CD Pelham P Las Vegas Aviators
Age 31 LHP 6'6" / 238 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97106vR 115
ERA4.21
FIP4.21
K%23.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
K: +0.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -1.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +4.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.59 (56 IP)+0.6WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201520ROKAZL Rangers1601887241310%1.118.8%18.7%0.1%1.6%5.404.77
201520ROKAZL Rangers1601887241310%1.127.6%14.9%12.6%1.1%5.403.32
201722AHickory Crawdads37062263752660%1.721.1%11.7%9.4%2.9%3.184.36
201722AHickory Crawdads37062263752660%1.728.5%9.9%18.6%2.3%3.183.20
201823MIX3 levels57054252602910%1.019.4%13.7%5.8%0.5%4.143.45+0.7
201823MIX3 levels57054252602910%1.023.8%11.5%12.3%0.4%4.142.73+1.2
201924MIX2 levels42032188373860%0.816.2%21.9%-5.7%3.0%11.976.15
201924MIX2 levels42032188373860%0.819.7%20.2%-0.5%3.2%11.976.75
202227MIX2 levels29041174412540%1.420.1%13.2%6.9%3.5%4.355.02
202227MIX2 levels29041174412540%1.423.6%14.4%9.2%2.3%4.354.19
202328MIX3 levels170146416910%0.825.0%14.1%10.9%1.6%7.533.63
202328MIX3 levels170146416910%0.825.0%14.1%10.9%1.6%7.533.66
202429MIX2 levels100104512900%1.026.7%20.0%6.7%0.0%1.803.38
202429MIX2 levels100104512900%1.026.7%20.0%6.7%0.0%1.803.40
202530AAMidland RockHounds41039168471330%1.022.7%8.5%14.1%2.0%3.433.35
202530AAMidland RockHounds41039168471330%1.028.0%7.7%20.2%1.8%3.432.69
▸ 2026 Season
202631AAALas Vegas Aviators30034137321410%1.119.8%10.9%8.9%0.9%2.913.29+0.5
ROS31MLBOAK210229221830%1.023.2%9.0%14.2%2.8%4.214.21+0.1
ROS31MLBOAK20282100%1.023.2%9.0%14.2%2.8%4.214.21+0.0
2026 TOT31MLBOAK562295322423.3%9.7%13.6%1.6%3.423.65+0.6
2026 FULL31MLBOAK2921023.2%9.0%14.2%2.8%4.213.83+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBOAK190208519830%1.122.7%9.4%13.4%3.1%4.354.44+0.0
202732MLBOAK707307310%1.022.7%9.4%13.4%3.1%4.354.44+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career190177916710%0.920.7%8.6%12.1%1.6%5.533.30+0.3
/ 200 IP222020091018581120%0.920.7%8.6%12.1%1.6%5.533.30+4.9
Career27903061378279193270%1.120.3%14.0%6.3%2.0%4.734.25+4.1
/ 200 IP1820200900182126180%1.120.3%14.0%6.3%2.0%4.734.25+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
CD Pelham (OGILVIE) 4.21 23.2%9.0%2.8% 4.44 22.7%13.4%20 +0.23
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP 31 SU 3.48 20.3%7.1%2.2%.281 2.35 23.3%21.0%44 -1.13 2.35 306 84
Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP 31 SU 3.79 22.7%11.9%2.0%.351 5.19 21.5%14.2%18 +1.40 2.29 130 83
Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 31 SU 3.73 25.3%10.4%2.6%.294 2.81 223 82
Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 82
Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP 31 SU 3.72 21.6%6.2%3.0%.311 4.39 22.4%8.9%85 +0.67 3.72 181 82
Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP 31 SU 3.70 20.3%6.6%2.7%.296 4.51 20.1%13.1%33 +0.81 3.21 241 82
Heriberto Ruelas L 2028 · 3.05 FIP 33 SU 3.05 19.1%7.3%1.2%.352 3.71 16.2%8.5%89 +0.66 3.05 117 80
Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP 31 SU 4.29 18.6%9.1%2.9%.354 2.44 124 79
Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.18 FIP 31 SU 3.18 27.2%11.9%1.6%.312 3.35 31.7%18.8%144 +0.17 2.33 455 77
Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP 31 SU 3.56 26.5%10.8%2.4%.290 4.09 22.1%12.0%54 +0.53 2.48 420 77
Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 77
Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.42 FIP 31 SU 3.42 20.3%9.6%1.5%.266 4.27 19.4%10.0%90 +0.85 1.32 182 76
Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.36 FIP 31 SU 3.36 29.2%9.2%2.8%.324 3.36 113 76
Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.29 FIP 30 SU 3.29 26.9%10.0%2.2%.269 3.00 25.5%18.5%99 -0.29 1.67 421 76
Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 20.7%6.6%3.4%.316 3.48 25.6%21.2%121 -0.56 1.52 350 76
Jorge Ibarra L 2024 · 3.02 FIP 29 SU 3.02 19.3%6.5%1.3%.351 2.57 146 76
Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP 31 SU 3.85 22.3%4.8%3.7%.353 3.52 14.1%9.5%56 -0.33 3.44 152 75
Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 31 SU 4.22 21.3%7.0%3.7%.227 3.50 21.4%16.9%187 -0.72 2.22 405 75
Aaron Loup L 2025 · 3.20 FIP 30 SU 3.20 24.0%7.7%2.1%.364 2.51 25.1%18.8%82 -0.69 2.07 363 75
Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP 31 SU 3.79 18.2%10.9%1.5%.284 5.42 15.5%1.4%67 +1.63 2.79 181 74