Aidan Smith

OF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP47ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+TB	459	.237/.334/.388	14	41	51	—	.180/.251/.305
2025	21	INTLMesa Solar Sox	56	.222/.375/.311	0	4	105	—
2026	22	A+NYM	327	.246/.329/.444	15	25	62	—	.199/.254/.360
2026	22	ROKTB	28	.174/.296/.261	0	2	12	—	.160/.222/.240
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBNYM	2	.189/.256/.326	0	0	66	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBNYM	117	.193/.261/.335	4	5	70	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBNYM	192	.196/.264/.340	6	7	73	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed89

ISO71

Chase%67

Z-Con%47

wRC+46

wOBA43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 95%

CompsKenedy Corona (age 23) · Troy Stokes Jr. (age 23) · Cooper Bowman (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .256 / .326

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP271

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	54	49	9	2	1	1	4	16	1	0	0	184	259	327	586	143	250	30	7	265	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	30	23	6	0	2	0	6	8	1	6	1	261	433	435	868	174	400	27	20	392	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	368	106	33	1	11	64	103	8	41	6	288	405	473	877	185	368	23	14	389	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	459	397	94	14	2	14	53	143	5	41	6	237	334	388	722	151	328	31	12	324	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	56	45	10	0	2	0	11	11	0	4	1	222	375	311	686	89	294	20	20	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	327	284	70	9	1	15	34	103	1	25	3	246	329	444	773	197	320	31	10	335	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	FCL Rays	—	28	23	4	0	1	0	4	4	0	2	0	174	296	261	557	87	200	14	14	254	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	50	7	1	1	1	3	21	1	0	0	140	204	260	464	120	231	39	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	30	25	4	0	1	0	4	12	1	6	1	160	300	240	540	80	320	40	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	388	85	25	1	10	44	142	8	41	6	219	311	366	677	147	304	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	459	416	75	9	2	13	34	183	5	41	6	180	251	305	556	125	271	40	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	327	297	59	7	1	13	21	135	1	25	3	199	254	360	614	162	280	41	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	28	25	4	0	1	0	2	6	0	2	0	160	222	240	462	80	155	21	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	84	75	11	1	2	1	7	33	2	6	1	147	238	253	491	107	244	39	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	84	72	15	2	3	1	10	24	2	6	1	208	321	361	683	153	298	29	12	311	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	388	85	25	1	10	44	142	8	41	6	219	311	366	677	147	312	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	368	106	33	1	11	64	103	8	41	6	288	405	473	877	185	368	23	14	389	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	468	84	11	2	14	38	205	5	45	7	179	249	301	550	122	277	40	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	442	104	14	4	14	64	154	5	45	7	235	339	380	719	145	324	30	12	324	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	355	322	63	7	2	13	23	141	1	27	3	196	251	351	602	155	286	40	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	355	307	74	9	2	15	38	107	1	27	3	241	327	430	757	189	307	30	11	329	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	84	75	11	1	2	1	7	33	2	6	1	147	238	253	491	107	263	39	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	389	85	25	1	10	44	142	8	41	6	219	311	365	676	147	304	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	467	84	11	2	14	38	205	5	45	7	180	249	302	550	122	271	40	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	355	328	63	7	2	13	23	141	1	27	3	192	251	345	596	152	270	40	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	444	389	85	25	1	10	44	142	8	41	6	219	311	365	676	147	304	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	467	84	11	2	14	38	205	5	45	7	180	249	302	550	122	271	40	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	355	328	63	7	2	13	23	141	1	27	3	192	251	345	596	152	270	40	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	465	424	82	13	2	14	35	171	3	20	3	194	260	333	594	140	280	37	8	266	66	-19	+3	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYM	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	189	256	326	581	137	271	50	0	261	66	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	30%	386	351	69	11	1	12	29	138	3	15	2	198	266	342	608	144	282	36	8	272	70	-14	+2	+1	-2	+8	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYM	44%	433	394	80	13	2	14	33	151	3	16	2	201	269	348	617	147	283	35	8	276	73	-14	+2	+1	-3	+9	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYM	51%	461	419	85	14	2	15	36	158	3	16	2	203	272	350	622	147	283	34	8	278	74	-14	+2	+1	-3	+10	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	474	430	88	15	2	15	37	161	4	15	2	204	273	351	624	146	283	34	8	279	75	-14	+2	+1	-3	+10	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	30%	117	106	20	3	0	4	9	42	1	5	1	193	261	335	595	142	273	36	8	267	70	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYM	44%	192	174	34	5	1	6	15	67	1	7	1	196	264	340	604	144	273	35	8	271	73	-6	+1	+1	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYM	51%	234	212	42	7	1	7	18	80	2	8	1	198	267	342	609	145	274	34	8	273	74	-7	+1	+1	-1	+5	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	249	225	45	7	1	8	20	84	2	8	1	199	268	343	611	144	274	34	8	274	75	-7	+1	+1	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	792	717	141	22	3	25	62	273	6	28	4	197	266	340	607	144	274	34	8	272	69	-25	+4	+2	-5	+17	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	116	18	2	21	51	224	5	23	3	197	267	342	609	145	275	34	8	272	69	-20	+3	+2	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3472	3138	621	106	15	104	271	1246	31	195	27	198	268	341	609	143	285	36	8	270	69	-69	+11	+5	-12	+45	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	116	20	3	19	51	233	6	37	5	198	269	339	608	141	285	36	8	270	69	-21	+4	+1	-4	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gil Coan'46-'56 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,166 PA	4.8	3,166	39	83	245*	295*	383*	-30	+48	5.7	6.9
/162	664	8	17	-6.3	+10.2	1.2	pk7: 8
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	793	25	28	203	269	350	-5	+5	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	21	24	-4.0	+4.4	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aidan Smith (OGILVIE)	23	38→40	46→50	59→60	52	192/258/330	138	280	10	14	37%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→44	43→45	59→60	44	194/276/302	108	285	11	31	34%	9%	66	-1.1	210/284/328	118	287	11	35	29%	8%	74	-0.5	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Brewer Hicklen 2019 · A	23	43→50	48→50	57→60	33	212/266/351	139	326	16	23	38%	5%	73	-0.6	211/275/348	137	327	16	28	38%	6%	76	-0.4	207/283/355	147	290	18	38	33%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Denzel Clarke 2023 · A	23	44	49→50	57→55	41	206/287/357	151	340	16	22	41%	9%	82	+0.0	216/291/362	146	337	15	23	37%	8%	85	+0.2	217/291/360	143	333	13	27	36%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	35→44	48→50	56→55	32	181/235/320	139	288	15	20	42%	5%	54	-2.0	206/266/342	136	290	16	22	33%	6%	71	-0.8	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jacob Melton 2024 · AA	23	37→45	50	58→65	42	201/259/346	145	257	19	31	30%	7%	69	-0.9	221/277/365	144	298	16	35	30%	7%	80	-0.2	224/283/374	150	305	16	44	30%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Jack Brannigan 2024 · A	23	42	50	54→50	43	209/290/360	151	317	19	19	38%	9%	84	+0.2	195/271/346	151	282	18	14	36%	8%	74	-0.5	175/254/322	147	250	17	12	36%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Melky Mesa 2011 · A	24	38→46	49→55	54→55	36	197/257/349	152	292	17	17	37%	6%	69	-0.9	216/268/362	146	312	16	18	35%	5%	76	-0.4	215/255/371	156	295	20	17	34%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Shay Whitcomb 2022 · A	23	45→47	49→55	54→55	35	217/272/360	143	343	18	21	40%	6%	77	-0.3	202/252/350	148	293	20	18	37%	5%	68	-1.0	224/284/376	152	283	20	23	28%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Rece Hinds 2024 · AA	23	42→44	52→55	53→55	32	207/256/379	172	333	20	17	42%	5%	76	-0.4	209/262/373	164	319	19	20	39%	6%	77	-0.3	201/260/363	162	295	20	22	37%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Jordan Nwogu 2023 · A	24	41	48→50	53→55	41	208/280/351	143	297	16	16	34%	7%	78	-0.3	194/255/309	115	287	13	20	35%	6%	59	-1.6	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Chad Hinshaw 2015 · A	24	44→42	47→45	56→55	39	217/292/359	142	298	14	23	31%	6%	85	+0.2	211/284/312	101	305	8	24	31%	7%	71	-0.8	197/271/276	80	293	6	25	32%	7%	55	-1.0

Aidan Smith

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps