Brandon WinokurOF
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 21
R/R
6'5" / 210 lbs
A+
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.8 · 2031
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .262 / .334
PA320
HR9
SB14
K%35
BB%7
MLB%4%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
34→34
PWR
60→60
SPD
60→60
FLD
50→50
EYE
44↗49
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.2 | $10M | +$10M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.8 | $17M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.6 | $16M | +$10M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.4 | $14M | +$7M |
| Totals | $19M | $89M | +$70M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 71 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .194 | .239 | .373 | .613 | .179 | .312 | 45 | 4 | .251 | 50 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 411 | 371 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 164 | 10 | 23 | 6 | .175 | .248 | .315 | .564 | .140 | .270 | 40 | 6 | .250 | 50 | -23 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +12 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | 2 teams | 612 | 565 | 101 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 197 | 10 | 28 | 4 | .179 | .239 | .297 | .537 | .119 | .242 | 32 | 6 | .238 | 40 | -41 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 70 | 60 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .150 | .271 | .267 | .538 | .117 | .348 | 51 | 13 | .223 | 29 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | 250 | 225 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 94 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .191 | .266 | .338 | .604 | .147 | .282 | 38 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | MIN | 320 | 285 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 130 | 5 | 14 | 1 | .182 | .267 | .323 | .590 | .140 | .297 | 41 | 9 | .258 | 56 | -16 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 15% | MIN | 541 | 484 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 170 | 9 | 18 | 2 | .200 | .278 | .355 | .633 | .155 | .268 | 31 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -14 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +15 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 31% | MIN | 585 | 523 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 48 | 178 | 9 | 19 | 2 | .208 | .286 | .373 | .659 | .164 | .272 | 30 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -10 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +17 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 48% | MIN | 614 | 547 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 52 | 183 | 10 | 19 | 2 | .218 | .297 | .399 | .696 | .181 | .274 | 30 | 8 | .306 | 93 | -5 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +17 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 62% | MIN | 631 | 561 | 123 | 22 | 4 | 25 | 55 | 186 | 10 | 18 | 2 | .219 | .300 | .406 | .707 | .187 | .276 | 29 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +18 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 79% | MIN | 638 | 566 | 126 | 23 | 4 | 26 | 57 | 188 | 10 | 18 | 2 | .223 | .305 | .415 | .720 | .193 | .277 | 29 | 9 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +18 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 94% | MIN | 638 | 566 | 125 | 22 | 4 | 26 | 57 | 188 | 10 | 17 | 2 | .221 | .303 | .412 | .715 | .191 | .277 | 29 | 9 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +18 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 633 | 561 | 123 | 22 | 4 | 25 | 57 | 188 | 10 | 16 | 1 | .219 | .303 | .406 | .709 | .187 | .276 | 30 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +3 | -0 | -4 | +18 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 623 | 551 | 120 | 22 | 3 | 25 | 57 | 187 | 10 | 15 | 1 | .218 | .303 | .405 | .707 | .187 | .276 | 30 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 613 | 542 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 56 | 186 | 10 | 14 | 0 | .214 | .299 | .397 | .696 | .183 | .274 | 30 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -4 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 1.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 599 | 530 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 184 | 9 | 11 | 0 | .211 | .296 | .391 | .687 | .179 | .272 | 31 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 580 | 513 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 182 | 9 | 10 | 0 | .207 | .292 | .378 | .670 | .172 | .270 | 31 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -8 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 550 | 487 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 20 | 50 | 176 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .203 | .288 | .374 | .662 | .170 | .269 | 32 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -10 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 503 | 446 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 165 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .197 | .281 | .354 | .635 | .157 | .266 | 33 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -12 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9092 | 8105 | 1685 | 305 | 50 | 328 | 768 | 2848 | 146 | 252 | 26 | .208 | .288 | .379 | .667 | .171 | .273 | 31 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -152 | +40 | -11 | -55 | +258 | 8.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 55 | 204 | 10 | 18 | 2 | .209 | .288 | .380 | .668 | .171 | .276 | 31 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -11 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 71 | 66 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .288 | .338 | .545 | .883 | .258 | .385 | 32 | 6 | .385 | 153 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 411 | 362 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 115 | 10 | 23 | 6 | .249 | .329 | .434 | .763 | .185 | .321 | 28 | 8 | .337 | 116 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 529 | 474 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 131 | 10 | 26 | 4 | .226 | .305 | .388 | .693 | .162 | .275 | 25 | 8 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +4 | — | — | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 83 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .192 | .280 | .315 | .596 | .123 | .226 | 23 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brandon Winokur (OGILVIE) | 21 | 34 | 60 | 60 | 49 | .193/.262/.334 | .141 | .275 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 64 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A |
22 | 37→34 | 51→60 | 50 | 37 | .200/.246/.359 | .159 | .282 | 20 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.272/.410 | .198 | .294 | 26 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .209/.277/.424 | .216 | .279 | 30 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA |
21 | 42→46 | 51→60 | 52→45 | 41 | .220/.279/.381 | .161 | .292 | 20 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .228/.303/.416 | .188 | .302 | 22 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .224/.304/.422 | .198 | .291 | 24 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A |
21 | 37→46 | 49→60 | 51→45 | 45 | .195/.277/.339 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.297/.425 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .233/.299/.438 | .204 | .278 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 105 | +1.8 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A |
21 | 36→40 | 46→65 | 49→50 | 35 | .190/.230/.319 | .130 | .259 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .201/.240/.341 | .140 | .267 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A |
21 | 41→32 | 45→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .208/.253/.334 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.236/.349 | .161 | .267 | 20 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
●Jo Adell 2020 · AAA |
21 | 45→44 | 50→65 | 53→50 | 37 | .226/.275/.384 | .159 | .319 | 17 | 11 | 34% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.265/.378 | .162 | .312 | 20 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .218/.285/.446 | .228 | .252 | 34 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .196/.247/.327 | .132 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.251/.317 | .119 | .302 | 12 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A |
21 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 58→55 | 39 | .214/.256/.353 | .139 | .265 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .239/.275/.401 | .162 | .303 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA |
23 | 38→46 | 48→60 | 53→50 | 36 | .199/.247/.340 | .141 | .285 | 16 | 15 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.291/.421 | .198 | .297 | 25 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A |
22 | 36 | 48→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .191/.251/.335 | .144 | .272 | 16 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.261/.344 | .142 | .302 | 17 | 13 | 37% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.244/.304 | .124 | .276 | 15 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
●Trayce Thompson 2013 · AAA |
22 | 35→45 | 52→65 | 50 | 35 | .189/.243/.352 | .163 | .277 | 20 | 10 | 39% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.254/.339 | .144 | .275 | 16 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .209/.298/.431 | .221 | .291 | 31 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 102 | +1.1 |
|
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A |
20 | 36→46 | 47→55 | 52→50 | 31 | .178/.230/.308 | .130 | .314 | 15 | 14 | 46% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .220/.268/.368 | .148 | .324 | 17 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .237/.289/.413 | .176 | .298 | 20 | 17 | 27% | 6% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Travis Demeritte 2017 · A |
22 | 36→43 | 49→60 | 52→50 | 36 | .181/.248/.330 | .149 | .316 | 17 | 11 | 46% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.257/.351 | .157 | .294 | 18 | 8 | 38% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .204/.271/.391 | .188 | .288 | 24 | 7 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Will Benson 2021 · A |
23 | 33→43 | 50→55 | 52→55 | 44 | .178/.260/.325 | .147 | .263 | 19 | 13 | 38% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.302/.379 | .172 | .307 | 19 | 18 | 36% | 11% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
●Alex Castellanos 2009 · A |
22 | 44→50 | 46→55 | 57→50 | 35 | .216/.265/.348 | .132 | .303 | 12 | 17 | 32% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .217/.269/.350 | .133 | .310 | 11 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | .231/.292/.408 | .176 | .307 | 18 | 15 | 29% | 6% | 93 | +1.1 |
|
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A |
21 | 42 | 48→60 | 46→45 | 37 | .209/.270/.353 | .143 | .308 | 16 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.247/.306 | .112 | .300 | 11 | 4 | 37% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .135/.188/.204 | .069 | .221 | 4 | 0 | 39% | 6% | -5 | -1.0 |
|
✕Rece Hinds 2022 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 53→60 | 50→55 | 35 | .214/.268/.389 | .175 | .313 | 20 | 10 | 37% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .195/.247/.355 | .160 | .327 | 19 | 16 | 44% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .202/.251/.389 | .186 | .305 | 24 | 22 | 41% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
●James Outman 2019 · A |
22 | 40→49 | 47→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .203/.260/.335 | .132 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.265/.334 | .138 | .273 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .223/.317/.418 | .195 | .310 | 25 | 14 | 34% | 10% | 107 | +2.0 |