Daniel Juarez
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 155 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 130
ERA4.92
FIP4.92
K%20.9%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 16 | 1 | 34 | 145 | 53 | 17 | 3 | 6% | 2.1 | 24.9% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 4.45 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 16 | 1 | 34 | 145 | 53 | 17 | 3 | 6% | 2.1 | 36.6% | 11.7% | 24.8% | 2.1% | 3.74 | 2.62 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 32 | 125 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 6% | 1.9 | 25.6% | 19.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.56 | 4.81 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 32 | 125 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 6% | 1.9 | 36.8% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 1.6% | 2.56 | 2.82 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 43 | 173 | 59 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.1% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 1.66 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 43 | 173 | 59 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.1% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 1.2% | 1.66 | 2.64 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 57 | 226 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 6% | 1.7 | 21.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 2.37 | 3.79 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 57 | 226 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 6% | 1.7 | 27.0% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 1.8% | 2.37 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 34 | 0 | 35 | 160 | 33 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 14.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.09 | 5.37 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 34 | 0 | 35 | 160 | 33 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 5.09 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.75 | 6.61 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 6.75 | 5.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.45 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 153 | 4 | 232 | 975 | 215 | 131 | 31 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 3.46 | 4.72 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 3 | 200 | 842 | 185 | 113 | 27 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 3.46 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Juarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | — | 4.83 | 21.3% | 11.3% | 20 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 5.10 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 78 | +0.65 | 4.28 | 127 | 85 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 84 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 83 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 83 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 83 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 82 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.10 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .317 | 3.30 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 135 | -0.80 | 2.94 | 245 | 82 |
| Harry Gustin L 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.25 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 81 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 81 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .341 | 8.96 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.50 | 4.11 | 158 | 80 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.96 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .231 | 3.85 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | -0.11 | 2.68 | 740 | 80 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.92 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .382 | 3.44 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 38 | -0.48 | 2.84 | 206 | 80 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.63 | 18.2% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .352 | 4.46 | 17.4% | 7.6% | 129 | -0.17 | 3.88 | 256 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.35 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.58 | 3.97 | 133 | 80 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.98 | 21.7% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .342 | 3.82 | 24.6% | 10.5% | 53 | -1.16 | 3.82 | 161 | 80 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .338 | 3.46 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 560 | 80 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.13 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.78 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 110 | +0.65 | 4.13 | 265 | 80 |
| Williams Jerez L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.98 | 17.8% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.84 | 24.0% | 15.1% | 127 | -0.14 | 3.54 | 364 | 79 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 79 |