Sean Paul Liñan

P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.1 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #340MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP41ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	19	5	70	4.37	2.86	31.3%	8.8%	—	K 21.5% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.07
2025	20	MIX3 levels	19	15	77	3.03	2.48	33.0%	10.3%	—	K 25.0% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.33
2026	21	MIX2 levels	23	21	91	5.81	4.28	25.6%	11.1%	—	K 20.2% · BB 13.3% · FIP 5.28
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYY	15	15	90	4.92	4.92	21.5%	12.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYY	11	11	63	4.81	4.70	22.7%	10.6%	0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBNYY	19	19	109	4.62	4.51	23.4%	9.7%	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$8M2033Arb-3$10M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff56Control45Command55FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 78%

CompsJake Lyons (age 22) · Nick Garcia (age 22) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%21.5%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%9.4%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$15M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD3555

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+1.1	$6M	+$1M
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$25M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	26	99	27	11	0	0%	1.7	18.5%	13.9%	4.7%	0.0%	2.08	3.29	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	26	99	27	11	0	0%	1.7	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	0.0%	2.08	2.29	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	6	36	165	43	11	3	50%	3.0	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	2.5%	4.54	4.05	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	12	6	36	165	43	11	3	50%	3.0	26.1%	6.7%	19.4%	1.8%	4.54	2.71	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.4%	4.37	4.07	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.4%	4.37	4.07	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	31.3%	8.8%	22.6%	2.4%	4.37	2.86	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	25.0%	10.7%	14.4%	1.8%	3.03	3.33	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	25.0%	10.7%	14.4%	1.8%	3.03	3.33	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	33.0%	10.3%	22.7%	1.6%	3.03	2.48	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	91	414	106	46	14	91%	4.0	20.2%	13.3%	7.0%	4.0%	5.81	5.28	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	91	414	106	46	14	91%	4.0	20.2%	13.3%	7.0%	4.0%	5.81	5.28	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	91	414	106	46	14	91%	4.0	25.6%	11.1%	14.5%	3.4%	5.81	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYY	15	15	90	380	82	46	12	100%	6.0	21.5%	12.1%	9.4%	3.1%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	22	22	127	538	122	57	17	100%	5.8	22.7%	10.6%	12.1%	3.1%	4.70	4.59	+0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	27	27	157	661	155	64	20	100%	5.8	23.4%	9.7%	13.8%	3.0%	4.51	4.40	+0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	30	30	175	739	176	67	22	100%	5.8	23.8%	9.1%	14.7%	3.0%	4.37	4.28	+1.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	29	29	175	739	177	67	22	100%	6.0	24.0%	9.0%	14.9%	3.0%	4.30	4.26	+1.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	29	29	172	728	174	66	22	100%	5.9	24.0%	9.1%	14.9%	3.1%	4.30	4.30	+1.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	28	28	167	706	168	65	22	100%	6.0	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.2%	4.35	4.38	+1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	27	27	160	674	159	64	22	100%	5.9	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	3.3%	4.45	4.51	+0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	25	25	150	634	147	62	22	100%	6.0	23.2%	9.8%	13.5%	3.5%	4.59	4.69	+0.4
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYY	23	23	140	591	135	60	22	100%	6.1	22.9%	10.1%	12.7%	3.8%	4.77	4.89	+0.0
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYY	22	22	130	547	122	58	22	100%	5.9	22.4%	10.5%	11.9%	4.0%	4.98	5.12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	11	11	63	266	60	28	9	100%	5.7	22.7%	10.6%	12.1%	3.3%	4.81	4.70	+0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	19	19	109	460	108	44	15	100%	5.7	23.4%	9.7%	13.8%	3.2%	4.62	4.51	+0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	24	24	142	600	143	55	19	100%	5.9	23.8%	9.1%	14.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.39	+1.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	153	646	155	58	21	100%	5.9	24.0%	9.0%	14.9%	3.2%	4.41	4.37	+1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	156	659	158	60	22	100%	6.0	24.0%	9.1%	14.9%	3.3%	4.41	4.41	+1.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	154	650	155	60	22	100%	5.9	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	3.4%	4.47	4.50	+0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	25	25	149	629	148	60	22	100%	6.0	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	3.5%	4.57	4.63	+0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	24	24	141	595	138	58	22	100%	5.9	23.2%	9.8%	13.5%	3.8%	4.72	4.82	+0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYY	22	22	133	562	128	57	22	100%	6.0	22.9%	10.1%	12.7%	4.0%	4.91	5.03	+0.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYY	20	20	123	519	116	55	22	100%	6.2	22.4%	10.5%	11.9%	4.3%	5.13	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		221	221	1322	5583	1310	535	197	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.6%	13.9%	3.5%	4.63	4.27	+9.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	198	81	30	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.6%	13.9%	3.5%	4.63	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		88	47	300	1296	276	151	34	53%	3.4	21.3%	11.6%	9.6%	2.6%	4.29	4.21	+7.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	31	200	863	184	100	23	53%	3.4	21.3%	11.6%	9.6%	2.6%	4.29	4.21	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Paul Liñan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	—	4.41	23.4%	13.7%	459	-0.51	—	—	—
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	89
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	88
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	88
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	87
Michael Forret R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	20	SP-	4.00	21.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.302	3.45	22.8%	12.9%	190	-0.55	2.65	289	87
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.82	16.7%	4.6%	295	-0.22	4.72	389	87
Braden Webb R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	18.0%	12.5%	2.4%	.276	4.78	17.9%	1.8%	172	+0.30	4.48	308	87
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.56	18.8%	9.0%	178	+1.83	3.73	274	86
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.2%	6.4%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	85
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	85
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	85
Ben Casparius R 2022 · 5.29 FIP	23	SP-	5.29	20.6%	13.2%	4.1%	.306	4.37	21.6%	11.0%	274	-0.92	3.36	374	85
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	85
Nick Sinacola R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP-	4.44	19.3%	10.4%	3.0%	.335	4.05	18.2%	10.0%	254	-0.39	3.56	357	84
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.71	16.3%	4.2%	225	+1.42	2.86	357	84
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	84
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	84
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	84
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	83
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.39	16.6%	6.3%	297	+0.17	3.64	392	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8.2	149	23.3%	9.7%	1.27	4.53
Steve Stone ('71-'81, 16 WAR*)	8.9	163	21.3%*	9.2%*	1.34*	4.35*
Bill Voiselle ('42-'50, 12 WAR*)	6.9	172	23.3%*	9.2%*	1.41*	4.32*
Art Fromme ('06-'15, 11 WAR*)	7.2	160	21.1%*	9.2%*	1.35*	4.25*
Jon Gray ('25)	6.2	123	23.4%	7.8%	1.17	4.49
Hideo Nomo ('08)	9.9	180	22.7%	10.7%	1.14	4.24
J.A. Happ ('21)	9.5	135	20.6%	8.3%	1.24	4.13