Janero Miller
P
FCL Marlins
Age 20
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.2%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 10 | 9 | 28 | 130 | 22 | 22 | 2 | 90% | 2.8 | 11.5% | 21.2% | -9.6% | 2.4% | 7.07 | 6.13 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 10 | 9 | 28 | 130 | 22 | 22 | 2 | 90% | 2.8 | 16.9% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 7.07 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 3 | 28 | 128 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 27% | 2.6 | 22.8% | 18.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 3.49 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 3 | 28 | 128 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 27% | 2.6 | 33.6% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 18 | 80 | 17 | 10 | 2 | — | — | 21.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 4.02 | 4.02 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 24 | 13 | 58 | 267 | 45 | 54 | 5 | 54% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 20.3% | -3.4% | 1.8% | 5.12 | 5.21 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 45 | 200 | 921 | 156 | 187 | 16 | 54% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 20.3% | -3.4% | 1.8% | 5.12 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Janero Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.28 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Hearn L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 80 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 79 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 78 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 77 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 77 |
| Sam Long L 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 76 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 75 |
| Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .262 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 135 | +1.42 | 3.58 | 271 | 74 |
| Johan Simon L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 74 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 74 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 74 |
| Steven Pérez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.56 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 5.01 | 20.2% | 5.6% | 116 | +0.45 | 3.80 | 329 | 74 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 73 |
| Dalton Pence L 2028 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 73 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 73 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 73 |
| Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 72 |
| Josh Simpson L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 72 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 71 |
| Jack Patterson L 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 71 |