Tanner Scott — OGILVIE

Tanner Scott P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 32 LHP 6'0" / 235 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6977vR 85

ERA2.74

FIP2.89

K%30.1%

BB%6.4%

K-BB%23.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8296.8

Whiff%

p9035.0%

p9031.6%

xwOBA vs

p880.275

SL+2.1 (52%)

FB+2.0 (48%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	9	2	21	90	29	10	0	22%	2.3	23.8%	13.1%	10.7%	0.0%	4.29	2.75	—
2015	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	9	2	21	90	29	10	0	22%	2.3	32.2%	11.1%	21.1%	0.0%	4.29	1.77	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	64	286	81	57	1	0%	1.5	22.1%	22.7%	-0.6%	0.4%	4.76	4.30	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	64	286	81	57	1	0%	1.5	28.3%	19.9%	8.4%	0.3%	4.76	3.44	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	71	299	89	48	2	92%	2.7	24.3%	17.4%	6.9%	0.8%	2.42	3.71	+1.0
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	71	299	89	48	2	92%	2.7	29.8%	16.1%	13.7%	0.7%	2.42	2.99	+1.6
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	65	291	89	36	6	0%	1.0	30.0%	12.5%	17.5%	1.9%	4.55	3.17	+1.1
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	65	291	89	36	6	0%	1.0	30.6%	12.4%	18.2%	2.1%	4.55	3.22	+1.0
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	72	307	94	31	6	0%	1.2	28.4%	10.3%	18.1%	2.0%	3.64	3.10	+1.2
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	72	307	94	31	6	0%	1.2	30.6%	10.1%	20.5%	2.0%	3.64	2.86	+1.4
2020	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	25	0	21	86	23	10	1	0%	0.8	26.7%	11.6%	15.1%	1.0%	1.31	2.89	+0.4
2020	26	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	25	0	21	86	23	10	1	0%	0.8	26.7%	11.6%	15.1%	1.2%	1.31	2.95	+0.4
2021	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	62	0	54	251	70	36	6	0%	0.9	27.9%	14.3%	13.5%	2.2%	5.17	3.75	+0.5
2021	27	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	62	0	54	251	70	36	6	0%	0.9	27.9%	14.3%	13.5%	2.4%	5.17	3.95	+0.4
2022	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	67	0	63	289	90	45	5	0%	0.9	31.1%	15.6%	15.6%	1.8%	4.31	3.44	+0.8
2022	28	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	67	0	63	289	90	45	5	0%	0.9	31.1%	15.6%	15.6%	1.7%	4.31	3.42	+0.8
2023	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	74	0	78	307	104	21	3	0%	1.1	33.9%	6.8%	27.0%	1.0%	2.31	1.67	+2.7
2023	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	74	0	78	307	104	21	3	0%	1.1	33.9%	6.8%	27.0%	1.0%	2.31	1.67	+2.7
2023	29	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	74	0	78	307	104	21	3	0%	1.1	33.9%	6.8%	27.0%	1.0%	2.31	1.74	+2.6
2024	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	72	0	72	294	84	32	3	0%	1.0	28.6%	10.9%	17.7%	1.0%	1.75	2.61	+1.7
2024	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	72	0	72	294	84	32	3	0%	1.0	28.6%	10.9%	17.7%	1.0%	1.75	2.61	+1.7
2024	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	72	0	72	294	84	32	3	0%	1.0	28.6%	10.9%	17.7%	1.0%	1.75	2.64	+1.6
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	58	242	62	17	11	0%	0.9	25.2%	6.7%	18.5%	4.4%	4.66	4.26	+0.2
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	58	242	62	17	11	0%	0.9	25.2%	6.7%	18.5%	4.4%	4.66	4.26	+0.2
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	58	242	62	17	11	0%	0.9	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	4.5%	4.66	4.31	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			507	0	484	2064	618	215	43	0%	1.0	29.9%	10.4%	19.5%	2.1%	3.57	3.03	+8.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	63	0	58	228	72	9	4	0%	0.9	31.6%	3.9%	27.6%	1.7%	2.47	1.86	+1.9
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	63	0	58	228	72	9	4	0%	0.9	31.6%	3.9%	27.6%	1.7%	2.47	1.86	+1.9
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	MLB RAW	LAD	63	0	58	228	72	9	4	0%	0.9	31.6%	3.9%	27.6%	1.8%	2.47	1.90	+1.9
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	LAD	63	0	58	228	72	9	4	0%	0.9	31.6%	3.9%	27.6%	1.8%	2.47	1.90	+1.9
ROS	32	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	5	22	7	1	1	0%	1.1	30.1%	6.4%	23.7%	2.8%	2.74	2.89	+0.1
ROS	32	MLB CTX	LAD	5	0	5	21	6	1	1	0%	1.0	30.1%	6.4%	23.7%	2.8%	2.74	2.89	+0.1
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	64	250	79	10	5	—	—	31.4%	4.2%	27.3%	1.8%	2.49	1.94	+2.2
FULL	32	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	64	269	79	10	5	—	—	29.3%	3.9%	25.4%	1.7%	2.49	2.06	+2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	LAD	51	0	53	225	65	16	6	0%	1.0	28.8%	7.0%	21.9%	2.8%	3.30	3.47	+0.7
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAD	46	0	49	205	57	15	6	0%	1.1	27.9%	7.5%	20.5%	3.1%	3.59	3.78	+0.5
2029	35	MLB MLE	LAD	42	0	44	184	50	15	6	0%	1.0	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	3.5%	3.90	4.11	+0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	LAD	50	0	53	224	65	16	6	0%	1.1	28.8%	7.0%	21.9%	2.8%	3.30	3.47	+0.7
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAD	47	0	49	207	58	15	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	7.5%	20.5%	3.1%	3.59	3.78	+0.5
2029	35	MLB CTX	LAD	42	0	44	186	50	15	6	0%	1.0	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	3.5%	3.90	4.11	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		651	0	635	2701	797	262	63	0%	1.0	29.5%	9.7%	19.8%	2.3%	3.56	3.11	+10.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		205	0	200	851	251	83	20	0%	1.0	29.5%	9.7%	19.8%	2.3%	3.56	3.11	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		624	26	697	2970	836	366	47	4%	1.1	28.1%	12.3%	15.8%	1.6%	3.48	3.16	+10.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	7	200	853	240	105	14	4%	1.1	28.1%	12.3%	15.8%	1.6%	3.48	3.16	+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Scott (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.72	28.2%	8.2%	2.9%	—	3.77	28.0%	20.5%	146	+0.05	—	—	—
Boone Logan L 2017 · 2.96 FIP	32	SU	2.96	30.8%	9.9%	2.2%	.346	5.29	24.1%	12.0%	11	+2.33	2.58	113	68
Justin Wilson L 2020 · 2.66 FIP	32	SU	2.66	26.7%	9.3%	1.2%	.315	4.86	19.5%	8.8%	34	+2.20	2.49	420	68
Sean Doolittle L 2019 · 3.91 FIP	32	SU	3.91	25.4%	5.0%	4.2%	.306	4.00	23.8%	14.8%	50	+0.09	1.39	259	67
Jake Diekman L 2019 · 2.93 FIP	32	SU	2.93	29.8%	13.5%	1.2%	.293	3.99	31.5%	18.1%	140	+1.06	2.36	455	67
Tony Sipp L 2015 · 2.80 FIP	32	SU	2.80	28.7%	6.5%	2.4%	.267	4.45	23.8%	15.0%	120	+1.65	2.22	195	67
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	67
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	64
Caleb Thielbar L 2019 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	25.9%	5.3%	2.7%	.337	2.71	30.2%	22.6%	143	-0.34	2.22	505	63
Ryan Buchter L 2019 · 4.75 FIP	32	SU	4.75	25.3%	10.6%	4.4%	.286	5.24	22.9%	9.7%	32	+0.49	2.37	296	63
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2015 · 2.58 FIP	34	SU	2.58	24.2%	9.2%	0.7%	.307	3.30	22.6%	14.3%	71	+0.72	2.58	109	63
Oliver Pérez L 2015 · 2.88 FIP	33	SU	2.88	27.9%	7.1%	2.2%	.304	2.63	28.3%	21.7%	119	-0.25	1.58	219	62
Mike Dunn L 2017 · 4.29 FIP	32	SU	4.29	25.9%	12.7%	3.2%	.276	5.11	17.3%	2.6%	35	+0.82	3.71	181	61
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	60
Aaron Loup L 2020 · 3.46 FIP	32	SU	3.46	22.9%	4.2%	3.2%	.209	2.95	22.0%	14.8%	164	-0.51	2.07	363	59
Jerry Blevins L 2016 · 2.72 FIP	32	SU	2.72	29.2%	6.7%	2.2%	.291	3.66	26.9%	16.5%	124	+0.94	2.71	166	59
Will Smith L 2021 · 3.80 FIP	32	SU	3.80	30.7%	9.2%	3.9%	.239	3.84	22.2%	15.2%	158	+0.04	1.76	464	59
Tony Watson L 2017 · 3.76 FIP	32	SU	3.76	18.2%	4.5%	3.0%	.292	3.39	22.8%	18.4%	138	-0.37	2.21	405	57
Jeff Ibarra L 2019 · 2.85 FIP	31	SU	2.85	20.6%	3.4%	1.9%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.85	101	56
Anthony Gose L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	31	SU	4.71	30.4%	14.1%	4.4%	.234	4.70	23.1%	11.3%	82	-0.01	3.85	219	56
Brooks Raley L 2020 · 3.31 FIP	32	SU	3.31	32.1%	7.1%	3.7%	.208	2.82	28.4%	20.4%	157	-0.49	1.74	255	56

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	51	28.0%	7.7%	1.18	3.57
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Giovanny Gallegos ('24)	1.5	52	29.4%	6.6%	1.19	3.46
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61