Joe Jacques
P
Syracuse Mets
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 61 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.23
FIP4.33
K%18.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP61
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (64%)
SL-0.7 (26%)
CT-0.8 (10%)
FB-1.1 (64%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 17 | 0 | 21 | 107 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.1% | 22.2% | -10.1% | 1.3% | 6.33 | 5.61 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 17 | 0 | 21 | 107 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.8% | 17.8% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 6.33 | 4.60 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 66 | 276 | 59 | 33 | 3 | 6% | 1.9 | 16.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.58 | 4.13 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 66 | 276 | 59 | 33 | 3 | 6% | 1.9 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 1.1% | 2.58 | 3.40 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 37 | 0 | 48 | 214 | 53 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 3.69 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 37 | 0 | 48 | 214 | 53 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 4.31 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 43 | 173 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 3% | 1.3 | 15.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 3.12 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 43 | 173 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 3% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 3.12 | 3.65 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 2 | 66 | 284 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 3.56 | 3.73 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 2 | 66 | 284 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 2.1% | 3.56 | 3.53 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 46 | 214 | 43 | 22 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 5.72 | 3.01 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 46 | 214 | 43 | 22 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 0.5% | 5.72 | 2.95 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 47 | 1 | 52 | 246 | 61 | 22 | 5 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 1.6% | 6.02 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 47 | 1 | 52 | 246 | 61 | 22 | 5 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 2.0% | 6.02 | 3.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 16 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | NYM | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 76 | 326 | 62 | 36 | 7 | — | — | 19.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 4.22 | 3.47 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 6 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 18.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 4.23 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 49 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 1 | 109 | 471 | 81 | 43 | 12 | 1% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 4.87 | 4.25 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 2 | 200 | 868 | 149 | 79 | 22 | 1% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 4.87 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 283 | 7 | 358 | 1583 | 291 | 176 | 26 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 4.25 | 3.85 | +6.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 158 | 4 | 200 | 885 | 162 | 98 | 14 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 4.25 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Jacques (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | — | 4.84 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 155 | +0.51 | — | — | — |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 84 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.42 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .266 | 4.27 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 90 | +0.85 | 1.32 | 182 | 82 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 82 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 80 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 79 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 78 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 77 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.72 | 2.22 | 405 | 76 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 76 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 76 |
| Brian Duensing L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 75 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 75 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 75 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 75 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 74 |
| Chris Rusin L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 19.5% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .302 | 5.03 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 98 | +1.04 | 2.80 | 488 | 74 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 73 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% | .305 | 3.19 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 169 | -0.37 | 2.93 | 478 | 73 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 72 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 1.02 | 4.54 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |