Daniel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Daniel Gonzalez P ACL White Sox

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%23.1%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	20	1	36	170	34	26	3	5%	1.8	13.6%	19.1%	-5.5%	2.2%	4.71	5.55	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	20	1	36	170	34	26	3	5%	1.8	20.0%	15.3%	4.7%	1.8%	4.71	4.45	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	21	1	45	205	49	23	7	5%	2.1	16.3%	14.0%	2.2%	3.9%	5.24	5.66	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	21	1	45	205	49	23	7	5%	2.1	23.9%	11.2%	12.7%	3.4%	5.24	4.49	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	16	0	20	86	31	15	2	0%	1.2	24.5%	21.8%	2.7%	1.5%	1.83	4.61	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	16	0	20	86	31	15	2	0%	1.2	24.5%	21.8%	2.7%	1.5%	1.83	4.61	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	16	0	20	86	31	15	2	0%	1.2	36.0%	17.4%	18.6%	2.3%	1.83	3.56	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	35	171	55	30	1	0%	1.2	22.5%	21.4%	1.0%	0.8%	4.33	4.34	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	35	171	55	30	1	0%	1.2	22.5%	21.4%	1.0%	0.8%	4.33	4.34	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	35	171	55	30	1	0%	1.2	32.2%	17.5%	14.6%	0.6%	4.33	2.90	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CWS	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.1%	17.5%	5.6%	2.9%	5.35	5.35	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	31	0	32	136	32	21	4	0%	1.0	23.5%	15.1%	8.5%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	13	0	14	59	14	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	15.1%	8.5%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	14	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	15.1%	8.5%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	131	29	0%	1.1	23.5%	15.1%	8.5%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		86	2	136	632	116	117	14	2%	1.6	18.3%	18.5%	-0.1%	2.3%	4.37	5.13	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	3	200	929	170	172	21	2%	1.6	18.3%	18.5%	-0.1%	2.3%	4.37	5.13	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	23.1%	17.5%	2.9%	—	5.00	23.5%	8.5%	32	-0.35	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	93
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	88
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	87
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	86
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	85
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	83
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	82
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	82
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	82
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	81
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	81
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	80
Bailey Horn L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	24.7%	15.6%	3.1%	.320	4.41	21.4%	10.9%	163	-0.30	3.96	265	80
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	80
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	80
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	79
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	23.4%	16.0%	1.13	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99