Gregori Louis — OGILVIE

Gregori Louis P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 161 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%21.2%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	13	0	15	67	25	7	2	0%	1.2	25.4%	13.1%	12.3%	4.4%	3.52	5.03	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	13	0	15	67	25	7	2	0%	1.2	37.3%	10.4%	26.9%	3.0%	3.52	2.90	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	23	105	25	19	3	0%	1.7	17.3%	20.4%	-3.1%	4.1%	5.01	6.48	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	23	105	25	19	3	0%	1.7	17.3%	20.4%	-3.1%	4.1%	5.01	6.48	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	23	105	25	19	3	0%	1.7	23.8%	18.1%	5.7%	2.9%	5.01	5.07	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	54	227	58	30	0	0%	1.9	18.6%	16.2%	2.4%	0.0%	1.33	3.58	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	54	227	58	30	0	0%	1.9	18.6%	16.2%	2.4%	0.0%	1.33	3.58	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	54	227	58	30	0	0%	1.9	25.6%	13.2%	12.3%	0.0%	1.33	2.62	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	30	146	38	19	5	0%	1.2	21.9%	12.4%	9.6%	5.8%	5.64	5.99	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	30	146	38	19	5	0%	1.2	21.9%	12.4%	9.6%	5.8%	5.64	5.99	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	30	146	38	19	5	0%	1.2	26.0%	13.0%	13.0%	3.4%	5.64	4.62	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	38	0	45	207	52	35	1	0%	1.2	19.3%	19.4%	-0.1%	0.6%	4.03	4.26	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	38	0	45	207	52	35	1	0%	1.2	19.3%	19.4%	-0.1%	0.6%	4.03	4.26	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	NYM	38	0	45	207	52	35	1	0%	1.2	25.1%	16.9%	8.2%	0.5%	4.03	3.39	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	48	0	50	212	46	26	6	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.1%	9.9%	3.0%	4.90	4.82	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	48	0	51	214	48	24	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	21	0	22	93	20	11	3	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.1%	9.9%	3.0%	4.90	4.82	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	32	0	34	144	32	16	4	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	55	233	52	27	7	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.5%	10.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	98	25	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.5%	10.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		118	0	168	752	150	125	17	0%	1.4	19.9%	16.7%	3.2%	2.3%	3.54	4.77	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	0	200	895	178	149	20	0%	1.4	19.9%	16.7%	3.2%	2.3%	3.54	4.77	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gregori Louis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	21.2%	13.6%	3.1%	—	4.73	22.2%	10.6%	101	-0.37	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	87
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	86
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	86
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	84
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	84
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	83
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	83
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	83
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	83
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	82
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	82
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	80
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	80
Manuel Chavez L 2017 · 4.17 FIP	23	SU	4.17	17.8%	11.1%	2.1%	.312	3.99	27.7%	13.7%	23	-0.18	3.64	113	80
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	22.1%	11.9%	1.18	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22