Brandon Winokur — OGILVIE

Brandon WinokurOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 21 R/R 6'5" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION569 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP276

ISO129

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	147	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	114	+7	+2	—	—	+9	1.8
2025	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	529	474	107	20	3	17	44	131	10	26	4	226	305	388	693	162	275	25	8	311	97	-2	+4	—	—	+11	1.3
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	83	73	14	3	0	2	9	19	0	2	0	192	280	315	596	123	226	23	11	270	69	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	293	45	4	245	52	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	371	66	15	2	11	26	164	10	23	6	178	251	318	569	140	269	40	6	251	56	-22	+2	—	—	+9	-1.1
2025	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	529	487	84	14	2	13	31	180	10	26	4	172	237	290	526	117	241	34	6	234	45	-35	+4	—	—	+11	-2.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	312	45	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	371	66	15	2	11	26	164	10	23	6	178	251	318	569	140	275	40	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	565	98	16	3	15	35	209	10	28	4	173	234	292	526	119	242	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	612	547	121	23	3	19	53	150	10	28	4	221	302	378	680	157	268	25	9	306	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	293	45	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	372	66	15	2	11	26	164	10	23	6	177	251	317	568	140	269	40	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	562	98	16	3	15	35	209	10	28	4	174	234	294	528	119	241	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	293	45	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	372	66	15	2	11	26	164	10	23	6	177	251	317	568	140	269	40	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	562	98	16	3	15	35	209	10	28	4	174	234	294	528	119	241	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	MIN	—	569	511	101	12	3	16	41	210	10	30	9	198	270	327	597	129	291	37	7	262	64	-25	+2	+0	-3	+12	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIN	—	331	278	70	13	2	10	43	97	6	19	6	252	362	421	783	169	347	29	13	350	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	MIN	—	238	213	51	2	2	11	15	65	4	11	3	239	300	423	723	183	282	27	6	314	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	MIN	4%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		276	40	10	263	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	MIN	—	579	520	102	12	3	16	42	214	10	30	9	196	269	323	592	127	290	37	7	262	64	-25	+2	+0	-3	+13	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	36%	561	507	104	15	3	19	40	187	9	19	5	205	275	359	634	154	279	33	7	282	77	-15	+2	+1	-3	+12	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	597	539	115	17	3	22	44	192	9	20	6	213	284	378	662	165	281	32	7	294	85	-10	+2	+1	-4	+13	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	627	565	122	18	3	24	48	196	9	21	6	216	288	386	674	170	282	31	8	302	91	-7	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	638	575	127	19	3	26	49	197	9	22	6	221	292	400	692	179	283	31	8	307	94	-5	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	637	573	126	19	3	26	50	197	9	22	6	220	293	400	692	180	283	31	8	309	95	-4	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	634	570	125	18	3	26	50	196	9	22	6	219	293	398	691	179	283	31	8	309	95	-4	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	629	565	124	18	3	26	50	196	9	20	6	219	293	400	693	181	282	31	8	308	95	-4	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	619	555	121	18	3	25	50	194	9	19	5	218	293	396	690	178	281	31	8	306	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.6
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	609	546	118	17	3	24	49	192	9	16	4	216	291	390	682	174	280	32	8	303	91	-6	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.4
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	595	533	113	16	3	23	48	189	9	14	4	212	288	383	671	171	277	32	8	299	89	-8	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	36%	203	183	37	5	1	7	15	68	3	7	2	202	274	355	629	153	279	33	7	271	77	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	294	266	57	8	2	11	22	94	4	10	3	214	284	383	668	169	281	32	7	284	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	333	300	66	10	2	13	25	104	5	11	3	220	291	397	688	177	283	31	8	292	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	350	315	69	10	2	14	27	108	5	12	3	219	291	397	688	178	283	31	8	297	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	355	319	71	10	2	15	28	110	5	12	3	223	295	408	703	185	283	31	8	299	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	349	313	70	10	2	15	28	108	5	12	3	224	298	412	710	188	283	31	8	299	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	344	308	68	10	2	14	28	107	5	11	3	221	296	403	699	182	282	31	8	298	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	330	295	64	9	2	13	27	103	5	10	3	217	294	393	687	176	281	31	8	296	93	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	320	286	62	9	1	13	26	101	5	9	2	217	293	392	685	175	280	32	8	293	91	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	310	278	58	8	1	12	25	99	4	7	2	209	283	374	657	165	277	32	8	289	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3188	2863	622	89	17	127	251	1002	46	101	27	217	291	393	684	176	283	31	8	293	84	-33	+9	-0	-19	+69	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	126	18	3	26	51	204	9	21	6	216	289	390	679	175	279	31	8	293	84	-7	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7250	6540	1373	209	35	270	543	2345	111	246	65	210	282	376	658	167	278	32	7	293	84	-68	+17	-0	-37	+133	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	123	19	3	24	49	210	10	22	6	210	282	375	658	166	279	32	8	293	84	-7	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.8	3,203	127	101	218	288	394	-19	+0	4.5	4.3
/162	664	26	21	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Winokur (OGILVIE)	21	34	60	60	49	191/260/318	127	276	9	14	35%	7%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	37→41	47→60	50	34	194/233/333	139	262	14	11	32%	4%	56	-1.9	201/240/340	139	269	14	9	30%	4%	60	-1.6	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→52	46→55	59→55	39	213/256/347	134	267	12	15	26%	4%	68	-1.0	239/275/393	154	305	16	22	27%	4%	85	+0.2	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	36	193/240/341	148	278	18	14	37%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/387	180	291	23	14	36%	7%	83	+0.1	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→45	50→60	51→45	41	217/278/369	152	291	18	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	222/298/396	174	297	20	5	30%	9%	95	+1.0	216/298/397	181	285	21	4	30%	9%	93	+0.7
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	74	-0.5	230/295/419	189	285	24	6	28%	8%	100	+1.3	230/295/426	197	277	25	7	26%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	207/263/331	123	274	12	24	28%	7%	66	-1.1	240/293/365	125	294	11	17	21%	6%	85	+0.2	248/301/372	124	296	11	17	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	44→46	43→55	53→50	40	217/263/333	116	270	11	16	24%	5%	67	-1.1	216/266/341	125	279	12	9	27%	5%	70	-0.8	223/280/397	174	256	23	3	23%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A	21	39→49	44→55	49→60	36	196/239/313	117	273	11	12	32%	5%	53	-2.1	203/255/318	115	309	10	22	35%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→51	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	72	-0.7	217/269/350	133	312	11	15	33%	4%	74	-0.6	233/294/405	172	309	17	15	29%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	54→50	38	198/249/337	139	281	15	16	35%	6%	63	-1.3	226/295/422	196	298	25	12	32%	8%	101	+1.4	225/303/429	204	283	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	37	44→45	47→45	43	190/252/303	113	229	13	12	24%	6%	57	-1.8	224/274/348	124	267	13	8	21%	5%	75	-0.5	259/302/380	121	288	12	8	14%	4%	90	+0.3
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	46→50	43→50	54→50	45	222/284/337	115	285	10	16	25%	7%	76	-0.4	201/261/296	95	269	8	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→44	47→50	53→55	34	193/243/327	134	308	14	10	41%	6%	59	-1.7	201/257/316	115	309	11	12	36%	6%	61	-1.5	277/323/436	159	352	16	16	25%	6%	111	+0.9
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps