Eddy Felix — OGILVIE

Eddy Felix P FCL Tigers

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.8 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.25

FIP4.25

K%23.1%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%14.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	8	1	14	53	19	4	1	12%	1.8	24.4%	9.4%	14.9%	2.7%	1.93	3.69	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	8	1	14	53	19	4	1	12%	1.8	35.8%	7.5%	28.3%	1.9%	1.93	2.17	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	49	199	68	17	2	100%	4.5	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	1.4%	3.12	3.27	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	49	199	68	17	2	100%	4.5	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	1.4%	3.12	3.27	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	49	199	68	17	2	100%	4.5	34.2%	8.5%	25.6%	1.0%	3.12	1.90	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	8	8	32	127	42	6	5	100%	4.0	22.5%	5.9%	16.6%	6.3%	2.51	5.39	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	8	8	32	127	42	6	5	100%	4.0	22.5%	5.9%	16.6%	6.3%	2.51	5.39	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	8	8	32	127	42	6	5	100%	4.0	33.1%	4.7%	28.3%	3.9%	2.51	3.07	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	DET	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	23.1%	8.2%	14.9%	3.1%	4.25	4.25	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	46	193	46	15	6	100%	5.1	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	3.0%	4.18	4.13	+0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	47	198	48	16	6	100%	5.9	24.4%	7.9%	16.5%	3.0%	4.11	4.06	+0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	48	201	50	16	6	100%	5.9	24.7%	7.8%	16.9%	3.0%	4.06	4.01	+0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	48	201	50	16	6	100%	5.9	24.9%	7.8%	17.1%	3.0%	4.03	4.00	+0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	47	198	49	16	6	100%	5.8	24.9%	7.9%	17.0%	3.0%	4.03	4.04	+0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	DET	4	4	23	97	23	8	3	100%	5.8	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	2.9%	4.11	4.06	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	33	139	34	11	4	100%	5.5	24.4%	7.9%	16.5%	2.9%	4.04	3.99	+0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	39	165	41	13	5	100%	5.6	24.7%	7.8%	16.9%	2.8%	3.99	3.94	+0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	42	177	44	14	5	100%	6.0	24.9%	7.8%	17.1%	2.8%	3.96	3.93	+0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	42	177	44	14	5	100%	6.0	24.9%	7.9%	17.0%	2.9%	3.96	3.97	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	178	750	185	59	21	100%	5.7	24.6%	7.9%	16.8%	2.9%	4.00	3.59	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	208	66	24	100%	5.8	24.6%	7.9%	16.8%	2.9%	4.00	3.59	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		27	20	95	379	88	34	12	74%	3.5	23.1%	8.9%	14.2%	3.2%	2.74	4.04	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	42	200	795	184	71	26	74%	3.5	23.1%	8.9%	14.2%	3.2%	2.74	4.04	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eddy Felix (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.25	23.1%	8.2%	3.1%	—	4.07	24.3%	16.4%	140	-0.18	—	—	—
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	82
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	81
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	81
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	81
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	81
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	81
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	81
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	81
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	80
Ricky DeVito R 2021 · 4.04 FIP	22	SP	4.04	22.8%	8.8%	3.2%	.309	4.65	21.5%	2.4%	151	+0.61	4.04	215	80
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	79
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	79
Caleb Sampen R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	22	SP	3.46	21.7%	8.3%	2.1%	.358	3.49	15.2%	6.8%	139	+0.03	3.09	213	79
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	79
Clarke Schmidt R 2018 · 3.53 FIP	22	SP	3.53	23.1%	8.5%	2.4%	.324	3.26	21.3%	13.1%	108	-0.27	2.77	537	78
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	78
Jimmy Joyce R 2021 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP	3.78	25.0%	9.0%	3.0%	.341	4.03	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.25	3.39	259	78
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	78
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	43	24.4%	7.9%	1.16	4.10
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68