Brandon Neeck
P
Altoona Curve
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%8.7%
IP41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL2525
CMD3030
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 21.0% | 13.9% | 2.0% | 6.83 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 38 | 0 | 60 | 241 | 67 | 23 | 4 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 2.85 | 3.79 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 39 | 4 | 47 | 217 | 45 | 33 | 8 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 4.6% | 5.40 | 6.35 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PIT | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 34 | 26 | 6 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 5.50 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 46 | 195 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 35 | 25 | 6 | 20.1% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 5.33 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 5.31 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 20.2% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 5.33 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 5.40 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 30 | 21 | 5 | 19.7% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 5.48 | 5.53 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 28 | 21 | 5 | 19.4% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 5.57 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 19.0% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 5.74 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 18.6% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 5.78 | 5.86 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 28 | — | 28 | 120 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 18.2% | 15.0% | 3.9% | 5.91 | 5.99 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 4 | 141 | 615 | 127 | 85 | 18 | 20.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.69 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 148 | 6 | 200 | 874 | 181 | 121 | 26 | 20.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.69 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Neeck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.50 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 3.2% | — | 5.35 | 20.2% | 6.1% | 121 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 88 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 86 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.30 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.18 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.12 | 3.42 | 154 | 85 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 85 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.39 | 3.46 | 145 | 85 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 85 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 23.4% | 18.1% | 1.8% | .305 | 4.99 | 19.2% | 3.1% | 103 | +0.61 | 3.14 | 199 | 81 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.95 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.99 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.96 | 3.58 | 206 | 81 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.63 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 144 | 80 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 134 | 80 |
| Cody Beckman L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 19.3% | 14.9% | 3.5% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 189 | 80 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 152 | 80 |
| Max Schuh L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 19.2% | 13.6% | 2.7% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 118 | 79 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 235 | 79 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.58 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 264 | 79 |
| John Kilichowski L 2024 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.3% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 115 | 79 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 161 | 79 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.73 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 212 | 79 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.35 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.19 | 3.66 | 330 | 79 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.