Ben Jacobs
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 22
LHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%25.7%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 15 | 12 | 58 | 242 | 87 | 29 | 6 | 80% | 3.8 | 27.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 42 | 179 | 46 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | DET | — | — | 100 | 421 | 133 | 50 | 11 | — | — | 31.6% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 25.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 44 | 185 | 49 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 26.2% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 26.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 52 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 52 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.9% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 26.9% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 44 | 184 | 49 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 26.2% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 4.13 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.8% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 45 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.9% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 47 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.01 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 45 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 211 | 891 | 238 | 88 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 3.66 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 226 | 83 | 24 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 12 | 58 | 242 | 66 | 34 | 7 | 80% | 3.8 | 27.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 42 | 200 | 839 | 230 | 116 | 26 | 80% | 3.8 | 27.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Jacobs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 25.7% | 11.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.14 | 26.6% | 16.4% | 134 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 83 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 82 |
| Brent Killam L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 80 |
| Hunter Barco L 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 80 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 80 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 78 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.90 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .357 | 3.75 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.15 | 3.11 | 524 | 78 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 78 |
| Evan Lee L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 77 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 77 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 77 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.95 | 4.24 | 501 | 77 |
| Mason Molina L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.28 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.56 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 69 | -0.72 | 3.56 | 165 | 77 |
| A.J. Block L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 76 |
| Brent Headrick L 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 76 |
| Noah Schultz L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.49 | 24.1% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 264 | 75 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 75 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 75 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 44 | 26.6% | 10.2% | 1.15 | 4.19 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Brad Boxberger ('23) | 8 | 43 | 27.1% | 11.7% | 1.17 | 3.86 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |