Daniel Juarez
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 155 lbs
AA
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%10.7%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 16 | 1 | 34 | 145 | 53 | 17 | 3 | 24.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 17 | 1 | 32 | 125 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 25.6% | 19.2% | 2.6% | 2.56 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 31 | 0 | 43 | 173 | 59 | 24 | 2 | 27.1% | 16.2% | 1.8% | 1.66 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 33 | 2 | 57 | 226 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 21.4% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 2.37 | 3.68 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 34 | 0 | 35 | 160 | 33 | 21 | 3 | 16.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 22 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.75 | 6.58 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 21.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.80 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 153 | 4 | 232 | 975 | 215 | 131 | 30 | 22.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 3.46 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 3 | 200 | 842 | 186 | 113 | 26 | 22.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 3.46 | 4.62 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Juarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 3.4% | — | 4.80 | 21.3% | 11.3% | 28 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 87 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.47 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 4.16 | 19.5% | 9.2% | 53 | -0.31 | 4.16 | 101 | 85 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 85 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 85 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.27 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .317 | 3.29 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 135 | -0.98 | 2.97 | 245 | 83 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .338 | 3.49 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.22 | 1.78 | 560 | 83 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 82 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.87 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .231 | 3.89 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | +0.02 | 2.68 | 740 | 82 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .341 | 8.17 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.12 | 3.97 | 158 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 81 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 81 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.42 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.49 | 4.19 | 133 | 81 |
| Jake Miednik L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 23.7% | 11.7% | 4.3% | .308 | 6.03 | 10.5% | -4.1% | 32 | +1.10 | 1.55 | 126 | 81 |
| Travis Bergen L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .259 | 4.49 | 22.9% | 4.6% | 47 | -0.24 | 2.48 | 143 | 81 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.83 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .331 | 3.16 | 27.0% | 17.3% | 190 | -1.67 | 2.09 | 452 | 80 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 79 |
| James Paxton L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 79 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | .382 | 3.51 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 38 | -0.61 | 2.88 | 206 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 79 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.04 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.93 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.11 | 2.69 | 271 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.