Janero Miller — OGILVIE

Janero Miller P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 20 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%22.6%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	10	9	28	130	22	22	2	90%	2.8	11.5%	21.2%	-9.6%	2.3%	7.07	6.05	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	10	9	28	130	22	22	2	90%	2.8	11.5%	21.2%	-9.6%	2.3%	7.07	6.05	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	10	9	28	130	22	22	2	90%	2.8	16.9%	16.9%	0.0%	1.5%	7.07	4.81	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	22.8%	18.6%	4.3%	1.6%	3.49	4.39	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	22.8%	18.6%	4.3%	1.6%	3.49	4.39	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	3	28	128	43	19	2	27%	2.6	33.6%	14.8%	18.8%	1.6%	3.49	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	14	2	13	76	16	15	5	14%	0.9	—	—	—	—	14.21	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	14	2	13	76	16	15	5	14%	0.9	—	—	—	—	14.21	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	MIA	5	1	6	27	7	5	0	20%	1.3	25.9%	18.5%	7.4%	0.0%	0.00	3.26	—
2026	20	A RAW	MIA	9	1	6	49	9	10	5	11%	0.7	18.4%	20.4%	-2.0%	10.2%	28.42	9.73	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	26	0	27	113	26	16	3	0%	1.0	23.1%	14.3%	8.7%	2.9%	5.04	4.93	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	12	0	13	55	13	8	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	14.3%	8.7%	2.7%	4.96	4.85	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	13	8	2	0%	1.0	23.1%	14.3%	8.7%	2.7%	4.96	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	121	30	0%	1.1	23.1%	14.3%	8.7%	2.7%	4.96	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		35	14	69	334	60	66	10	40%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	3.0%	6.91	5.73	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	41	200	968	174	192	29	40%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	3.0%	6.91	5.73	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Janero Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	22.6%	16.6%	2.9%	—	4.93	23.1%	8.7%	27	-0.36	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	78
Oriel Castro L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	20	SW	4.95	19.6%	19.0%	2.0%	.390	5.41	16.3%	-0.1%	41	+0.46	4.63	129	76
Daniel Juarez L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	20	SU	4.75	25.6%	19.2%	2.5%	.170	4.09	21.8%	9.3%	131	-0.66	3.68	221	75
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	75
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	74
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	74
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	74
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	73
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	73
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	72
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	72
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	71
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	71
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.01	223	71
Daniel Gonzalez L 2022 · 5.66 FIP	20	SU	5.66	16.3%	14.0%	3.9%	.310	4.44	23.2%	1.7%	55	-1.22	4.34	136	71
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	70
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	70
Riger Fernandez L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	20	SU	4.61	17.2%	19.5%	0.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	164	70
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	70
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	70