Brandon Neeck — OGILVIE

Brandon Neeck P Indianapolis Indians

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 147

ERA5.97

FIP5.97

K%17.2%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%0.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	29	137	42	16	2	0%	1.3	21.0%	13.9%	7.0%	2.0%	6.83	4.19	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	29	137	42	16	2	0%	1.3	21.0%	13.9%	7.0%	2.0%	6.83	4.19	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	29	137	42	16	2	0%	1.3	30.7%	11.7%	19.0%	1.5%	6.83	2.76	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	38	0	60	241	67	23	4	0%	1.6	21.4%	11.0%	10.4%	2.0%	2.85	3.78	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	38	0	60	241	67	23	4	0%	1.6	21.4%	11.0%	10.4%	2.0%	2.85	3.78	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	38	0	60	241	67	23	4	0%	1.6	27.8%	9.5%	18.3%	1.7%	2.85	2.88	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	39	4	47	217	45	33	8	10%	1.2	16.8%	16.7%	0.1%	4.6%	5.40	6.34	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	39	4	47	217	45	33	8	10%	1.2	16.8%	16.7%	0.1%	4.6%	5.40	6.34	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	39	4	47	217	45	33	8	10%	1.2	20.7%	15.2%	5.5%	3.7%	5.40	5.52	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	40	1	65	279	96	42	3	2%	1.6	28.3%	14.7%	13.6%	1.2%	2.51	3.22	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	40	1	65	279	96	42	3	2%	1.6	28.3%	14.7%	13.6%	1.2%	2.51	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	PIT	16	1	27	112	42	16	0	6%	1.7	37.5%	14.3%	23.2%	0.0%	1.33	1.74	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	PIT	24	0	38	167	54	26	3	0%	1.6	32.3%	15.6%	16.8%	1.8%	3.35	3.33	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	PIT	5	0	5	21	4	4	1	0%	1.0	17.2%	17.1%	0.2%	3.2%	5.97	5.97	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	70	300	100	46	4	—	—	33.2%	15.2%	18.0%	1.2%	2.75	3.42	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	59	0	62	263	47	43	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.4%	1.5%	3.3%	5.83	5.84	-0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	60	255	46	41	9	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.0%	2.2%	3.3%	5.77	5.81	-0.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	26	0	27	114	20	19	4	0%	1.0	17.8%	16.4%	1.5%	3.3%	5.83	5.84	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	36	0	38	160	29	26	5	0%	1.1	18.1%	16.0%	2.2%	3.3%	5.77	5.81	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	274	49	44	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.2%	1.9%	3.3%	5.80	5.44	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	136	28	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.2%	1.9%	3.3%	5.80	5.44	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		140	5	200	874	196	123	21	4%	1.4	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.4%	3.91	4.30	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	5	200	873	195	123	21	4%	1.4	22.4%	14.1%	8.3%	2.4%	3.91	4.30	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Neeck (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.97	17.2%	17.1%	3.2%	—	5.83	18.0%	1.8%	123	-0.14	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	92
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	85
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	82
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	80
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	79
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	79
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	79
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	77
Ryne Slack L 2018 · 5.59 FIP	26	SU	5.59	13.9%	12.1%	3.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	212	77
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	77
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	76
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.1%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	76
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	76
Estevan Gonzalez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SU	5.21	12.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	195	76
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	17.8%	16.5%	1.27	5.86
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91