Casey Anderson
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.1%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%9.3%
IP80
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 7 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11.8% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 8.44 | 5.62 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 21 | 89 | 412 | 93 | 47 | 12 | 16.7% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 6.37 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 29 | 13 | 97 | 442 | 93 | 45 | 6 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 1.6% | 5.85 | 4.06 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 5 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 8.59 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 337 | 64 | 43 | 9 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.95 | 4.95 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 87 | 376 | 72 | 49 | 13 | 19.1% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 4.53 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 337 | 66 | 42 | 9 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.86 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 14 | 79 | 334 | 67 | 41 | 9 | 19.9% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.83 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 14 | 78 | 329 | 66 | 40 | 9 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.83 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 64 | 39 | 9 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.86 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 62 | 38 | 9 | 19.8% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.93 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 5.00 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 12 | 68 | 289 | 56 | 36 | 9 | 19.3% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 5.04 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 52 | 35 | 9 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 49 | 33 | 8 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 45 | 32 | 8 | 18.2% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 5.34 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 40 | 204 | 950 | 160 | 125 | 27 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 6.31 | 4.88 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 39 | 200 | 931 | 157 | 123 | 26 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 6.31 | 4.88 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Casey Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 2.7% | — | 4.84 | 19.8% | 7.7% | 237 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 95 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 91 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.07 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.87 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.07 | 120 | 91 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.23 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.35 | 13.7% | 5.0% | 129 | +0.12 | 3.93 | 258 | 90 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 90 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 141 | 88 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.84 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .321 | 2.58 | 27.5% | 18.5% | 46 | -2.26 | 2.58 | 199 | 88 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 88 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 88 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 88 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 87 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .338 | 3.89 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.64 | 3.89 | 143 | 87 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 87 |
| Merrick Baldo R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.61 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 116 | 87 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .312 | 3.94 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 136 | -0.09 | 3.36 | 206 | 87 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Jairo Díaz R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.54 | 18.8% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.31 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 18 | -1.23 | 2.97 | 190 | 86 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 86 |
| Armando Rivero R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 86 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.75 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 124 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.