Tanner Scott
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 32
LHP
6'0" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6978vR 88
ERA2.74
FIP2.93
K%31.2%
BB%6.5%
K-BB%24.7%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8196.7
Whiff%
p9035.6%
K%
p9034.7%
xwOBA vs
p900.255
SL+2.1 (53%)
FB+2.0 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 9 | 2 | 21 | 90 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 22% | 2.3 | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 4.29 | 2.75 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 9 | 2 | 21 | 90 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 22% | 2.3 | 32.2% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 4.29 | 1.77 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 64 | 286 | 81 | 57 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 22.7% | -0.6% | 0.3% | 4.76 | 4.28 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 64 | 286 | 81 | 57 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.3% | 19.9% | 8.4% | 0.3% | 4.76 | 3.44 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 71 | 299 | 89 | 48 | 2 | 92% | 2.7 | 24.3% | 17.4% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 2.42 | 3.71 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 71 | 299 | 89 | 48 | 2 | 92% | 2.7 | 29.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 0.7% | 2.42 | 2.99 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 65 | 291 | 89 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 1.9% | 4.55 | 3.20 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 65 | 291 | 89 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.6% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 2.1% | 4.55 | 3.22 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 72 | 307 | 94 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.4% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 2.1% | 3.64 | 3.18 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 72 | 307 | 94 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.6% | 10.1% | 20.5% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 2.86 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 25 | 0 | 21 | 86 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 1.1% | 1.31 | 2.91 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 25 | 0 | 21 | 86 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 1.2% | 1.31 | 2.95 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 62 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 70 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 2.2% | 5.17 | 3.78 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 62 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 70 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 5.17 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 67 | 0 | 63 | 289 | 90 | 45 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 4.31 | 3.45 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 67 | 0 | 63 | 289 | 90 | 45 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 1.7% | 4.31 | 3.42 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 74 | 0 | 78 | 307 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.9% | 6.8% | 27.0% | 1.0% | 2.31 | 1.67 | +3.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 74 | 0 | 78 | 307 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.9% | 6.8% | 27.0% | 1.0% | 2.31 | 1.74 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 72 | 0 | 72 | 294 | 84 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 1.1% | 1.75 | 2.67 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 72 | 0 | 72 | 294 | 84 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 1.0% | 1.75 | 2.64 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 58 | 242 | 62 | 17 | 11 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.2% | 6.7% | 18.5% | 4.9% | 4.66 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 58 | 242 | 62 | 17 | 11 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.6% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 4.66 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 41 | 0 | 39 | 144 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.7% | 2.8% | 31.9% | 2.8% | 2.56 | 2.04 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 82 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.2% | 6.5% | 24.7% | 3.0% | 2.74 | 2.93 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.2% | 6.5% | 24.7% | 3.0% | 2.74 | 2.93 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 58 | 226 | 76 | 9 | 6 | — | — | 33.4% | 4.1% | 29.3% | 2.9% | 2.62 | 2.34 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 58 | 246 | 76 | 9 | 6 | — | — | 30.8% | 3.8% | 27.0% | 2.6% | 2.62 | 2.43 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 51 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 66 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 7.1% | 22.4% | 3.3% | 3.50 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 46 | 0 | 49 | 205 | 59 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 7.6% | 21.0% | 3.6% | 3.79 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 51 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 8.1% | 19.5% | 3.9% | 4.11 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 66 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 7.1% | 22.4% | 3.3% | 3.50 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 59 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 7.6% | 21.0% | 3.6% | 3.79 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 51 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 8.1% | 19.5% | 3.9% | 4.11 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 642 | 0 | 629 | 2677 | 798 | 262 | 67 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.20 | +16.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 0 | 200 | 851 | 254 | 83 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.20 | +5.1 | ||
| Career | — | 602 | 26 | 677 | 2886 | 814 | 361 | 50 | 4% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 1.7% | 3.51 | 3.25 | +17.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 8 | 200 | 853 | 240 | 107 | 15 | 4% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 1.7% | 3.51 | 3.25 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Scott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.82 | 28.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | — | 3.98 | 28.6% | 21.1% | 146 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 66 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 64 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.24 | 25.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | .337 | 2.70 | 30.2% | 22.6% | 143 | -0.54 | 2.22 | 487 | 63 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.97 | 30.8% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .346 | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 11 | +2.58 | 2.44 | 113 | 62 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.91 | 25.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | .306 | 4.04 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 50 | +0.13 | 1.39 | 259 | 62 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2027 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.78 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.16 | 1.56 | 219 | 60 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.73 | 29.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.67 | 26.9% | 16.5% | 124 | +0.94 | 2.72 | 166 | 59 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 2.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.66 | 26.7% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .315 | 4.91 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 34 | +2.25 | 2.48 | 420 | 58 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.90 | 29.8% | 13.5% | 1.1% | .293 | 3.93 | 31.5% | 18.1% | 140 | +1.03 | 2.33 | 455 | 58 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 58 |
| Cam Booser L 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.08 | 26.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .338 | 4.25 | 27.9% | 17.8% | 83 | +1.17 | 2.89 | 290 | 57 |
| Brooks Raley L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.14 | 32.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | .208 | 2.79 | 28.4% | 20.4% | 157 | -0.35 | 1.74 | 238 | 57 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 56 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 2.95 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.95 | 20.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 101 | 55 |
| Anthony Gose L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.72 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .234 | 4.93 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | +0.21 | 3.88 | 207 | 55 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.51 | 22.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | .209 | 2.99 | 22.0% | 14.8% | 164 | -0.52 | 2.07 | 363 | 55 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 55 |
| Will Smith L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.80 | 30.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | .239 | 3.80 | 22.2% | 15.2% | 158 | -0.00 | 1.76 | 464 | 54 |
| Brady Feigl L 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.45 | 24.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | .312 | 3.55 | 22.7% | 14.2% | 14 | -0.90 | 2.69 | 212 | 54 |
| Grant Dayton L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.75 | 27.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.87 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 62 | +0.12 | 1.73 | 277 | 53 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 28.5% | 7.7% | 1.33 | 3.74 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |