Christian Moore
2B Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AALAA | 98 | .322/.378/.533 | 5 | 2 | 99 | — | .261/.306/.424 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/AA/A2 orgs | 300 | .271/.374/.424 | 7 | 10 | 81 | — | .232/.306/.364 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBLAA | 184 | .198/.286/.370 | 7 | 3 | 84 | 0.2 | |
| 2026 | 23 | AAALAA | 418 | .302/.436/.512 | 11 | 15 | 128 | — | .274/.378/.441 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBLAA | 147 | .187/.253/.276 | 2 | 1 | 51 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 24 | MLBLAA | 107 | .211/.301/.365 | 3 | 3 | 89 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ59% MLB | 25 | MLBLAA | 307 | .212/.302/.367 | 9 | 7 | 90 | 0.4 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 26 | MLBLAA | 333 | .211/.302/.367 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 0.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 90 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 322 | 378 | 533 | 911 | 211 | 429 | 30 | 8 | 400 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 184 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 62 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 198 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 173 | 266 | 34 | 10 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 292 | 375 | 483 | 858 | 192 | 390 | 29 | 10 | 375 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 124 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 40 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 234 | 345 | 323 | 667 | 89 | 333 | 27 | 14 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 455 | 625 | 909 | 1.534 | 455 | 500 | 12 | 31 | 622 | 216 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 147 | 134 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 187 | 253 | 276 | 530 | 90 | 271 | 33 | 7 | 242 | 51 | -9 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 418 | 334 | 101 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 73 | 94 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 302 | 436 | 512 | 948 | 210 | 385 | 22 | 17 | 415 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 331 | 296 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 110 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 193 | 271 | 328 | 599 | 135 | 268 | 33 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -12 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 424 | 730 | 163 | 390 | 37 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 184 | 162 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 62 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 198 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 173 | 266 | 34 | 10 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 124 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 309 | 395 | 704 | 153 | 346 | 36 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 283 | 290 | 573 | 84 | 302 | 33 | 10 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 16 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 385 | 500 | 769 | 1.269 | 385 | 395 | 19 | 19 | 487 | 216 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 147 | 134 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 187 | 253 | 276 | 530 | 90 | 271 | 33 | 7 | 243 | 51 | -9 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 418 | 354 | 97 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 113 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 274 | 378 | 441 | 818 | 167 | 365 | 27 | 13 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 424 | 730 | 163 | 385 | 37 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 90 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 322 | 378 | 533 | 911 | 211 | 429 | 30 | 8 | 400 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 429 | 93 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 162 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 217 | 299 | 357 | 655 | 140 | 313 | 33 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB RAW | 4 teams | — | 484 | 417 | 101 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 59 | 144 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 242 | 340 | 403 | 743 | 161 | 331 | 30 | 12 | 332 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 488 | 122 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 64 | 161 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 250 | 345 | 395 | 741 | 145 | 347 | 28 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 565 | 468 | 126 | 29 | 7 | 13 | 84 | 142 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 269 | 388 | 444 | 833 | 175 | 354 | 25 | 15 | 370 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 424 | 730 | 163 | 390 | 37 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 431 | 93 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 162 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 216 | 299 | 355 | 654 | 139 | 304 | 33 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 489 | 122 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 64 | 161 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 345 | 395 | 740 | 145 | 340 | 28 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 98 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 424 | 730 | 163 | 390 | 37 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 484 | 431 | 93 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 162 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 216 | 299 | 355 | 654 | 139 | 304 | 33 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 489 | 122 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 64 | 161 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 345 | 395 | 740 | 145 | 340 | 28 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 45% | 380 | 334 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 109 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 212 | 301 | 366 | 667 | 154 | 277 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 45% | 107 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 301 | 365 | 665 | 154 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 299 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAA | 59% | 523 | 458 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 150 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 213 | 303 | 368 | 671 | 155 | 277 | 29 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 65% | 510 | 447 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 147 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 212 | 303 | 368 | 670 | 155 | 277 | 29 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 67% | 350 | 307 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 101 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 211 | 302 | 365 | 666 | 154 | 276 | 29 | 10 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 67% | 346 | 304 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 101 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 299 | 360 | 659 | 151 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 66% | 333 | 293 | 61 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 207 | 297 | 354 | 650 | 147 | 273 | 29 | 10 | 293 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 65% | 321 | 282 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 293 | 346 | 638 | 142 | 271 | 30 | 10 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAA | 59% | 307 | 269 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 88 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 212 | 302 | 367 | 669 | 155 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 65% | 333 | 293 | 63 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 96 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 211 | 302 | 367 | 668 | 155 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 67% | 233 | 205 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 67 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 154 | 274 | 29 | 10 | 299 | 89 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 67% | 233 | 205 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 68 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 208 | 299 | 359 | 658 | 151 | 273 | 29 | 10 | 296 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 66% | 220 | 193 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 296 | 353 | 648 | 147 | 271 | 30 | 10 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 65% | 210 | 185 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 292 | 345 | 637 | 142 | 269 | 30 | 10 | 288 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1867 | 1646 | 341 | 57 | 15 | 54 | 188 | 556 | 16 | 34 | 11 | 207 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 151 | 274 | 30 | 10 | 292 | 90 | -36 | +2 | -9 | +9 | +40 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 119 | 20 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 194 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 208 | 295 | 360 | 654 | 152 | 275 | 30 | 10 | 292 | 90 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3768 | 3309 | 724 | 131 | 33 | 100 | 387 | 1120 | 37 | 86 | 24 | 219 | 308 | 369 | 677 | 150 | 295 | 30 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -51 | +5 | -14 | +13 | +64 | 1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 125 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 67 | 193 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 219 | 307 | 370 | 677 | 151 | 296 | 30 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 418 PAwOBA .410 → .358 (−52)K% 22.5% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 24.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 9.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 2.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .410 → .358; ISO .210 → .180; BABIP .385 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 146 PAwOBA .303 → .251 (−52)K% 27.4% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.40% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.38% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 9.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.19% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 23.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.028 | ×0.880 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 2.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 110, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .303 → .251; ISO .089 → .079; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 138 PAwOBA .368 → .302 (−66)K% 29.0% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 27.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.64% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .368 → .302; ISO .192 → .146; BABIP .390 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AInland Empire 66ers · 16 PAwOBA .607 → .487 (−119)K% 12.5% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 21.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 17.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 8.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 113, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .607 → .487; ISO .455 → .385; BABIP .500 → .395. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 98 PAwOBA .389 → .315 (−74)K% 29.6% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.59% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.79% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 30.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.072 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 7.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 109, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .389 → .315; ISO .211 → .166; BABIP .429 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).