Casey Anderson
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 119
ERA5.28
FIP5.28
K%16.4%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%2.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 86% | 1.5 | 11.8% | 16.5% | -4.7% | 2.6% | 8.44 | 5.61 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 86% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 14.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 8.44 | 4.88 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 21 | 89 | 412 | 93 | 47 | 12 | 100% | 4.2 | 16.7% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.37 | 5.12 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 21 | 89 | 412 | 93 | 47 | 12 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 6.37 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 29 | 13 | 97 | 442 | 93 | 45 | 6 | 45% | 3.3 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 5.85 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 29 | 13 | 97 | 442 | 93 | 45 | 6 | 45% | 3.3 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 5.85 | 3.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 32 | 1 | 45 | 205 | 48 | 29 | 8 | 3% | 1.4 | 19.3% | 15.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.25 | 5.96 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 115 | 501 | 97 | 70 | 16 | — | — | 19.3% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.66 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.4% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.28 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 52 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.16 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 52 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.16 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 57 | 42 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 4.75 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 111 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 41 | 241 | 1116 | 192 | 151 | 31 | 46% | 2.7 | 17.2% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.23 | 4.88 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 34 | 200 | 925 | 159 | 125 | 26 | 46% | 2.7 | 17.2% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.23 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Casey Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 16.4% | 13.8% | 2.6% | — | 5.13 | 17.7% | 4.5% | 139 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Brad Allen R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.3% | .315 | 6.07 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 87 | +1.85 | 4.22 | 149 | 85 |
| Raymar Navarro R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.2% | .332 | 4.29 | 11.8% | 1.0% | 41 | +0.17 | 4.12 | 108 | 84 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 83 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 83 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 82 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 82 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 183 | +0.73 | 3.41 | 390 | 81 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 80 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 80 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 79 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.27 | 18.5% | 14.8% | 3.4% | .299 | 5.57 | 22.2% | 8.0% | 29 | +0.30 | 4.12 | 263 | 78 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 78 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 1.03 | 5.18 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |