Daniel Juarez — OGILVIE

Daniel Juarez P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 155 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%18.5%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	16	1	34	145	53	17	3	6%	2.1	24.9%	14.7%	10.2%	2.9%	3.74	4.45	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	16	1	34	145	53	17	3	6%	2.1	36.6%	11.7%	24.8%	2.1%	3.74	2.62	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	32	125	46	19	2	6%	1.9	25.6%	19.2%	6.3%	2.5%	2.56	4.75	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	32	125	46	19	2	6%	1.9	36.8%	15.2%	21.6%	1.6%	2.56	2.82	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	43	173	59	24	2	0%	1.4	27.1%	16.2%	10.9%	1.8%	1.66	3.85	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	43	173	59	24	2	0%	1.4	34.1%	13.9%	20.2%	1.2%	1.66	2.64	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	57	226	61	18	4	6%	1.7	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	2.3%	2.37	3.68	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	57	226	61	18	4	6%	1.7	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	2.3%	2.37	3.68	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	2	57	226	61	18	4	6%	1.7	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	1.8%	2.37	2.82	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.4%	2.3%	2.7%	5.09	5.00	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.4%	2.3%	2.7%	5.09	5.00	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	34	0	35	160	33	21	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.1%	7.5%	1.9%	5.09	4.12	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	17.0%	10.2%	6.7%	6.6%	6.75	6.57	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	17.0%	10.2%	6.7%	6.6%	6.75	6.57	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	31	146	30	14	7	0%	1.4	20.5%	9.6%	11.0%	4.8%	6.75	5.48	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYM	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.5%	11.0%	7.5%	3.4%	5.19	5.19	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	30	0	32	134	26	15	5	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.4%	5.07	5.05	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.4%	5.07	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.4%	5.07	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	86	29	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.8%	8.7%	3.4%	5.07	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		153	4	232	975	215	131	30	3%	1.5	22.0%	13.5%	8.5%	3.0%	3.46	4.61	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	3	200	842	185	113	25	3%	1.5	22.0%	13.5%	8.5%	3.0%	3.46	4.61	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Juarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	18.5%	11.0%	3.4%	—	5.05	19.5%	8.7%	32	-0.14	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	85
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	85
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	83
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	83
Ryan Sherriff L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.317	3.28	18.8%	11.9%	135	-0.99	2.96	245	83
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	82
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	82
Michael Johnson L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	18.2%	10.4%	3.3%	.352	4.72	17.4%	7.6%	129	+0.05	3.92	256	82
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	80
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	80
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	80
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	80
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	80
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	80
Tom Windle L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	16.7%	10.3%	1.8%	.228	4.13	19.3%	7.0%	105	+0.12	3.68	330	79
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	79
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	79
Keylan Killgore L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	21.7%	12.3%	4.1%	.342	3.73	24.6%	10.5%	53	-1.36	3.73	161	79
Jake Higginbotham L 2022 · 4.33 FIP	26	SU	4.33	17.2%	8.8%	2.9%	.348	3.92	21.0%	12.8%	179	-0.41	3.30	335	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.1%	10.9%	1.31	5.12
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86