Corey Braun P Stockton Ports
Age 23 LHP 6'2" / 212 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
K: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -9.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-10CONTACTSTAM: +3.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: -0.72 (64 IP)-0.7WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
202623AStockton Ports118391834217873%3.517.4%11.1%6.3%6.1%6.696.39-0.8
ROS23MLBOAK552510725103100%5.123.2%9.3%13.9%3.0%4.374.37+0.1
ROS23MLBOAK023.2%9.3%13.9%3.0%4.374.37
2026 TOT23MLBOAK6429067271123.0%9.3%13.8%3.9%5.785.60-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBOAK552611026103100%5.223.8%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.304.26+0.1
202724MLBOAK2211461141100%5.523.8%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.304.26+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2211471141100%5.623.8%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.303.88+0.1
/ 200 IP36362008441987218100%5.623.8%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.303.88+3.6
Career1183918332201173%3.517.4%11.1%6.3%6.1%6.696.39-0.8
/ 200 IP56412009381631045773%3.517.4%11.1%6.3%6.1%6.696.39-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Corey Braun (OGILVIE) 4.37 23.2%9.3%3.0% 4.26 23.8%14.8%26 -0.11
Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP 24 SP- 3.89 23.3%11.3%2.4%.286 4.89 18.1%2.5%99 +1.00 3.89 176 81
Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP 23 SP- 3.99 21.8%8.7%3.0%.333 4.17 22.1%15.5%179 +0.18 2.24 269 80
Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP 23 SP- 4.63 18.9%8.5%3.7%.332 4.35 17.5%8.1%119 -0.28 3.54 186 79
Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP 23 SP- 4.10 18.4%5.9%3.3%.286 5.67 18.4%5.8%102 +1.57 4.10 123 79
Tommy Shirley L 2029 · 3.30 FIP 26 SP- 3.30 19.6%7.0%1.8%.252 4.86 13.0%4.2%106 +1.56 3.30 147 77
Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP 23 SP 3.51 23.4%10.0%2.0%.275 3.79 22.7%10.5%150 +0.28 3.51 212 77
T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP 24 SP 4.71 21.9%9.0%4.2%.298 4.64 16.9%7.4%231 -0.07 3.39 300 77
Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 23 SP- 3.63 23.1%12.0%1.7%.249 4.99 21.5%9.2%48 +1.36 3.10 196 76
Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP 23 SP- 4.80 19.4%10.0%3.8%.360 5.95 16.3%-2.8%144 +1.15 4.80 223 76
Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP 23 SP- 4.33 23.4%12.4%3.0%.288 4.01 25.1%10.7%150 -0.32 3.72 239 75
Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.49 FIP 23 SP- 4.49 20.1%9.0%3.5%.349 4.18 22.0%8.2%175 -0.31 3.65 308 75
Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP 23 SP- 4.40 18.4%11.4%2.6%.284 4.47 17.1%5.8%213 +0.07 3.67 288 75
Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP 22 SP 3.73 20.5%10.6%1.9%.235 3.64 27.4%12.7%74 -0.09 3.14 473 73
Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP 23 SP- 5.16 19.7%12.7%3.9%.300 4.71 22.7%9.5%152 -0.45 4.13 265 73
Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.54 FIP 22 SP 3.54 21.2%7.2%2.4%.339 3.10 19.0%12.8%156 -0.44 2.79 219 73
Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP 21 SP 4.36 23.3%11.4%3.3%.273 3.23 109 73
Will Johnston L 2026 · 4.21 FIP 23 SP- 4.21 24.8%11.6%3.2%.290 4.34 22.8%8.6%82 +0.13 4.04 174 72
Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP 24 SP 4.00 24.2%11.1%2.8%.333 4.48 21.0%2.7%52 +0.48 3.84 129 72
A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.68 FIP 23 SP- 3.68 22.8%10.0%2.3%.262 5.86 20.1%8.4%51 +2.18 3.64 203 72
Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP 23 SP 5.15 20.2%11.2%4.2%.296 3.38 26.8%17.4%445 -1.77 2.46 623 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22623.5%9.1%1.174.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49