Casey Anderson — OGILVIE

Casey Anderson P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%16.4%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%1.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	11	57	9	8	1	86%	1.5	11.8%	16.5%	-4.7%	2.6%	8.44	5.62	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	11	57	9	8	1	86%	1.5	11.8%	16.5%	-4.7%	2.6%	8.44	5.62	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	6	11	57	9	8	1	86%	1.5	15.8%	14.0%	1.8%	1.8%	8.44	4.88	—
2024	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	3.4%	6.37	5.28	—
2024	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	3.4%	6.37	5.28	—
2024	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	22.6%	11.4%	11.2%	2.9%	6.37	4.35	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	17.3%	12.4%	4.9%	1.6%	5.85	4.06	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	17.3%	12.4%	4.9%	1.6%	5.85	4.06	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	21.0%	10.2%	10.9%	1.4%	5.85	3.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	49	1	61	292	56	43	10	2%	1.2	15.7%	14.6%	1.0%	4.0%	6.79	5.83	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	49	1	61	292	56	43	10	2%	1.2	15.7%	14.6%	1.0%	4.0%	6.79	5.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	ARI	24	0	34	154	38	20	7	0%	1.4	24.7%	13.0%	11.7%	4.5%	5.82	5.16	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	ARI	25	1	27	138	18	23	3	4%	1.1	13.0%	16.7%	-3.6%	2.2%	8.00	5.30	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	4	1	0%	1.0	16.4%	14.6%	1.8%	2.7%	5.40	5.40	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	67	317	60	47	11	—	—	19.0%	14.7%	4.2%	3.4%	6.67	5.79	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	83	0	87	369	64	51	10	0%	1.1	17.4%	13.9%	3.5%	2.7%	5.26	5.24	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	82	0	86	363	64	49	10	0%	1.0	17.7%	13.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.20	5.21	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	79	0	83	352	63	47	10	0%	1.1	17.8%	13.3%	4.5%	2.9%	5.21	5.24	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	76	0	80	336	66	42	10	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.6%	7.1%	3.0%	5.12	5.08	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	71	0	75	316	61	41	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.9%	6.4%	3.2%	5.20	5.25	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	36	0	38	160	28	22	4	0%	1.1	17.4%	13.9%	3.5%	2.7%	5.26	5.24	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52	0	55	232	41	31	6	0%	1.1	17.7%	13.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.20	5.21	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	60	0	63	266	47	35	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	13.3%	4.5%	2.9%	5.21	5.24	-0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	62	0	65	274	54	35	8	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.6%	7.1%	3.0%	5.12	5.08	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	61	0	64	270	52	35	9	0%	1.0	19.3%	12.9%	6.4%	3.2%	5.20	5.25	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		272	0	285	1204	222	159	35	0%	1.0	18.5%	13.2%	5.3%	2.9%	5.19	4.82	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	112	25	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.2%	5.3%	2.9%	5.19	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		106	41	258	1203	198	162	34	39%	2.4	16.4%	13.5%	3.0%	2.8%	6.36	4.98	-3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	32	200	934	153	126	27	39%	2.4	16.4%	13.5%	3.0%	2.8%	6.36	4.98	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Casey Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	16.4%	14.6%	2.7%	—	5.23	17.6%	4.1%	257	-0.17	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	86
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	84
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	83
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	82
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	82
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	81
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	80
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	80
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	80
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	79
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	79
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	79
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	79
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	79
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	78
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	80	18.0%	13.5%	1.11	5.23
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91