Izack Tiger
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%25.0%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 2.63 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 46 | 191 | 59 | 21 | 4 | 92% | 3.5 | 22.4% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 2.93 | 4.90 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 12 | 46 | 191 | 59 | 21 | 4 | 92% | 3.5 | 30.9% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 2.1% | 2.93 | 3.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 8 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 62% | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | 8.56 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 60 | 251 | 63 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 73 | 316 | 87 | 36 | 10 | — | — | 27.5% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 3.74 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 25.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 72 | 302 | 76 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 74 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 71 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 65 | 275 | 67 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 61 | 259 | 62 | 32 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.85 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 53 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 24.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 55 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 54 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 232 | 981 | 241 | 118 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.36 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 102 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 24 | 18 | 64 | 274 | 71 | 35 | 8 | 75% | 2.7 | 25.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.22 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 57 | 200 | 861 | 222 | 109 | 27 | 75% | 2.7 | 25.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.10 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Izack Tiger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 25.0% | 12.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.59 | 24.9% | 13.0% | 210 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 79 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 78 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 73 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 73 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 71 |
| Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.82 | 24.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.90 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 208 | +1.08 | 2.29 | 484 | 71 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 70 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.74 | 31.3% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .256 | 4.66 | 24.1% | 7.0% | 72 | +0.92 | 2.26 | 256 | 70 |
| Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.48 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 182 | 69 |
| Patrick Weigel R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.7% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .197 | 4.88 | 20.0% | 4.0% | 105 | -0.35 | 2.64 | 544 | 69 |
| Cam Sanders R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.83 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.59 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 170 | -0.24 | 3.71 | 483 | 69 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | .358 | 3.05 | 25.5% | 19.0% | 196 | -1.55 | 2.28 | 473 | 68 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.18 | 3.93 | 323 | 68 |
| Brandon Woodruff R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.75 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .291 | 2.85 | 29.8% | 23.7% | 375 | -0.90 | 2.61 | 1,247 | 68 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 68 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 67 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 67 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.30 | 22.9% | 15.7% | 3.9% | .321 | 3.60 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 121 | -1.70 | 2.83 | 577 | 67 |
| Will Schomberg R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.84 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 2.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 66 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 1.23 | 4.64 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |