Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.2% | 19.7% | 0.5% | 4.4% | 2.81 | 6.29 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 2.81 | 5.10 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 3 | 53 | 239 | 57 | 31 | 3 | 15% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 4.42 | 4.49 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 3 | 53 | 239 | 57 | 31 | 3 | 15% | 2.6 | 23.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 1.3% | 4.42 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 34 | 151 | 44 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 16.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 4.98 | 4.11 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 34 | 151 | 44 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 1.3% | 4.98 | 3.30 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 3 | 45 | 202 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 10% | 1.5 | 18.7% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.44 | 5.17 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 3 | 45 | 202 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 10% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 5.44 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 20% | 1.4 | 31.0% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 20% | 1.4 | 31.0% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 7 | 155 | 690 | 137 | 115 | 15 | 7% | 1.6 | 19.9% | 16.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.59 | 4.71 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 9 | 200 | 890 | 177 | 148 | 19 | 7% | 1.6 | 19.9% | 16.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.59 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Walker Brockhouse (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.63 | 22.3% | 11.9% | 22 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 82 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 80 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 80 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 80 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 79 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 79 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 79 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 394 | 79 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 79 |