4.58	4.06	—
2026	25	AA RAW	NYM	7	7	35	161	38	13	9	100%	5.0	23.6%	8.1%	15.5%	5.6%	6.43	5.20	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYM	1	1	6	27	5	4	1	100%	6.4	18.1%	16.8%	1.4%	2.6%	5.48	5.48	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	130	591	139	77	18	—	—	23.5%	13.1%	10.4%	3.0%	5.13	5.43	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	20	20	121	510	96	81	13	100%	6.0	18.8%	15.8%	3.0%	2.6%	5.34	5.33	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	20	20	119	502	95	77	14	100%	6.0	19.0%	15.3%	3.7%	2.7%	5.28	5.29	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYM	19	19	115	487	93	73	14	100%	6.1	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	2.8%	5.28	5.32	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	NYM	18	18	110	465	88	70	14	100%	6.1	18.9%	15.1%	3.8%	3.0%	5.35	5.42	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	NYM	17	17	104	437	81	67	14	100%	6.1	18.5%	15.4%	3.1%	3.2%	5.50	5.60	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	9	9	52	220	41	35	6	100%	5.8	18.8%	15.8%	3.0%	2.6%	5.34	5.33	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	12	12	75	317	60	48	9	100%	6.2	19.0%	15.3%	3.7%	2.7%	5.28	5.29	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYM	14	14	87	367	70	55	10	100%	6.2	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	2.8%	5.28	5.32	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	NYM	15	15	90	380	72	57	11	100%	6.0	18.9%	15.1%	3.8%	3.0%	5.35	5.42	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	NYM	15	15	89	376	70	58	12	100%	5.9	18.5%	15.4%	3.1%	3.2%	5.50	5.60	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	65	392	1656	312	253	48	100%	6.0	18.8%	15.3%	3.6%	2.9%	5.35	5.02	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	159	129	24	100%	6.0	18.8%	15.3%	3.6%	2.9%	5.35	5.02	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		56	49	249	1104	203	167	30	88%	4.4	18.4%	15.1%	3.3%	2.7%	4.27	4.94	-3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	39	200	887	163	134	24	88%	4.4	18.4%	15.1%	3.3%	2.7%	4.27	4.94	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Hall (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	18.1%	16.8%	2.6%	—	5.31	18.9%	3.5%	355	-0.17	—	—	—
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	85
Phillippe Aumont R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	19.6%	18.2%	1.6%	.262	5.01	22.3%	10.4%	64	+0.40	4.61	147	85
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.41	25.9%	11.8%	106	-0.76	3.84	202	85
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	82
Jack Noble R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP	4.42	16.5%	13.1%	1.9%	.258	6.03	20.3%	8.2%	58	+1.61	4.42	125	82
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	81
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	79
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	79
Jamison Hill R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.2%	15.6%	1.8%	.248	5.44	16.0%	6.4%	84	+0.72	4.72	326	79
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.26	15.3%	5.8%	168	+0.83	4.43	239	78
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	78
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.23	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.01	3.57	306	78
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	77
Jarred Cosart R 2015 · 5.07 FIP	25	SP	5.07	15.2%	10.8%	3.4%	.274	4.94	13.1%	-0.5%	132	-0.13	4.10	218	77
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	76
Zach Messinger R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	20.4%	14.3%	3.8%	.278	3.96	17.9%	8.2%	286	-1.30	3.70	466	76
Carlos Hernandez R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	17.4%	15.7%	1.3%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	123	76
Michael Wagner R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.4%	12.3%	1.9%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	149	75
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	75
James Proctor R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	14.0%	12.5%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	109	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	106	18.8%	15.5%	1.09	5.36
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91