Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 79 | 313 | 56 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 1.36 | 3.37 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 79 | 313 | 56 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 1.3% | 1.36 | 3.21 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 2 | 68 | 297 | 51 | 33 | 5 | 5% | 1.8 | 14.3% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.95 | 4.27 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 2 | 68 | 297 | 51 | 33 | 5 | 5% | 1.8 | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 3.95 | 4.01 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 5 | 103 | 446 | 104 | 36 | 13 | 10% | 2.0 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 3.99 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 5 | 103 | 446 | 104 | 36 | 13 | 10% | 2.0 | 23.3% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 3.67 | 3.77 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 5.91 | 5.76 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 5.91 | 5.82 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 68 | 300 | 67 | 23 | 7 | 4% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 4.87 | 3.56 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 68 | 300 | 67 | 23 | 7 | 4% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 4.87 | 3.48 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 53 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 1.5% | 2.93 | 3.01 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 53 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 6.2% | 17.4% | 1.8% | 2.93 | 2.88 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 63 | 257 | 49 | 14 | 3 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.1% | 5.5% | 12.5% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 2.93 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 63 | 257 | 49 | 14 | 3 | 2% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 2.83 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 2 | 50 | 217 | 35 | 13 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 4.83 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 2 | 50 | 217 | 35 | 13 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 4.83 | 3.26 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAD | 32 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 5.06 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 0 | 165 | 721 | 132 | 55 | 17 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 0 | 200 | 874 | 160 | 67 | 21 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 332 | 12 | 498 | 2100 | 384 | 168 | 42 | 4% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 3.49 | 3.65 | +10.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 5 | 200 | 843 | 154 | 67 | 17 | 4% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 3.49 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Ramirez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.6% | — | 5.11 | 12.9% | 4.5% | 34 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.22 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .308 | 5.02 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.80 | 4.22 | 159 | 78 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.97 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.65 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.68 | 2.35 | 306 | 78 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 70 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | .290 | 3.24 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.59 | 3.24 | 156 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 62 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | -0.04 | 3.68 | 405 | 62 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.80 | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 198 | 60 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.66 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 215 | 54 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 52 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 38 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 37 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 37 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 37 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 36 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.3% | .328 | 3.35 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 69 | -0.19 | 3.03 | 119 | 36 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 36 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 36 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 36 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 36 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 34 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 1.09 | 4.61 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |