CD Pelham — OGILVIE

CD Pelham P Indianapolis Indians

Age 31 LHP 6'6" / 238 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%22.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.2%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	16	0	18	87	24	13	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	18.7%	0.1%	1.6%	5.40	4.77	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	16	0	18	87	24	13	1	0%	1.1	27.6%	14.9%	12.6%	1.1%	5.40	3.32	—
2017	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	37	0	62	263	75	26	6	0%	1.7	21.1%	11.7%	9.4%	2.9%	3.18	4.39	—
2017	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	37	0	62	263	75	26	6	0%	1.7	28.5%	9.9%	18.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.20	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	57	0	54	252	60	29	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	13.7%	5.8%	0.5%	4.14	3.47	+0.7
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	57	0	54	252	60	29	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	0.4%	4.14	2.73	+1.2
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	32	188	37	38	6	0%	0.8	16.2%	21.9%	-5.7%	3.3%	11.97	6.31	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	32	188	37	38	6	0%	0.8	19.7%	20.2%	-0.5%	3.2%	11.97	6.75	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	41	174	41	25	4	0%	1.4	20.1%	13.2%	6.9%	3.6%	4.35	5.04	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	41	174	41	25	4	0%	1.4	23.6%	14.4%	9.2%	2.3%	4.35	4.19	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	14	64	16	9	1	0%	0.8	25.0%	14.1%	10.9%	1.6%	7.53	3.63	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	14	64	16	9	1	0%	0.8	25.0%	14.1%	10.9%	1.6%	7.53	3.63	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	0	14	64	16	9	1	0%	0.8	25.0%	14.1%	10.9%	1.6%	7.53	3.66	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	45	12	9	0	0%	1.0	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.80	3.38	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	45	12	9	0	0%	1.0	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.80	3.38	—
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	10	45	12	9	0	0%	1.0	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.80	3.40	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	41	0	39	168	47	13	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.5%	14.1%	2.1%	3.43	3.39	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	41	0	39	168	47	13	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.5%	14.1%	2.1%	3.43	3.39	—
2025	30	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	41	0	39	168	47	13	3	0%	1.0	28.0%	7.7%	20.2%	1.8%	3.43	2.69	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			10	0	8	38	7	3	0	0%	0.8	18.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.0%	7.04	2.45	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	45	2	53	217	49	28	2	4%	1.2	18.6%	12.0%	6.6%	1.1%	3.38	3.63	—
YTD	31	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	45	2	53	217	49	28	2	4%	1.2	18.6%	12.0%	6.6%	1.1%	3.38	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AA RAW	PIT	16	0	14	53	15	4	1	0%	0.9	28.3%	7.5%	20.8%	1.9%	3.95	2.70	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	PIT	29	2	40	164	34	24	1	7%	1.4	20.7%	14.6%	6.1%	0.6%	3.18	3.54	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	85	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.1%	13.3%	3.1%	4.35	4.44	+0.0
2027	32	MLB CTX	PIT	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.1%	13.3%	3.1%	4.35	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	15	69	14	6	1	0%	0.9	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	1.4%	5.72	3.23	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		226	0	200	919	185	79	13	0%	0.9	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	1.4%	5.72	3.23	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		294	2	326	1458	293	204	30	1%	1.1	20.1%	14.0%	6.1%	2.0%	4.70	4.29	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		181	1	200	895	180	125	18	1%	1.1	20.1%	14.0%	6.1%	2.0%	4.70	4.29	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
CD Pelham (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	22.8%	8.7%	2.8%	—	4.44	22.5%	13.3%	20	+0.24	—	—	—
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	83
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	82
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	82
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	82
Mike Dunn L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.6%	6.2%	3.0%	.311	4.63	22.4%	8.9%	85	+0.92	3.71	181	81
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	80
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	78
Colt Hynes L 2016 · 3.55 FIP	31	SU	3.55	22.3%	4.8%	3.1%	.353	3.75	14.1%	9.5%	56	+0.20	3.42	152	77
Jorge Ibarra L 2017 · 3.09 FIP	29	SU	3.09	19.3%	6.5%	1.4%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	146	77
Tommy Layne L 2016 · 3.43 FIP	31	SU	3.43	20.3%	9.6%	1.5%	.266	4.25	19.4%	10.0%	90	+0.82	1.32	182	76
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	76
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	75
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	74
Jake Diekman L 2018 · 3.27 FIP	31	SU	3.27	27.2%	11.9%	1.7%	.312	3.41	31.7%	18.8%	144	+0.14	2.36	455	74
Tony Watson L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	21.3%	7.0%	4.0%	.227	3.43	21.4%	16.9%	187	-0.94	2.21	405	74
Marc Rzepczynski L 2017 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	18.2%	10.9%	1.5%	.284	5.47	15.5%	1.4%	67	+1.70	2.73	181	72
Aaron Loup L 2018 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	24.0%	7.7%	2.0%	.364	2.50	25.1%	18.8%	82	-0.66	2.07	363	72
Jake McGee L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	20.7%	6.6%	3.9%	.316	3.59	25.6%	21.2%	121	-0.74	1.39	350	71
Justin Wilson L 2019 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	26.5%	10.8%	2.4%	.290	4.05	22.1%	12.0%	54	+0.49	2.49	420	70
Ryan Buchter L 2018 · 3.54 FIP	31	SU	3.54	25.2%	8.6%	2.7%	.269	4.95	24.3%	12.6%	78	+1.41	2.37	296	70