Robert Garcia
P
Texas Rangers
Age 30
LHP
6'4" / 236 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8291vR 101
ERA3.48
FIP3.54
K%26.6%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%19.9%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+2.5 (44%)
CH (32%)
SL-0.8 (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 13 | 10 | 54 | 272 | 48 | 28 | 10 | 77% | 4.2 | 12.0% | 12.9% | -0.9% | 5.1% | 10.17 | 6.54 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 13 | 10 | 54 | 272 | 48 | 28 | 10 | 77% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 10.17 | 5.29 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 49 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 1.94 | 3.47 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 49 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 1.94 | 2.50 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 35 | 0 | 49 | 212 | 66 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 4.93 | 4.63 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 35 | 0 | 49 | 212 | 66 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.1% | 9.9% | 21.2% | 2.4% | 4.93 | 3.02 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 33 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 5.62 | 4.95 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 33 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 3.2% | 5.62 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 64 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 3.75 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 64 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 73 | 302 | 95 | 32 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 29.0% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 2.4% | 3.21 | 3.34 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 73 | 302 | 95 | 32 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 31.5% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 2.3% | 3.21 | 3.06 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 0 | 62 | 257 | 79 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.9% | 6.0% | 23.9% | 1.6% | 4.09 | 2.21 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 0 | 62 | 257 | 79 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 30.7% | 5.8% | 24.9% | 1.6% | 4.09 | 2.11 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 71 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 68 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 7.4% | 17.8% | 2.9% | 2.95 | 3.50 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 71 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 68 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 7.4% | 17.8% | 3.0% | 2.95 | 3.54 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 9 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 19.9% | 2.7% | 3.48 | 3.54 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | TEX | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 19.9% | 2.7% | 3.48 | 3.54 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 40 | 169 | 42 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 24.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 3.46 | 2.83 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 40 | 168 | 42 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 24.8% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 3.46 | 3.38 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 58 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 2.7% | 3.80 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 52 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.02 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 56 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 2.7% | 3.80 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.02 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 304 | 0 | 297 | 1243 | 323 | 97 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 3.68 | 3.25 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 0 | 200 | 838 | 218 | 65 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 3.68 | 3.25 | +5.0 | ||
| Career | — | 359 | 11 | 467 | 2016 | 462 | 213 | 57 | 3% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.06 | +7.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 5 | 200 | 864 | 198 | 91 | 25 | 3% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.54 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.03 | 24.6% | 16.1% | 106 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.85 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .352 | 3.01 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 113 | 76 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.17 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.73 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 55 | +0.56 | 2.81 | 223 | 76 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 76 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 2.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.44 | 26.7% | 7.4% | 1.2% | .281 | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 30 | +1.85 | 2.44 | 124 | 75 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 74 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 74 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 74 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 23.8% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .279 | 3.14 | 25.4% | 18.3% | 66 | +0.28 | 2.86 | 455 | 72 |
| Tony Sipp L 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 72 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 72 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 71 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 2.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.57 | 21.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% | .245 | 3.46 | 22.3% | 17.1% | 200 | +0.89 | 2.22 | 405 | 71 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 2.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.58 | 25.3% | 7.0% | 1.3% | .285 | 3.84 | 24.0% | 18.3% | 113 | +1.26 | 1.52 | 350 | 71 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.87 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.5% | .256 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 234 | +1.31 | 2.87 | 391 | 70 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2025 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 146 | 70 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 69 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.03 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .269 | 4.61 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 109 | +1.58 | 3.03 | 299 | 69 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .364 | 2.51 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.69 | 2.07 | 363 | 69 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 69 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 25.1% | 8.0% | 1.08 | 3.79 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |