Ryan Forcucci — OGILVIE

Ryan Forcucci P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.81

FIP5.81

K%20.2%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%1.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL5055

CMD4055

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	HOU	13	10	17	114	11	40	1	77%	1.3	9.6%	35.1%	-25.4%	0.9%	19.06	7.21	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	HOU	1	1	5	22	4	4	1	100%	5.2	20.2%	18.9%	1.3%	3.0%	5.81	5.81	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	22	136	15	44	2	—	—	11.3%	32.5%	-21.1%	1.2%	15.96	7.77	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	63	266	57	42	8	100%	5.7	21.2%	15.9%	5.3%	3.0%	5.46	5.32	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	64	270	59	38	8	100%	5.8	21.8%	14.0%	7.8%	2.9%	5.17	5.02	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	64	270	60	37	8	100%	5.8	22.1%	13.7%	8.4%	2.9%	5.03	4.96	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	10	10	63	266	59	36	8	100%	6.3	22.1%	13.7%	8.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.99	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	HOU	5	5	27	114	24	18	3	100%	5.4	21.2%	15.9%	5.3%	3.0%	5.46	5.32	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	7	7	42	177	39	25	5	100%	6.0	21.8%	14.0%	7.8%	2.9%	5.17	5.02	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	8	8	51	215	48	29	6	100%	6.4	22.1%	13.7%	8.4%	2.9%	5.03	4.96	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	9	9	54	228	50	31	7	100%	6.0	22.1%	13.7%	8.5%	3.0%	5.00	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	174	733	160	103	22	100%	6.0	21.9%	14.1%	7.8%	3.0%	5.12	4.66	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	184	119	25	100%	5.9	21.9%	14.1%	7.8%	3.0%	5.12	4.66	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		13	10	17	114	8	47	1	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	118	200	1341	96	555	15	77%	1.3	7.1%	41.4%	-34.3%	1.1%	19.06	8.37	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Forcucci (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.81	20.2%	18.9%	3.0%	—	5.10	21.7%	7.2%	191	-0.71	—	—	—
Logan Boyer R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	.306	3.71	25.0%	12.7%	27	-1.89	3.71	121	76
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	76
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	75
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	73
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	73
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.41	20.0%	8.4%	215	-1.19	4.34	257	69
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.37	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.24	2.10	346	69
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	68
Casey Anderson R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	11.8%	16.5%	2.6%	.382	4.97	16.7%	3.3%	237	-0.65	4.06	246	67
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	67
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	67
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	67
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	66
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	66
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.86	21.2%	7.8%	249	-0.10	3.82	319	66
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	65
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	4.00	23.2%	11.3%	197	-1.56	3.60	269	65
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	65
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.53	352	64
Andrew Dalquist R 2023 · 6.27 FIP	22	SP-	6.27	15.7%	19.2%	3.8%	.312	5.09	19.5%	1.5%	124	-1.18	3.84	373	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	63	21.5%	15.2%	1.15	5.29
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91