Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 18 | 83 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 80% | 3.5 | 10.2% | 10.3% | -0.1% | 4.6% | 3.57 | 6.09 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 18 | 83 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 80% | 3.5 | 14.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 4.40 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | 5 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 2.66 | 4.36 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | 5 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 29.7% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 2.2% | 2.66 | 2.76 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 35 | 6 | 70 | 325 | 90 | 43 | 6 | 17% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 5.40 | 4.05 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 35 | 6 | 70 | 325 | 90 | 43 | 6 | 17% | 2.0 | 27.7% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 1.8% | 5.40 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 32 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.6% | 20.2% | -3.6% | 3.4% | 7.52 | 6.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 32 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 19.5% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 7.52 | 5.61 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 41 | 0 | 54 | 247 | 74 | 53 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 23.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 4.00 | 4.50 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 41 | 0 | 54 | 247 | 74 | 53 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.0% | 21.5% | 8.5% | 0.8% | 4.00 | 3.79 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 19 | 0 | 28 | 129 | 31 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 22.2% | -2.7% | 0.0% | 4.23 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 19 | 0 | 28 | 129 | 31 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.0% | 20.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 4.23 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.83 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.83 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.83 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 130 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.83 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 132 | 15 | 222 | 1034 | 210 | 185 | 20 | 11% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.82 | 4.69 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 14 | 200 | 932 | 189 | 167 | 18 | 11% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.82 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ricky DeVito (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 22.6% | 15.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.87 | 22.5% | 7.6% | 20 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 82 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 81 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 80 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 80 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 80 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 79 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 79 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 78 |
| Kyle Grana R 2024 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.67 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 78 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 78 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 78 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 78 |