Joseph Dzierwa
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 22
LHP
6'8" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8998vR 107
ERA3.86
FIP3.86
K%24.3%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%17.6%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 17 | 15 | 86 | 343 | 106 | 21 | 3 | 88% | 5.1 | 24.4% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 1.1% | 2.30 | 2.50 | +2.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BAL | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 24.3% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.86 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.86 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 106 | 427 | 127 | 27 | 5 | — | — | 29.6% | 6.2% | 23.4% | 1.3% | 2.60 | 2.76 | +3.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.3% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 21 | 88 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.9% | 6.7% | 18.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.78 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.9% | 6.7% | 18.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.9% | 6.7% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.40 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 55 | 18 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.9% | 6.7% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.40 | +4.7 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 15 | 86 | 343 | 84 | 24 | 4 | 88% | 5.1 | 24.4% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 1.1% | 2.30 | 2.50 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 35 | 200 | 798 | 195 | 55 | 9 | 88% | 5.1 | 24.4% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 1.1% | 2.30 | 2.50 | +6.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joseph Dzierwa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.86 | 24.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | — | 3.78 | 24.9% | 18.3% | 21 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Andre Davis L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.14 | 19.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | .320 | 5.00 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 98 | +0.86 | 4.14 | 154 | 81 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2027 · 2.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.89 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .252 | 4.07 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 202 | +1.18 | 2.89 | 248 | 81 |
| Jake Bennett L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 76 |
| Andrew Suárez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.05 | 21.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | .297 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 476 | -0.12 | 3.70 | 717 | 76 |
| Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.37 | 3.88 | 491 | 75 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.98 | 17.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | .295 | 6.07 | 15.7% | -0.6% | 82 | +2.09 | 3.98 | 115 | 74 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.90 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .357 | 3.75 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.15 | 3.11 | 524 | 73 |
| Austin Emener L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .306 | 5.42 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 49 | +0.56 | 4.86 | 109 | 72 |
| Nick Bennett L 2025 · 2.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 2.83 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | .264 | 5.12 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 227 | +2.29 | 2.83 | 346 | 72 |
| Reid Detmers L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.95 | 29.9% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .335 | 4.27 | 25.4% | 16.6% | 443 | +0.32 | 2.84 | 690 | 71 |
| Drew Parrish L 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.53 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .261 | 6.22 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.69 | 3.53 | 522 | 71 |
| Jake Eder L 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.73 | 27.9% | 10.3% | 1.2% | .253 | 5.07 | 20.8% | 7.4% | 156 | +2.34 | 2.73 | 335 | 70 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 70 |
| Hunter Barco L 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 69 |
| Carson Dorsey L 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.99 | 24.5% | 11.5% | 0.9% | .313 | 5.47 | 18.3% | 5.8% | 65 | +2.48 | 2.99 | 107 | 69 |
| John Doxakis L 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.21 | 21.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | .279 | 4.95 | 18.0% | 5.1% | 229 | +1.74 | 3.21 | 332 | 69 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 69 |
| Jordan Wicks L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.89 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .329 | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 278 | +0.18 | 2.93 | 431 | 69 |
| Daviel Hurtado L 2025 · 3.10 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.10 | 20.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% | .179 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 122 | 69 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 68 |