Dixon Williams — OGILVIE

Dixon Williams2B Rome Emperors

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .286 / .349

PA187

HR5

SB8

K%32

BB%9

BABIP283

ISO144

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	99	17	4	2	1	10	51	4	6	0	172	274	283	557	111	333	45	9	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	ATL	—	281	249	41	10	0	8	23	110	6	20	5	165	252	301	553	137	246	39	8	247	47	-17	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
YTD	22	A+	ATL	—	281	236	52	13	0	11	36	82	6	20	5	220	338	415	753	195	281	29	13	336	115	+5	+2	+0	+1	+8	1.6
ROS	22	A+	ATL	0%	187	166	34	7	1	5	16	60	3	8	2	204	286	349	635	144	272	32	9	275	68	-7	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.0
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						272	0	0	262	59	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	ATL	—	282	250	41	10	0	8	23	110	6	20	5	164	251	300	551	136	244	39	8	247	47	-17	+2	-0	+1	+8	-0.6
TOT	22	A+	ATL	—	468	415	75	17	1	13	39	170	9	28	7	181	265	320	586	140	262	36	8	258	56	-23	+3	-0	+2	+13	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	35%	344	307	62	13	1	9	29	106	5	10	2	202	282	339	620	137	274	31	8	282	74	-10	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	415	371	78	16	2	12	35	125	6	11	3	210	289	361	650	151	277	30	8	288	78	-10	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.4
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	444	397	84	17	2	13	38	132	6	11	3	212	290	363	653	151	278	30	9	291	81	-10	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.5
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	461	411	87	18	2	13	40	136	7	11	3	212	293	360	653	148	278	30	9	292	82	-9	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.6
2027	23	MLB	ATL	35%	119	106	21	4	0	3	10	37	2	3	1	198	280	321	600	123	274	31	8	272	66	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	192	171	35	7	1	5	16	58	3	5	1	205	284	345	629	140	277	30	8	277	71	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.0
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	230	205	44	9	1	7	20	68	3	6	1	215	294	371	665	156	278	30	9	281	73	-7	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	250	222	47	10	1	7	22	74	4	6	2	212	294	360	655	149	278	30	9	282	74	-7	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	792	705	147	30	3	22	68	237	12	20	5	209	289	353	642	145	278	30	9	279	72	-25	+2	-1	+3	+22	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	121	25	2	18	56	195	10	16	4	209	290	352	642	143	279	30	9	279	72	-21	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	1965	1751	362	75	10	53	168	610	31	57	13	207	288	352	639	145	281	31	9	285	77	-52	+6	-3	+7	+56	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	120	25	3	18	56	202	10	19	4	207	288	354	642	147	282	31	9	285	77	-17	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	150	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	791	22	20	210	287	357	+3	-2	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	19	17	210	287	357	+2.4	-1.6	0.8	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dixon Williams (OGILVIE)	22	45	42	57	56	181/265/320	140	262	13	28	36%	8%	56	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Ryan Mount 2009 · A	22	45	48→50	52→50	41	228/273/369	140	288	16	12	27%	5%	76	+0.1	230/268/366	136	295	15	11	27%	4%	73	-0.1	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47	47→50	49→50	42	232/288/370	138	315	14	10	30%	7%	83	+0.6	231/292/374	143	314	15	12	29%	7%	85	+0.7	226/290/370	144	302	16	12	29%	8%	81	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕James Jones 2011 · A	22	46→53	44→45	51→60	42	223/280/346	123	308	11	13	30%	7%	73	-0.1	213/270/319	106	308	9	18	32%	7%	62	-0.9	241/287/333	92	305	3	36	21%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	47→53	43→50	53→55	41	227/275/340	113	305	10	19	28%	6%	69	-0.4	218/268/349	131	285	14	17	27%	6%	69	-0.4	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→53	44→40	58→65	50	212/296/342	129	289	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	222/282/318	96	284	8	44	23%	6%	66	-0.6	217/280/304	88	276	7	49	23%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Jakob Dalfonso 2012 · A	22	47	45→50	50→45	41	237/283/355	118	279	14	9	21%	4%	77	+0.1	214/263/316	102	288	10	8	28%	5%	58	-1.2	148/195/188	41	225	0	3	33%	4%	-8	-1.1
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→54	45	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	93	+1.3	248/290/367	119	318	12	4	25%	5%	82	+0.5	252/294/376	124	319	12	3	24%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	86	+0.8	217/296/385	168	279	20	10	28%	9%	92	+1.2	213/294/385	172	258	21	8	26%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→38	48→55	53→50	50	230/311/377	147	292	15	16	26%	10%	95	+1.4	217/268/357	140	291	13	13	29%	6%	71	-0.3	210/258/368	159	276	15	14	29%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	42→39	47→45	55→50	44	211/280/363	152	291	13	14	31%	8%	78	+0.2	197/255/323	126	277	13	15	32%	6%	58	-1.2	180/237/301	121	250	13	15	33%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	47	42→45	57→55	50	224/306/337	113	303	7	21	27%	10%	82	+0.5	210/274/324	114	288	10	18	29%	8%	65	-0.7	193/262/293	100	274	11	19	32%	8%	49	-1.2