Brandon Winokur

OF Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2100ETA2029MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419AMIN411.249/.329/.434142355—.185/.256/.328
202520A+/INTL2 orgs612.221/.302/.378192853—.185/.250/.313
202621AA/A+MIN575.252/.340/.427213073—.213/.285/.352
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIN9.197/.263/.3290066-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB23MLBMIN182.204/.271/.3526674-0.2
2029PROJ47% MLB24MLBMIN252.210/.278/.3699881-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$0.7M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed78
ISO68
wOBA42
K%38
wRC+32
Whiff%22
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%
CompsAlexander Canario (age 22) · Brayan Buelvas (age 22) · Trayce Thompson (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .263 / .329
PA9
HR0
K%33
BB%11
BABIP263
ISO136
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$0.7M———
2035Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $2M $0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKFCL Twins — 7166 19504 4231 01 288338545883 258385 326 385 53 — — — — — —
202419 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411362 9019314 3411510 236 249329434763 185321 288 337 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 529474 10720317 4413110 264 226305388693 162275 258 311 51 — — — — — —
202520 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 8373 14302 9190 20 192280315596 123226 2311 270 69 — — — — — —
202621 AAWichita Wind Surge — 244219 553211 15654 113 251310434743 183297 276 322 72 — — — — — —
202621 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 331278 7013210 43976 196 252362421783 169347 2913 350 73 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7167 13303 3321 01 194239373613 179296 454 247 53 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411372 6914311 2515710 236 185256328583 142268 386 250 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 529486 9014314 3217010 264 185250313563 128248 326 244 51 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEWichita Wind Surge — 244224 50329 11794 113 223272375647 152276 325 275 72 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 331292 601028 311236 196 205295336630 130313 379 276 73 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7167 13303 3321 01 194239373613 179312 454 247 53 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Twins — 7166 19504 4231 01 288338545883 258385 326 385 53 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411372 6914311 2515710 236 185256328583 142279 386 250 55 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411362 9019314 3411510 236 249329434763 185321 288 337 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 612563 10416316 3719610 284 185248309557 124249 326 244 51 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAW2 teams — 612547 12123319 5315010 284 221302378680 157268 259 306 51 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 575516 11013417 4220210 309 213285353638 140306 357 276 73 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW2 teams — 575497 12516421 5816210 309 252340427766 175324 2810 338 73 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7167 13303 3321 01 194239373613 179296 454 247 53 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411373 6914311 2515710 236 185256327583 142268 386 250 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 612560 10416316 3719610 284 186248311558 125248 326 244 51 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 575518 11013417 4220210 309 212285351637 139297 357 276 73 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 411373 6914311 2515710 236 185256327583 142268 386 250 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 612560 10416316 3719610 284 186248311558 125248 326 244 51 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 575518 11013417 4220210 309 212285351637 139297 357 276 73 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIN 4% 648590 11617318 4320410 215 197263329591 132263 317 266 66 -26 +2 +1 -4 +14 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXMIN 4% 98 1000 130 00 197263329592 132263 3311 266 66 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIN 36% 504457 9414316 351547 164 204271351622 147266 317 278 74 -15 +2 +1 -3 +11 -0.5
202924 MLB MLEMIN 47% 537486 10315319 381618 174 210278368646 158268 307 288 81 -12 +2 +1 -3 +12 -0.1
203025 MLB MLEMIN 52% 560507 10916321 401658 184 214282379661 165270 297 294 85 -10 +2 +1 -3 +12 0.2
203126 MLB MLEMIN 54% 578523 11417322 421698 185 217285385670 169271 297 298 88 -9 +2 +1 -3 +13 0.4
203227 MLB MLEMIN 54% 582526 11417322 431698 185 217286384670 167272 297 297 87 -9 +2 +1 -3 +13 0.3
203328 MLB MLEMIN 54% 576520 11217321 431688 154 215284379663 164271 297 295 86 -10 +1 +1 -3 +12 0.1
203429 MLB MLEMIN 53% 562509 10816320 411667 124 213281373654 160269 307 291 83 -11 +1 -0 -3 +12 -0.2
203530 MLB MLEMIN 57% 550498 10415219 401647 103 209277365642 155267 307 286 80 -13 +1 -1 -3 +12 -0.5
202823 MLB CTXMIN 36% 182164 34516 13563 61 204271352623 147266 317 279 74 -6 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
202924 MLB CTXMIN 47% 252228 48719 18764 82 210278369647 159268 307 288 81 -6 +1 +1 -2 +5 -0.0
203025 MLB CTXMIN 52% 291264 578211 21864 92 214283380662 166270 307 294 85 -5 +1 +1 -2 +6 0.1
203126 MLB CTXMIN 54% 314284 629212 23924 102 217285386671 169271 297 298 88 -5 +1 +1 -2 +7 0.2
203227 MLB CTXMIN 54% 316286 629212 23924 102 217286385671 167272 297 298 87 -5 +1 +1 -2 +7 0.2
203328 MLB CTXMIN 54% 313283 619211 23914 82 215284380664 164271 297 295 86 -5 +1 +0 -2 +7 0.1
203429 MLB CTXMIN 53% 299271 589111 22884 72 213281373655 161269 297 291 83 -6 +1 -0 -2 +6 -0.1
203530 MLB CTXMIN 57% 313283 599111 23934 52 210278365643 156267 307 287 80 -7 +0 -0 -2 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22802063 441651283 16667431 6315 214282378660 164272 307 292 76 -45 +7 +3 -14 +49 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 12619324 471929 184 214282379661 165272 307 292 76 -13 +2 +1 -4 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 63285735 119217934213 443196995 21255 208276362638 154273 317 281 76 -98 +12 +6 -28 +101 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 12218322 4620210 226 207276360636 153271 317 281 76 -14 +2 +1 -4 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 331 PAwOBA .343 → .276 (−67)K% 29.3% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.31%÷1.000×1.270——37.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.99%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0129.33%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.790—×1.0121.45%
Singles /BIP24.86%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×1.01223.34%
Doubles /BIP7.18%÷1.000×0.810×1.008×1.0125.94%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷1.000×0.850×1.008×1.0120.96%
Home runs /BIP5.52%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.47%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .343 → .276; ISO .169 → .132; BABIP .347 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 244 PAwOBA .320 → .275 (−45)K% 26.6% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.64%÷1.000×1.220——32.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.15%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0424.48%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.870—×1.0421.49%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷1.000×0.920×0.985×1.04223.91%
Doubles /BIP1.95%÷1.000×0.840×0.985×1.0421.68%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷1.000×0.940×0.985×1.0421.25%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0425.95%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .320 → .275; ISO .183 → .151; BABIP .297 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 529 PAwOBA .303 → .244 (−58)K% 24.8% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.76%÷0.979×1.270——32.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.13%÷0.989×0.710—×1.0275.99%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.790—×1.0271.53%
Singles /BIP19.53%÷0.990×0.920×0.998×1.02718.61%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷1.088×0.810×0.998×1.0274.45%
Triples /BIP0.87%÷0.943×0.850×0.998×1.0270.81%
Home runs /BIP4.96%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0274.23%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .303 → .244; ISO .162 → .126; BABIP .275 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 411 PAwOBA .331 → .250 (−81)K% 28.0% → 38.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.98%÷0.994×1.360——38.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.27%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0306.02%
HBP% /PA2.43%—×0.780—×1.0301.95%
Singles /BIP21.86%÷1.096×0.920×0.979×1.03018.50%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.019×0.830×0.979×1.0306.32%
Triples /BIP1.21%÷0.962×0.910×0.979×1.0301.16%
Home runs /BIP5.67%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0304.85%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .331 → .250; ISO .185 → .141; BABIP .321 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Twins · 71 PAwOBA .374 → .247 (−127)K% 32.4% → 45.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.39%÷1.025×1.440——45.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.63%÷0.963×0.620—×1.0083.66%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.720—×1.0081.02%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷1.018×0.820—×1.00818.88%
Doubles /BIP11.63%÷1.014×0.720—×1.0088.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.934×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP9.30%÷0.913×0.780—×1.0088.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .374 → .247; ISO .258 → .173; BABIP .385 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .