Henry Lalane
P
Tampa Tarpons
Age 22
LHP
6'7" / 211 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 128
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%22.6%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 188 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 100% | 3.4 | 14.1% | 16.6% | -2.5% | 1.3% | 3.70 | 4.74 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 188 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 100% | 3.4 | 20.7% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 3.70 | 3.66 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 11 | 11 | 48 | 198 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 2.98 | 2.71 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 11 | 11 | 48 | 198 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 4.4 | 26.3% | 7.1% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 2.98 | 1.82 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 8 | 5 | 22 | 88 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 62% | 2.7 | 26.3% | 5.7% | 20.6% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 3.09 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 8 | 5 | 22 | 88 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 62% | 2.7 | 38.6% | 4.5% | 34.1% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 2.32 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 67% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 6.57 | 5.25 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 67% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 6.57 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 19 | 84 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 20.3% | 21.0% | -0.7% | 2.6% | 2.33 | 5.48 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 19 | 84 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 26.2% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 2.33 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 14 | 13 | 67 | 267 | 89 | 23 | 2 | 93% | 4.8 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 0.5% | 2.82 | 2.67 | +1.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 45 | 188 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 112 | 455 | 132 | 47 | 8 | — | — | 28.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 1.7% | 3.62 | 3.53 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 46 | 195 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 48 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 50 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 47 | 200 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.69 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 44 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 222 | 938 | 228 | 94 | 29 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 85 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 58 | 52 | 210 | 878 | 180 | 108 | 10 | 90% | 3.6 | 20.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 3.39 | 3.59 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 50 | 200 | 836 | 171 | 103 | 10 | 90% | 3.6 | 20.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 3.39 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Henry Lalane (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 23.9% | 13.5% | 142 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 85 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 85 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 84 |
| John Beller L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 19.7% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.22 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 90 | -0.37 | 4.00 | 170 | 83 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 83 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 83 |
| Mason Molina L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.28 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.56 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 69 | -0.72 | 3.56 | 165 | 83 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 82 |
| Brent Headrick L 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 82 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 82 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 82 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .289 | 4.64 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.60 | 4.01 | 258 | 82 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 81 |
| Cole Ragans L 2027 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 80 |
| Johnny King L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.22 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 129 | 80 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 80 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 79 |
| Brent Killam L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 79 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 79 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 47 | 24.0% | 10.5% | 1.14 | 4.45 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |