Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 4.30 | 2.36 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 4.30 | 2.35 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 250 | 94 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 4.31 | 3.61 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 250 | 94 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 37.6% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 1.6% | 4.31 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 42 | 210 | 63 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 18.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 7.87 | 4.63 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 42 | 210 | 63 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 1.9% | 7.87 | 3.90 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 53 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 4.69 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 53 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 4.69 | 2.52 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 20 | 102 | 28 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 28.5% | -8.4% | 2.3% | 6.86 | 6.26 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 20 | 102 | 28 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 22.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 6.86 | 4.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.84 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.84 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.84 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 118 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.84 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 156 | 0 | 181 | 842 | 211 | 143 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 5.52 | 3.95 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 0 | 200 | 930 | 233 | 157 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 5.52 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Burnette (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.6% | — | 4.88 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 20 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 85 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 82 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 80 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 79 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.22 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.74 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.48 | 1.79 | 186 | 79 |
| Ryan Och L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .287 | 2.86 | 27.1% | 10.9% | 16 | -1.00 | 2.58 | 140 | 78 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 78 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 77 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 77 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 77 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.79 | 19.7% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .272 | 5.84 | 11.7% | -9.3% | 23 | +2.05 | 3.79 | 330 | 77 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.25 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.3% | .289 | 5.86 | 19.8% | 2.0% | 40 | +1.61 | 4.10 | 118 | 77 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 19.4% | 14.3% | 1.1% | .246 | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 49 | +0.05 | 3.88 | 244 | 77 |
| Dan Runzler L 2029 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 76 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 76 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 76 |
| Sam Freeman L 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.53 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.70 | 3.03 | 299 | 76 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.06 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.80 | 3.06 | 145 | 76 |
| Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 75 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 75 |