Dixon Williams — OGILVIE

Dixon Williams2B Rome Emperors

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION491 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO156

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	144	+6	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	17	4	2	1	10	51	4	6	0	172	274	283	557	111	333	45	9	260	62	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	17	4	2	1	10	51	4	6	0	172	274	283	557	111	333	45	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	17	4	2	1	10	51	4	6	0	172	274	283	557	111	333	45	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	17	4	2	1	10	51	4	6	0	172	274	283	557	111	333	45	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	ATL	—	491	441	78	16	3	18	35	193	10	33	11	177	253	349	602	172	255	39	7	262	64	-21	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	ATL	—	451	386	92	20	2	22	52	133	8	31	10	238	341	472	812	233	297	29	12	355	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	ATL	—	40	35	7	2	1	2	3	12	2	2	1	200	300	486	786	286	238	30	8	343	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	33	11	281	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	ATL	—	500	449	79	16	3	18	36	196	10	33	11	176	253	345	598	169	254	39	7	262	64	-22	+2	-0	+2	+11	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ATL	43%	344	310	63	13	2	12	26	114	5	11	3	203	276	374	650	171	274	33	8	288	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	415	374	78	16	2	15	32	133	6	12	4	209	282	382	664	174	276	32	8	294	85	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	444	399	84	17	2	16	35	140	7	12	4	211	286	383	669	173	277	32	8	297	87	-7	+1	-1	+2	+10	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	461	414	87	17	2	17	37	144	7	12	4	210	286	384	670	174	277	31	8	299	88	-6	+1	-1	+2	+10	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	463	416	87	17	2	17	37	145	7	11	4	209	285	382	667	173	277	31	8	299	88	-6	+1	-1	+2	+10	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	460	412	86	17	2	16	38	145	7	11	3	209	287	376	663	167	276	32	8	298	88	-7	+1	-1	+2	+10	0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	ATL	66%	451	404	85	17	2	16	37	143	7	10	3	210	288	381	669	171	275	32	8	296	86	-7	+1	-2	+2	+10	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	ATL	66%	441	396	81	16	2	15	36	141	6	9	3	205	281	369	650	164	274	32	8	293	85	-8	+1	-3	+2	+10	0.1
2035	31	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	427	383	77	15	2	14	35	138	6	9	3	201	278	360	639	159	271	32	8	289	82	-9	+1	-3	+2	+9	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	ATL	43%	149	135	28	6	1	5	11	49	2	5	1	207	277	378	655	170	274	33	7	277	81	-3	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	241	216	44	9	1	8	19	77	4	7	2	204	280	366	646	162	276	32	8	283	85	-4	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	288	259	55	11	2	10	23	91	4	8	2	212	287	386	673	174	277	32	8	286	87	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	314	281	60	12	2	11	25	98	5	8	3	214	289	388	677	174	277	31	8	288	88	-4	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	315	282	60	12	2	11	25	99	5	8	2	213	288	387	675	174	277	31	8	288	88	-4	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	313	279	60	12	2	11	26	99	5	7	2	215	294	391	684	176	276	32	8	287	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	ATL	66%	300	268	56	11	1	11	25	95	4	7	2	209	286	381	667	172	275	32	8	285	86	-5	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	ATL	66%	289	259	54	11	1	10	24	92	4	6	2	208	286	375	660	166	274	32	8	283	85	-5	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	278	249	50	10	1	9	23	90	4	6	2	201	279	357	636	157	271	32	8	279	82	-6	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2487	2228	467	94	13	86	201	790	37	62	18	210	286	379	665	170	279	32	8	285	85	-41	+5	-8	+9	+54	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	122	25	3	22	53	206	10	16	5	210	287	376	663	167	280	32	8	285	85	-11	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4029	3615	746	149	20	139	324	1297	62	103	31	206	283	374	657	168	276	32	8	294	85	-66	+7	-13	+14	+85	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	120	24	3	22	52	209	10	17	5	206	282	370	652	165	276	32	8	294	85	-11	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,486	87	61	210	282	381	+9	-6	3.9	3.7
/162	664	23	16	+2.4	-1.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dixon Williams (OGILVIE)	22	45	42	57	53	194/267/356	162	270	7	10	35%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	48→50	50	52→55	43	240/297/387	147	323	18	20	31%	8%	93	+0.8	230/298/363	133	301	13	18	26%	8%	87	+0.4	227/298/355	129	291	12	17	25%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	50→48	46→55	56→55	44	241/305/370	129	323	13	19	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/272/362	144	354	15	25	40%	6%	78	-0.3	216/285/389	174	351	21	24	42%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→49	47→50	50	43	234/291/373	139	314	14	10	30%	7%	86	+0.3	231/292/368	137	313	14	12	29%	7%	86	+0.3	226/290/362	136	303	14	12	29%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Mount 2009 · A	22	45	48→50	52→50	41	228/273/369	140	288	16	12	27%	5%	79	-0.2	229/268/351	122	295	13	11	26%	4%	73	-0.6	249/293/390	141	308	15	8	23%	5%	90	+0.2
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Scott Moore 2006 · A	22	46→51	49→55	50	40	225/286/377	151	329	17	15	35%	7%	86	+0.3	224/286/377	153	303	18	9	31%	7%	86	+0.3	237/304/377	140	291	15	5	23%	7%	91	+0.5
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
●Ronny Simon 2022 · A	22	40→50	49→50	53→60	43	206/265/356	150	272	16	14	30%	7%	74	-0.6	220/270/357	137	283	15	22	27%	6%	75	-0.5	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Daniel Johnson 2018 · A	23	45→48	50	48→55	39	234/278/386	152	286	18	13	25%	4%	85	+0.2	234/281/378	144	303	14	15	27%	5%	84	+0.2	221/274/370	149	270	18	21	25%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Jimmy Crooks 2023 · A	22	48→45	47→50	51→40	43	228/313/368	140	332	14	6	33%	8%	95	+0.9	233/294/354	121	326	12	4	30%	7%	84	+0.1	229/298/368	139	321	17	2	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Brett Jackson 2010 · A	21	48→51	50	56→55	39	235/298/387	152	337	17	17	34%	6%	93	+0.8	225/299/375	150	332	14	20	34%	9%	91	+0.6	213/291/369	157	324	15	21	36%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	49→50	44→45	50→55	46	235/299/356	121	318	11	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	230/301/343	113	337	9	17	31%	9%	84	+0.1	227/299/342	115	335	9	21	32%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→39	47→55	52→50	50	227/309/366	139	292	14	16	26%	10%	92	+0.7	215/268/349	134	288	12	13	28%	6%	72	-0.7	209/258/360	151	275	14	14	29%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→51	48→50	54→55	46	237/301/379	142	295	16	14	25%	8%	93	+0.8	207/275/323	116	264	10	20	24%	7%	70	-0.9	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps