Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 152 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 70% | 3.5 | 14.8% | 14.8% | -0.0% | 0.7% | 3.89 | 4.14 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 152 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 70% | 3.5 | 21.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 0.7% | 3.89 | 3.13 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 11 | 4 | 41 | 172 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 36% | 3.8 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 0.3% | 3.48 | 3.07 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 11 | 4 | 41 | 172 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 36% | 3.8 | 27.3% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 0.6% | 3.48 | 2.23 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 10 | 4 | 28 | 140 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 2.8 | 16.0% | 18.8% | -2.7% | 2.0% | 6.83 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 10 | 4 | 28 | 140 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 2.8 | 23.6% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 6.83 | 3.93 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 0 | 16 | 87 | 19 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.6% | 30.1% | -15.4% | 1.8% | 3.94 | 6.65 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 0 | 16 | 87 | 19 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 23.0% | -1.1% | 1.1% | 3.94 | 5.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 15 | 120 | 551 | 90 | 94 | 6 | 34% | 2.7 | 16.3% | 17.0% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 25 | 200 | 921 | 150 | 157 | 10 | 34% | 2.7 | 16.3% | 17.0% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aneuris Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 13.5% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 85 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 83 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 81 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 80 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 79 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 79 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 79 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 78 |
| Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 78 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 78 |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 78 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 78 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 77 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 77 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 76 |