Brayan De Paula
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 27
LHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 128
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%22.4%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 1 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 14% | 2.1 | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 5.52 | 4.23 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 1 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 14% | 2.1 | 19.0% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | 5.52 | 3.17 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 15 | 4 | 44 | 183 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 3.0 | 16.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 2.23 | 3.57 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 15 | 4 | 44 | 183 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 3.0 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 18.0% | 1.1% | 2.23 | 2.47 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 11 | 3 | 28 | 137 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 27% | 2.6 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 0.5% | 4.1% | 6.99 | 6.00 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 11 | 3 | 28 | 137 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 27% | 2.6 | 24.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 6.99 | 4.44 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 9 | 59 | 267 | 74 | 34 | 6 | 50% | 3.3 | 20.9% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.44 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 9 | 59 | 267 | 74 | 34 | 6 | 50% | 3.3 | 27.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 3.65 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 6 | 67 | 321 | 101 | 48 | 4 | 20% | 2.2 | 24.2% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 6.01 | 3.86 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 6 | 67 | 321 | 101 | 48 | 4 | 20% | 2.2 | 31.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 1.2% | 6.01 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 25 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 33 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 24.8% | -7.6% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 6.60 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 25 | 0 | 33 | 155 | 33 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 22.6% | -1.3% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 5.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.48 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 114 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 23 | 246 | 1126 | 222 | 176 | 24 | 22% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 15.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.87 | 4.61 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 19 | 200 | 915 | 181 | 143 | 20 | 22% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 15.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.87 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan De Paula (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.86 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 23 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 76 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 74 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 73 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.29 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.3% | .285 | 6.48 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 144 | 73 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 73 |
| Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 73 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 73 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 73 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 72 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 72 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 72 |
| James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 71 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 71 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 71 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 71 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 70 |
| Josh D. Smith L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 3.34 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 164 | -0.69 | 3.09 | 335 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 70 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.89 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .260 | 6.02 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.13 | 3.79 | 132 | 70 |
| Russell Smith L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 69 |