Rubén Menes — OGILVIE

Rubén Menes P Peoria Chiefs

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%20.2%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	5	3	12	57	11	10	1	60%	2.4	13.1%	21.9%	-8.8%	2.5%	4.50	6.12	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	5	3	12	57	11	10	1	60%	2.4	13.1%	21.9%	-8.8%	2.5%	4.50	6.12	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	5	3	12	57	11	10	1	60%	2.4	19.3%	17.5%	1.8%	1.8%	4.50	4.85	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	5	4	19	82	19	10	2	80%	3.9	15.8%	15.2%	0.5%	3.5%	3.72	5.62	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	5	4	19	82	19	10	2	80%	3.9	15.8%	15.2%	0.5%	3.5%	3.72	5.62	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	5	4	19	82	19	10	2	80%	3.9	23.2%	12.2%	11.0%	2.4%	3.72	4.03	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	37	176	36	15	3	69%	2.8	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	0.9%	6.08	3.39	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	37	176	36	15	3	69%	2.8	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	0.9%	6.08	3.39	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	37	176	36	15	3	69%	2.8	20.5%	8.5%	11.9%	1.7%	6.08	3.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	36	0	64	279	60	34	6	0%	1.8	15.5%	15.7%	-0.3%	3.2%	4.36	5.55	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	36	0	64	279	60	34	6	0%	1.8	15.5%	15.7%	-0.3%	3.2%	4.36	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	STL	5	0	12	45	13	2	0	0%	2.5	28.9%	4.4%	24.4%	0.0%	0.73	1.22	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	STL	31	0	52	234	47	32	6	0%	1.7	20.1%	13.7%	6.4%	2.6%	5.23	4.54	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	60	0	64	268	56	27	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.9%	11.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	60	0	64	268	57	26	8	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.9%	4.56	4.53	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	60	0	62	264	57	26	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	26	0	27	114	24	11	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.9%	11.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	40	0	42	177	38	17	5	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.9%	4.56	4.53	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	46	0	48	203	43	20	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		112	0	118	498	106	49	15	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.57	4.17	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	83	25	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.57	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		59	16	132	594	91	84	15	27%	2.2	15.4%	14.2%	1.2%	2.5%	4.76	4.97	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	24	200	898	138	127	22	27%	2.2	15.4%	14.2%	1.2%	2.5%	4.76	4.97	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rubén Menes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	20.2%	10.5%	2.9%	—	4.55	21.2%	11.3%	190	-0.17	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	83
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	82
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	81
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	81
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	80
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	80
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	80
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	80
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	80
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	80
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	79
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	79
Ryan Shreve R 2022 · 3.70 FIP	24	SU	3.70	18.9%	10.1%	1.7%	.260	4.73	15.6%	6.4%	203	+1.03	3.16	290	79
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	79
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	79
Armando Ruiz R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	51	21.2%	9.9%	1.14	4.59
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21