Robert Garcia — OGILVIE

Robert Garcia P Texas Rangers

Age 30 LHP 6'4" / 236 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8492vR 100

ERA3.46

FIP3.52

K%26.6%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%19.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD6060

K†6060

FB+2.5 (44%)

CH (33%)

SL-0.8 (23%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	13	10	54	272	48	28	10	77%	4.2	12.0%	12.9%	-0.9%	5.1%	10.17	6.54	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	13	10	54	272	48	28	10	77%	4.2	17.6%	10.3%	7.4%	3.7%	10.17	5.29	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	46	193	49	19	1	0%	2.0	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	0.7%	1.94	3.47	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	46	193	49	19	1	0%	2.0	25.4%	9.8%	15.5%	0.5%	1.94	2.50	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	35	0	49	212	66	21	5	0%	1.4	24.0%	11.4%	12.6%	3.3%	4.93	4.35	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	35	0	49	212	66	21	5	0%	1.4	31.1%	9.9%	21.2%	2.4%	4.93	3.02	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	33	0	48	216	60	22	7	0%	1.5	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	4.1%	5.62	4.85	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	33	0	48	216	60	22	7	0%	1.5	27.8%	10.2%	17.6%	3.2%	5.62	3.87	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	62	261	64	28	5	0%	1.4	21.6%	12.0%	9.6%	2.2%	3.75	3.99	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	62	261	64	28	5	0%	1.4	24.5%	10.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.75	3.44	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	1	73	302	95	32	7	2%	1.3	28.0%	9.9%	18.1%	2.4%	3.21	3.31	+1.1
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	1	73	302	95	32	7	2%	1.3	28.0%	9.9%	18.1%	2.4%	3.21	3.31	+1.1
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	1	73	302	95	32	7	2%	1.3	31.5%	10.6%	20.9%	2.3%	3.21	3.06	+1.3
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	73	0	62	257	79	15	4	0%	0.8	29.9%	6.0%	23.9%	1.6%	4.09	2.21	+1.7
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	73	0	62	257	79	15	4	0%	0.8	29.9%	6.0%	23.9%	1.6%	4.09	2.21	+1.7
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	73	0	62	257	79	15	4	0%	0.8	30.7%	5.8%	24.9%	1.6%	4.09	2.11	+1.8
2025	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	71	0	64	269	68	20	8	0%	0.9	25.3%	7.4%	17.8%	2.8%	2.95	3.43	+0.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	71	0	64	269	68	20	8	0%	0.9	25.3%	7.4%	17.8%	2.8%	2.95	3.43	+0.9
2025	29	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	71	0	64	269	68	20	8	0%	0.9	25.3%	7.4%	17.8%	3.0%	2.95	3.54	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			180	0	167	690	186	52	15	0%	0.9	27.0%	7.5%	19.4%	2.2%	3.51	2.97	+3.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	13	0	12	47	12	7	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	2.25	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	13	0	12	47	12	7	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	2.25	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	TEX	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	TEX	12	0	11	43	10	7	0	0%	0.9	23.3%	16.3%	7.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.20	+0.2
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	TEX	12	0	11	43	10	7	0	0%	0.9	23.3%	16.3%	7.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.20	+0.2
ROS	30	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	21	6	1	1	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.7%	19.9%	2.6%	3.46	3.52	+0.1
ROS	30	MLB CTX	TEX	5	0	5	21	6	1	1	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.7%	19.9%	2.6%	3.46	3.52	+0.1
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	17	68	18	8	1	—	—	25.9%	12.3%	13.5%	0.8%	2.61	1.03	+0.8
FULL	30	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	16	68	18	8	1	—	—	26.1%	12.5%	13.6%	0.8%	2.77	2.92	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TEX	53	0	55	233	59	19	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	8.1%	17.3%	2.6%	3.69	3.80	+0.5
2028	32	MLB MLE	TEX	49	0	51	216	53	18	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	8.5%	16.1%	2.9%	3.91	4.06	+0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	TEX	50	0	53	224	57	18	6	0%	1.1	25.4%	8.1%	17.3%	2.6%	3.69	3.80	+0.5
2028	32	MLB CTX	TEX	47	0	49	207	51	18	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	8.5%	16.1%	2.9%	3.91	4.06	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		281	0	273	1138	298	89	27	0%	1.0	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	2.4%	3.62	3.19	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		206	0	200	834	218	65	20	0%	1.0	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	2.4%	3.62	3.19	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		363	11	471	2029	465	210	56	3%	1.3	22.9%	10.3%	12.6%	2.7%	4.44	3.98	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	5	200	862	197	89	24	3%	1.3	22.9%	10.3%	12.6%	2.7%	4.44	3.98	+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.52	26.6%	6.7%	2.6%	—	3.92	25.0%	16.7%	106	+0.40	—	—	—
Buddy Boshers L 2018 · 3.22 FIP	30	SU	3.22	22.9%	6.6%	2.2%	.314	3.73	25.3%	14.9%	55	+0.51	2.80	223	80
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	77
Adam Liberatore L 2016 · 2.38 FIP	29	SU	2.38	26.7%	7.4%	1.1%	.281	4.28	18.6%	9.5%	30	+1.90	2.38	124	77
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	76
Jake Diekman L 2016 · 3.23 FIP	29	SU	3.23	26.7%	11.3%	1.7%	.241	3.09	28.6%	15.8%	115	-0.14	2.36	455	76
Jake McGee L 2017 · 2.70 FIP	30	SU	2.70	25.3%	7.0%	1.6%	.285	4.10	24.0%	18.3%	113	+1.40	1.39	350	75
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	74
Tony Sipp L 2015 · 2.80 FIP	32	SU	2.80	28.7%	6.5%	2.4%	.267	4.45	23.8%	15.0%	120	+1.65	2.22	195	74
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	74
Aaron Loup L 2018 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	24.0%	7.7%	2.0%	.364	2.50	25.1%	18.8%	82	-0.66	2.07	363	73
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	72
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	72
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	72
Tony Watson L 2015 · 2.61 FIP	30	SU	2.61	21.2%	5.5%	1.1%	.245	3.46	22.3%	17.1%	200	+0.85	2.21	405	71
Edward Paredes L 2017 · 2.36 FIP	30	SU	2.36	26.0%	8.6%	0.7%	.386	4.25	22.3%	12.0%	54	+1.89	2.36	130	71
Zac Rosscup L 2017 · 2.85 FIP	29	SU	2.85	29.5%	7.8%	2.3%	.275	4.42	26.4%	5.9%	35	+1.57	2.56	160	71
Justin Wilson L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	30	SU	3.56	29.2%	13.6%	2.2%	.308	3.85	24.0%	13.5%	93	+0.29	2.49	420	71
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	71
Sam Freeman L 2017 · 3.03 FIP	30	SU	3.03	23.2%	9.8%	1.2%	.269	4.56	21.5%	9.0%	109	+1.53	3.03	299	70
Dan Jennings L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	30	SU	4.32	19.1%	9.0%	3.1%	.245	3.88	16.6%	8.5%	64	-0.44	3.11	244	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	25.6%	7.7%	1.04	3.68
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61