CD Pelham P Midland RockHounds
+0.3 WAR
Age 31 LHP 6'6" / 238 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.22
FIP4.22
xFIP
SIERA
K%23.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.2%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201520ROKAZL Rangers16018872413118.8%18.7%1.6%5.404.77+0.0
201722AHickory Crawdads370622637526621.1%11.7%2.9%3.184.40+0.4
201823MLBTexas Rangers570542526029119.4%13.7%0.5%4.143.47+0.9
201924AAANashville Sounds420321883738616.2%21.9%3.3%11.976.31-0.5
202227AAAIowa Cubs290411744125420.1%13.2%3.6%4.355.05-0.0
202328AASan Antonio Missions170146416917.53
202429AARocket City Trash Pandas100104512901.80
202530AAMidland RockHounds410391684713322.7%8.5%2.1%3.433.40+0.7
▸ 2026 Season
202631AAMidland RockHounds504156000.00
ROS31MLBOAK31311313012423.2%9.0%2.8%4.224.22+0.3
2026 Total31MLBOAK351463612424.9%8.0%2.5%3.773.77+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202732MLBOAK30301262912422.9%9.1%2.9%4.284.31+0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career254027612562581782720.6%14.2%2.2%4.894.35+3.0
/ 200 IP18402009101871292020.6%14.2%2.2%4.894.35+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
CD Pelham (OGILVIE) 4.22 23.2%9.0%2.8% 4.31 22.9%13.8%30 +0.09
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.68 FIP 31 SU 3.68 20.3%7.1%2.5%.281 2.38 23.3%21.0%44 -1.30 2.38 306 86
Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.80 FIP 31 SU 3.80 22.7%11.9%2.0%.351 5.13 21.5%14.2%18 +1.33 2.37 130 84
Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.70 FIP 31 SU 3.70 21.6%6.2%3.0%.311 4.62 22.4%8.9%85 +0.92 3.70 181 83
Phil Coke L 2028 · 3.85 FIP 33 SU 3.85 18.8%9.1%2.1%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.81 3.04 101 82
Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.70 FIP 31 SW 3.70 25.3%10.4%2.6%.294 2.83 223 80
Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.69 FIP 31 SW 3.69 20.3%6.6%2.7%.296 4.42 20.1%13.1%33 +0.73 3.20 241 80
Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.27 FIP 31 SU 4.27 18.6%9.1%2.9%.354 2.44 124 79
Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP 32 SW 4.73 19.4%7.9%4.1%.320 3.99 19.0%7.6%128 -0.74 3.59 190 79
Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.49 FIP 31 SU 3.49 26.5%10.8%2.3%.290 4.06 22.1%12.0%54 +0.57 2.43 420 78
Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.56 FIP 31 SU 3.56 22.3%4.8%3.1%.353 3.79 14.1%9.5%56 +0.23 3.42 152 77
Jorge Ibarra L 2024 · 3.05 FIP 29 SU 3.05 19.3%6.5%1.4%.351 2.56 146 77
Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.62 FIP 31 SU 3.62 29.2%9.2%3.3%.324 3.62 113 77
Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.27 FIP 31 SW 3.27 27.2%11.9%1.7%.312 3.37 31.7%18.8%144 +0.10 2.32 455 76
Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.27 FIP 31 SU 3.27 20.3%9.6%1.2%.266 4.24 19.4%10.0%90 +0.97 1.32 182 76
Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.68 FIP 29 SW 4.68 20.2%9.6%3.8%.301 2.70 175 76
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.44 FIP 29 SW 4.44 22.4%11.4%3.3%.253 3.52 126 75
Aaron Loup L 2025 · 3.15 FIP 30 SU 3.15 24.0%7.7%2.0%.364 2.52 25.1%18.8%82 -0.63 2.07 363 75
Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.68 FIP 32 SU 4.68 22.7%13.1%3.4%.321 4.72 22.0%7.0%95 +0.04 2.97 294 75
Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.39 FIP 30 SW 3.39 26.9%10.0%2.4%.269 2.98 25.5%18.5%99 -0.41 1.81 421 75
Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 3.59 FIP 31 SU 3.59 25.2%8.6%2.8%.269 4.82 24.3%12.6%78 +1.23 2.37 296 74

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.