Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 12 | 9 | 44 | 188 | 39 | 30 | 4 | 75% | 3.7 | 14.1% | 19.9% | -5.8% | 3.9% | 3.05 | 6.56 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 12 | 9 | 44 | 188 | 39 | 30 | 4 | 75% | 3.7 | 20.7% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 3.05 | 4.54 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 2 | 24 | 120 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 14% | 1.7 | 7.4% | 26.0% | -18.7% | 3.0% | 9.89 | 7.40 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 2 | 24 | 120 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 14% | 1.7 | 10.8% | 20.8% | -10.0% | 1.7% | 9.89 | 6.27 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 10 | 31 | 157 | 30 | 34 | 3 | 83% | 2.6 | 13.0% | 27.1% | -14.1% | 1.7% | 7.84 | 6.39 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 10 | 31 | 157 | 30 | 34 | 3 | 83% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 21.7% | -2.5% | 1.9% | 7.84 | 5.71 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 4 | 34 | 174 | 30 | 33 | 0 | 21% | 1.8 | 12.1% | 23.1% | -11.0% | 0.0% | 7.60 | 5.00 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 4 | 34 | 174 | 30 | 33 | 0 | 21% | 1.8 | 17.2% | 19.0% | -1.7% | 0.0% | 7.60 | 4.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.10 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 101 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 25 | 133 | 639 | 77 | 151 | 14 | 44% | 2.3 | 12.0% | 23.7% | -11.7% | 2.1% | 6.55 | 6.25 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 38 | 200 | 958 | 115 | 227 | 20 | 44% | 2.3 | 12.0% | 23.7% | -11.7% | 2.1% | 6.55 | 6.25 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhonly Taveras (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.48 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 20 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 89 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 84 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 81 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 80 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 80 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 79 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 78 |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 78 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 78 |
| Trayson Kubo R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.01 | 19.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | .450 | 4.86 | 17.7% | 1.4% | 66 | -0.15 | 4.40 | 107 | 78 |
| Yunior Montero R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 78 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 77 |
| Luis Rosario R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 206 | 77 |
| Wander Guante R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.74 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .354 | 5.49 | 14.8% | 3.1% | 255 | +0.75 | 3.83 | 372 | 77 |
| Janser Lara R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.05 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 2.1% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 208 | 77 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 77 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 77 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 77 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 77 |