Brayan De Paula — OGILVIE

Brayan De Paula P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%20.7%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	1	15	63	12	4	1	14%	2.1	13.0%	7.9%	5.0%	2.2%	5.52	4.23	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	7	1	15	63	12	4	1	14%	2.1	19.0%	6.3%	12.7%	1.6%	5.52	3.17	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	15	4	44	183	45	12	2	27%	3.0	16.7%	8.2%	8.5%	1.5%	2.23	3.57	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	15	4	44	183	45	12	2	27%	3.0	24.6%	6.6%	18.0%	1.1%	2.23	2.47	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	11	3	28	137	34	18	4	27%	2.6	16.9%	16.4%	0.5%	4.1%	6.99	6.00	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	11	3	28	137	34	18	4	27%	2.6	24.8%	13.1%	11.7%	2.9%	6.99	4.44	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	9	59	267	74	34	6	50%	3.3	20.9%	14.8%	6.1%	2.5%	4.14	4.58	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	9	59	267	74	34	6	50%	3.3	27.7%	12.7%	15.0%	2.2%	4.14	3.65	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	67	321	101	48	4	20%	2.2	24.2%	17.3%	6.9%	1.3%	6.01	3.97	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	67	321	101	48	4	20%	2.2	24.2%	17.3%	6.9%	1.3%	6.01	3.97	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	67	321	101	48	4	20%	2.2	31.5%	15.0%	16.5%	1.2%	6.01	3.01	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.8%	-7.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.54	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.8%	-7.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.54	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	21.3%	22.6%	-1.3%	2.6%	5.23	5.89	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	HOU	2	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	1.0	20.7%	18.4%	2.3%	3.0%	5.68	5.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	22	0	23	99	21	17	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	17.7%	3.2%	3.1%	5.60	5.63	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	9	0	9	38	8	7	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	17.7%	3.2%	3.1%	5.60	5.63	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	8	7	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	17.7%	3.2%	3.1%	5.60	5.25	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	159	23	0%	1.1	20.9%	17.7%	3.2%	3.1%	5.60	5.25	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		106	23	246	1126	222	176	26	22%	2.3	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.3%	4.87	4.66	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	19	200	915	181	143	21	22%	2.3	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.3%	4.87	4.66	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan De Paula (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	20.7%	18.4%	3.0%	—	5.63	20.9%	3.2%	23	-0.05	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	77
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	75
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	74
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	73
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	71
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	71
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	70
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	70
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	70
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	70
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	69
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	69
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	69
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	69
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	68
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	68
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	68
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	68
Luke Westphal L 2016 · 4.69 FIP	27	SU	4.69	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	294	68
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	67