Garrett Horn
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 23
LHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 119
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.1%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 41 | 169 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 0.8% | 3.27 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 41 | 169 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 32.5% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 1.2% | 3.27 | 2.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 6 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | 4 | 4 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 37 | 155 | 39 | 19 | 4 | — | — | 25.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 2.43 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.00 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 86 | 22 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 19 | 58 | 236 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 95% | 2.9 | 23.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 1.4% | 3.10 | 3.66 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 66 | 200 | 814 | 194 | 114 | 12 | 95% | 2.9 | 23.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 1.4% | 3.10 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Horn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.24 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 21 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 78 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 77 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 77 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 75 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 75 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 74 |
| Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 73 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.38 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .273 | 5.49 | 20.1% | 4.3% | 55 | +1.11 | 4.38 | 121 | 73 |
| Andrew Sears L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.45 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 232 | 73 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 73 |
| Brent Killam L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 72 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 72 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 72 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 72 |
| Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 71 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 71 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 71 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 71 |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 70 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 69 |