Eric Bitonti
1B Wisconsin Timber Rattlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 358 | .282/.406/.544 | 16 | 12 | 76 | — | .190/.279/.364 |
| 2025 | 19 | ACarolina Mudc… | 505 | .238/.345/.421 | 19 | 17 | 54 | — | .179/.263/.293 |
| 2026 | 20 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 576 | .264/.384/.502 | 27 | 28 | 96 | — | .205/.300/.384 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIL | 1 | .188/.276/.343 | 0 | 0 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 22 | MLBMIL | 169 | .197/.285/.368 | 6 | 4 | 84 | -0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 23 | MLBMIL | 261 | .204/.292/.390 | 11 | 5 | 91 | -0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 48 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 333 | 410 | 744 | 231 | 227 | 31 | 19 | 334 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 132 | 113 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 221 | 323 | 487 | 810 | 265 | 250 | 30 | 12 | 350 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 226 | 181 | 58 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 320 | 453 | 580 | 1.033 | 260 | 442 | 27 | 19 | 448 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 428 | 102 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 66 | 169 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 238 | 345 | 421 | 766 | 182 | 336 | 33 | 13 | 340 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 28 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 208 | 368 | 83 | 188 | 39 | 4 | 149 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 489 | 400 | 108 | 25 | 1 | 25 | 81 | 161 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 270 | 395 | 525 | 920 | 255 | 379 | 33 | 17 | 399 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 59 | 50 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 280 | 390 | 460 | 850 | 180 | 414 | 32 | 14 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 48 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 143 | 185 | 46 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 132 | 117 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 171 | 254 | 368 | 621 | 197 | 208 | 39 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 226 | 199 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 88 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 201 | 293 | 362 | 655 | 161 | 322 | 39 | 11 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 447 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 223 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 179 | 263 | 293 | 556 | 114 | 299 | 44 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 28 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 208 | 368 | 83 | 182 | 46 | 4 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 489 | 424 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 204 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 210 | 308 | 394 | 702 | 184 | 335 | 42 | 12 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 48 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 143 | 211 | 46 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | ACL Brewers | — | 48 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 333 | 410 | 744 | 231 | 227 | 31 | 19 | 334 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 316 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 140 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 190 | 279 | 364 | 643 | 174 | 287 | 39 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 358 | 294 | 83 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 100 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 282 | 406 | 544 | 950 | 262 | 370 | 28 | 16 | 412 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 447 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 223 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 179 | 263 | 293 | 556 | 114 | 311 | 44 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 428 | 102 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 66 | 169 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 238 | 345 | 421 | 766 | 182 | 336 | 33 | 13 | 340 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 499 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 22 | 66 | 243 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 208 | 305 | 393 | 697 | 184 | 339 | 42 | 11 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 576 | 474 | 125 | 30 | 1 | 27 | 90 | 191 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 264 | 384 | 502 | 886 | 238 | 371 | 33 | 16 | 385 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 48 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 143 | 185 | 46 | 12 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 316 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 140 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 190 | 279 | 364 | 643 | 174 | 280 | 39 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 449 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 223 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 178 | 263 | 292 | 555 | 114 | 299 | 44 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 502 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 22 | 66 | 243 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 207 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 183 | 327 | 42 | 11 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 316 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 140 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 190 | 279 | 364 | 643 | 174 | 280 | 39 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 505 | 449 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 223 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 178 | 263 | 292 | 555 | 114 | 299 | 44 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 502 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 22 | 66 | 243 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 207 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 183 | 327 | 42 | 11 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 627 | 554 | 105 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 239 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 189 | 278 | 342 | 619 | 153 | 283 | 38 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -19 | +2 | -2 | -11 | +14 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | MIL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 276 | 343 | 620 | 155 | 278 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 75 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 35% | 489 | 433 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 181 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 198 | 286 | 366 | 652 | 168 | 285 | 37 | 10 | 292 | 84 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -9 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 49% | 537 | 473 | 96 | 19 | 1 | 21 | 56 | 192 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 205 | 293 | 387 | 680 | 181 | 287 | 36 | 10 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -10 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 560 | 493 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 196 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 211 | 298 | 400 | 698 | 189 | 288 | 35 | 11 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -10 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 578 | 510 | 109 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 60 | 198 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 214 | 301 | 408 | 709 | 193 | 289 | 34 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 56% | 590 | 521 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 26 | 61 | 198 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 216 | 303 | 411 | 714 | 195 | 289 | 34 | 10 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 590 | 521 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 25 | 61 | 199 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 302 | 409 | 711 | 193 | 288 | 34 | 10 | 315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 582 | 514 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 60 | 198 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 214 | 300 | 404 | 704 | 190 | 287 | 34 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 565 | 499 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 23 | 58 | 194 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 297 | 398 | 695 | 187 | 286 | 34 | 10 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -10 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 552 | 487 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 191 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 294 | 390 | 685 | 182 | 284 | 35 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 534 | 473 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 21 | 54 | 187 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 290 | 381 | 671 | 176 | 281 | 35 | 10 | 299 | 88 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 511 | 453 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 51 | 181 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 284 | 369 | 652 | 169 | 277 | 35 | 10 | 291 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -9 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 475 | 423 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 171 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 193 | 276 | 353 | 630 | 160 | 271 | 36 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -8 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 35% | 169 | 148 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 197 | 285 | 368 | 653 | 172 | 280 | 37 | 11 | 292 | 84 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 49% | 261 | 231 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 94 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 204 | 292 | 390 | 682 | 186 | 282 | 36 | 10 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 295 | 260 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 103 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 210 | 297 | 403 | 701 | 194 | 283 | 35 | 11 | 311 | 96 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 316 | 278 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 108 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 213 | 300 | 411 | 712 | 198 | 284 | 34 | 10 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 56% | 328 | 289 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 110 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 302 | 415 | 717 | 199 | 284 | 34 | 10 | 317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 325 | 286 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 110 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 301 | 412 | 713 | 198 | 284 | 34 | 10 | 316 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 318 | 280 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 108 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 195 | 283 | 34 | 10 | 313 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 301 | 265 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 103 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 297 | 401 | 698 | 191 | 281 | 34 | 10 | 310 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 290 | 257 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 100 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 293 | 394 | 687 | 186 | 280 | 34 | 10 | 305 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 278 | 247 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 97 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 289 | 384 | 673 | 180 | 276 | 35 | 10 | 300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 265 | 235 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 283 | 372 | 654 | 173 | 272 | 35 | 10 | 292 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 246 | 219 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 276 | 356 | 632 | 164 | 267 | 36 | 10 | 283 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3392 | 2995 | 623 | 113 | 8 | 145 | 350 | 1178 | 18 | 45 | 9 | 208 | 295 | 396 | 691 | 188 | 283 | 35 | 10 | 306 | 88 | -29 | +5 | -12 | -61 | +73 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 120 | 22 | 2 | 28 | 67 | 226 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 209 | 295 | 401 | 695 | 192 | 285 | 35 | 10 | 306 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8260 | 7289 | 1488 | 295 | 16 | 320 | 853 | 2994 | 42 | 148 | 32 | 204 | 291 | 381 | 672 | 177 | 290 | 36 | 10 | 299 | 88 | -66 | +11 | -24 | -121 | +147 | -5.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 25 | 67 | 236 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 202 | 289 | 376 | 665 | 174 | 287 | 36 | 10 | 299 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 489 PAwOBA .393 → .310 (−83)K% 32.9% → 41.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 41.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 11.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 8.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 8.59% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .393 → .310; ISO .255 → .197; BABIP .379 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 28 PAwOBA .162 → .157 (−5)K% 39.3% → 47.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 2.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 7.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 14.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .162 → .157; ISO .083 → .085; BABIP .188 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 505 PAwOBA .335 → .248 (−87)K% 33.5% → 44.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.47% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .248; ISO .182 → .117; BABIP .336 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Brewers · 226 PAwOBA .436 → .296 (−140)K% 27.0% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.99% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.14% | ÷1.014 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×0.966 | ×1.008 | 19.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.17% | ÷1.088 | ×0.720 | ×0.966 | ×1.008 | 9.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.966 | ×1.008 | 1.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 5.53% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .436 → .296; ISO .260 → .184; BABIP .442 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 132 PAwOBA .346 → .254 (−91)K% 29.5% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.55% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.86% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 12.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 8.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .346 → .254; ISO .265 → .187; BABIP .250 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 48 PAwOBA .327 → .221 (−105)K% 31.2% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 11.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 10.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 7.40% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .327 → .221; ISO .231 → .164; BABIP .227 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .