Anfernny Reyes
P
Wilson Warbirds
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140149vR 158
ERA6.22
FIP6.22
K%18.1%
BB%21.9%
K-BB%-3.8%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 207 | 48 | 24 | 0 | 100% | 4.2 | 15.8% | 14.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 1.54 | 3.60 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 207 | 48 | 24 | 0 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 1.54 | 2.59 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 15 | 0 | 30 | 129 | 41 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 4.85 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 15 | 0 | 30 | 129 | 41 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 31.8% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 2.3% | 4.85 | 3.07 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 41 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 21.4% | -1.3% | 0.7% | 2.23 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 41 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.3% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 2.23 | 3.38 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 35 | 0 | 45 | 214 | 53 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 22.1% | -3.7% | 0.9% | 4.43 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 35 | 0 | 45 | 214 | 53 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 18.7% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 4.43 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 11 | 0 | 22 | 83 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 27.6% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 2.05 | 2.89 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIL | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 34 | 41 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 21.9% | -3.8% | 2.7% | 6.22 | 6.22 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.1% | 21.9% | -3.8% | 2.7% | 6.22 | 6.22 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 67 | 271 | 65 | 48 | 6 | — | — | 24.0% | 17.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 4.84 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 18.8% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 5.83 | 5.71 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 41 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.52 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 42 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.29 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 18.8% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 5.83 | 5.71 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 28 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.52 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 34 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.29 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 81 | 67 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 4.99 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 141 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 16.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 4.99 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 11 | 175 | 778 | 152 | 134 | 9 | 12% | 1.8 | 19.5% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.03 | 4.30 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 13 | 200 | 887 | 173 | 153 | 11 | 12% | 1.8 | 19.5% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.03 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anfernny Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.22 | 18.1% | 21.9% | 2.7% | — | 5.42 | 20.1% | 3.1% | 142 | -0.80 | — | — | — |
| Alex Katz L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.10 | 14.4% | 18.0% | 1.7% | .314 | 4.55 | 16.3% | 1.2% | 56 | -0.55 | 2.69 | 240 | 83 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 83 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.35 | 14.0% | 18.5% | 2.0% | .352 | 4.75 | 16.9% | 6.5% | 60 | -0.60 | 4.75 | 104 | 83 |
| Felix Polanco L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.04 | 18.7% | 19.9% | 1.8% | .290 | 3.64 | 18.8% | 12.8% | 27 | -1.40 | 3.64 | 105 | 83 |
| Max Herrmann L 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 15.0% | 17.9% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.45 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 152 | -0.64 | 3.92 | 168 | 82 |
| Bryan King L 2028 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 226 | 82 |
| Chris Nunn L 2028 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 81 |
| Gil Luna L 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 80 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2028 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 80 |
| Luis Cesar L 2026 · 5.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.90 | 17.5% | 28.0% | 1.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 131 | 80 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.78 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 3.5% | .206 | 4.70 | 19.1% | -0.1% | 90 | -1.08 | 4.28 | 136 | 80 |
| Ramon Perez L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.13 | 19.9% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.13 | 28.9% | 14.2% | 31 | -2.00 | 3.13 | 199 | 79 |
| Felix Cabrera L 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.59 | 15.3% | 18.3% | 2.7% | .328 | 4.86 | 10.5% | -10.4% | 19 | -0.73 | 3.96 | 132 | 79 |
| Nicolas De La Cruz L 2024 · 6.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.32 | 19.1% | 28.5% | 2.2% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 113 | 79 |
| Matt Minnick L 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 79 |
| Triston Polley L 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 78 |
| Angel Hernandez L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.64 | 23.4% | 21.0% | 3.4% | .262 | 4.42 | 21.2% | 1.6% | 123 | -1.22 | 3.33 | 182 | 78 |
| Armando Vasquez L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 21.5% | 18.0% | 2.9% | .312 | 6.51 | 20.8% | 2.7% | 36 | +1.36 | 4.25 | 131 | 78 |
| Emmanuel Martinez L 2025 · 6.08 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.08 | 17.4% | 28.6% | 1.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 137 | 78 |
| Jeff Belge L 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.03 | 24.0% | 18.8% | 2.9% | .343 | 3.76 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 131 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 175 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 19.7% | 18.2% | 1.05 | 5.71 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |