Brandon Winokur — OGILVIE

Brandon WinokurOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 21 R/R 6'5" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 238 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .267 / .315

PA238

HR6

SB10

K%37

BB%8

BABIP281

ISO127

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$6M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$34M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	312	45	4	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	370	63	15	2	11	27	165	10	23	6	170	246	311	557	141	263	40	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	612	564	97	14	3	16	36	214	10	28	4	172	234	293	527	121	241	35	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	612	547	121	23	3	19	53	150	10	28	4	221	302	378	680	157	268	25	9	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	MIN	—	357	316	60	10	2	8	33	139	6	21	6	190	279	310	589	120	304	39	9	266	62	-15	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
YTD	21	A+	MIN	—	357	301	75	13	3	11	46	103	6	21	6	249	358	422	780	173	339	29	13	348	125	+10	+2	+0	-2	+10	2.0
ROS	21	A+	MIN	4%	238	213	40	7	1	6	19	87	4	10	3	188	267	315	582	127	277	37	8	262	58	-11	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	4%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		278	36	9	250	49	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	MIN	—	368	326	61	10	2	8	34	143	6	21	6	187	276	304	580	117	299	39	9	266	61	-16	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
TOT	21	A+	MIN	—	595	529	100	17	3	14	52	226	10	31	9	189	274	312	586	123	295	38	9	264	60	-27	+3	+0	-4	+17	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	36%	581	520	104	18	3	18	47	203	9	20	5	200	278	350	628	150	282	35	8	280	72	-18	+2	+1	-3	+16	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	MIN	49%	609	545	113	19	3	21	50	205	9	21	5	207	285	369	654	161	284	34	8	292	82	-13	+2	+1	-4	+17	0.4
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	627	561	119	20	3	23	52	206	9	22	5	212	289	381	671	169	286	33	8	301	89	-8	+2	+1	-4	+18	0.9
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	638	570	123	21	3	25	54	207	9	22	6	216	294	395	689	179	286	32	8	306	93	-5	+2	+1	-4	+18	1.2
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	637	569	123	20	3	26	54	206	9	22	6	216	294	399	693	183	287	32	8	309	95	-4	+2	+1	-4	+18	1.3
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	634	565	121	20	3	25	55	206	9	22	6	214	294	393	687	179	286	32	9	309	95	-4	+2	+1	-4	+18	1.3
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	629	560	120	20	3	25	55	205	9	21	5	214	295	395	690	180	286	33	9	308	94	-4	+2	-0	-4	+18	1.2
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	619	551	117	19	3	24	54	203	9	19	5	212	293	388	682	176	285	33	9	306	92	-5	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.0
2035	30	MLB	MIN	53%	609	541	115	19	3	24	54	201	9	17	4	213	295	392	687	179	283	33	9	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+17	0.7
2036	31	MLB	MIN	52%	595	529	111	18	3	23	52	199	9	14	4	210	292	386	677	176	280	33	9	299	87	-9	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.4
2037	32	MLB	MIN	52%	576	512	105	17	3	21	51	195	8	11	3	205	287	373	660	168	277	34	9	294	83	-11	+1	-3	-3	+16	-0.0
2027	22	MLB	MIN	36%	210	188	36	6	1	6	17	73	3	7	2	191	269	330	599	138	282	35	8	269	64	-9	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	MIN	49%	300	268	55	9	2	10	25	101	4	10	3	205	283	366	648	160	284	34	8	281	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	333	297	64	11	2	12	28	109	5	11	3	215	294	387	681	172	286	33	8	291	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	350	312	68	11	2	14	30	114	5	12	3	218	297	401	697	183	287	33	9	296	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	355	317	68	11	2	14	30	115	5	12	3	215	293	394	687	180	287	32	8	298	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	349	311	67	11	2	14	30	113	5	12	3	215	295	399	694	183	286	32	9	298	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	344	306	67	11	2	14	30	112	5	11	3	219	299	405	704	186	286	33	9	297	86	-6	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	330	293	63	10	2	13	29	108	5	10	3	215	297	396	693	181	285	33	9	296	84	-6	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.2
2035	30	MLB	MIN	53%	320	284	60	10	2	12	28	106	5	9	2	211	293	387	681	176	283	33	9	293	82	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2036	31	MLB	MIN	52%	310	276	57	9	1	12	27	103	4	7	2	207	287	377	663	170	281	33	9	289	79	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2037	32	MLB	MIN	52%	299	267	54	9	1	11	26	101	4	6	1	202	283	367	650	165	277	34	9	284	75	-8	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3511	3129	660	108	19	132	301	1159	50	107	28	211	291	384	675	173	284	33	9	291	81	-75	+10	-2	-21	+99	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	122	20	4	24	56	215	9	20	5	211	290	383	674	173	285	33	9	291	81	-14	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	8086	7237	1484	250	39	291	663	2734	123	272	68	205	283	371	654	166	281	34	8	291	81	-173	+27	-3	-49	+229	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	119	20	3	23	53	220	10	22	5	204	282	368	650	163	281	34	8	291	81	-14	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	153	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	116	+7	+2	—	—	+12	2.2
2025	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	529	474	107	20	3	17	44	131	10	26	4	226	305	388	693	162	275	25	8	311	96	-2	+4	—	—	+15	1.7
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	83	73	14	3	0	2	9	19	0	2	0	192	280	315	596	123	226	23	11	270	65	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,514	133	109	213	289	387	-21	+0	4.1	4.0
	/162	664	25	21	213	289	387	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Winokur (OGILVIE)	21	34	60	60	51	189/274/312	123	295	14	31	38%	9%	60	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	37→40	47→65	50	34	194/233/333	139	262	14	11	32%	4%	50	-1.7	197/235/330	133	267	14	9	31%	4%	50	-1.7	216/277/454	238	250	36	8	31%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	35	193/236/341	148	280	19	14	38%	5%	54	-1.4	209/272/403	194	297	25	14	37%	7%	86	+0.8	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	71	-0.3	228/294/419	191	283	24	6	28%	8%	99	+1.7	225/292/420	195	273	25	7	27%	8%	97	+1.3
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A	21	37→47	44→55	49→60	36	192/235/307	115	267	11	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	195/247/308	113	303	10	22	37%	6%	50	-1.8	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
●Trevor Story 2014 · A	21	37→47	46→60	55	36	186/242/313	127	290	13	13	39%	6%	50	-1.8	200/265/357	157	304	17	16	37%	7%	71	-0.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→45	50→60	51→45	41	217/278/367	150	295	18	8	32%	7%	79	+0.3	225/302/408	183	301	21	5	31%	9%	100	+1.7	221/303/414	193	290	23	4	31%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	207/263/331	123	274	12	24	28%	7%	62	-0.9	240/293/369	129	295	11	17	22%	6%	85	+0.7	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→43	46→55	53→50	45	188/278/321	133	289	14	16	37%	10%	68	-0.5	217/294/348	131	331	14	16	35%	9%	81	+0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→41	47→50	53→55	34	193/243/327	134	308	14	10	41%	6%	53	-1.5	200/254/318	118	309	12	12	37%	6%	56	-1.3	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→49	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	68	-0.5	217/268/352	135	313	11	15	33%	4%	70	-0.3	226/288/398	173	303	17	15	30%	6%	89	+0.8
●Bo Naylor 2022 · AA	22	32→42	47→55	54→50	38	173/235/303	129	259	15	11	38%	7%	44	-2.1	216/304/392	176	282	21	13	29%	10%	96	+1.5	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
●Trayce Thompson 2013 · AAA	22	35→45	52→65	51→50	36	192/246/359	167	283	20	10	39%	6%	63	-0.8	195/254/335	140	281	15	15	34%	6%	60	-1.0	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1