Damiano Palmegiani
3B Cardenales de Lara| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/ATOR | 525 | .216/.318/.394 | 21 | 2 | 58 | — | .180/.261/.308 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AA/A/INTL2 orgs | 289 | .189/.325/.286 | 3 | 0 | 53 | — | .127/.253/.185 |
| 2026 | 26 | INTLCardenales de… | 19 | .417/.611/.917 | 1 | 0 | 281 | — | |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBTOR | 266 | .178/.269/.281 | 5 | 2 | 59 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 28 | MLBTOR | 45 | .180/.270/.284 | 1 | 0 | 59 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 48 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 458 | 538 | 997 | 205 | 393 | 19 | 15 | 442 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 272 | 228 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 340 | 443 | 783 | 219 | 239 | 22 | 11 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 195 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 356 | 508 | 863 | 251 | 279 | 21 | 10 | 375 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 96 | 74 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 284 | 436 | 554 | 990 | 270 | 386 | 29 | 16 | 426 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 461 | 393 | 98 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 125 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 249 | 354 | 463 | 818 | 214 | 312 | 27 | 13 | 360 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 101 | 80 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 385 | 575 | 960 | 312 | 283 | 26 | 12 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 501 | 433 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 19 | 53 | 141 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 313 | 381 | 694 | 171 | 261 | 28 | 11 | 313 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 24 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 417 | 667 | 1.083 | 333 | 385 | 25 | 12 | 465 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 167 | 138 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 301 | 232 | 533 | 72 | 231 | 28 | 11 | 261 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 300 | 594 | 100 | 316 | 32 | 12 | 274 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 429 | 429 | 27 | 27 | 284 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 73 | 62 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 375 | 435 | 810 | 161 | 349 | 25 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 611 | 917 | 1.528 | 500 | 364 | 5 | 21 | 584 | 281 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 48 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 167 | 305 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 272 | 238 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 81 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 176 | 269 | 345 | 613 | 168 | 198 | 30 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 203 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 280 | 399 | 679 | 197 | 234 | 28 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 96 | 78 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 372 | 449 | 821 | 205 | 343 | 36 | 11 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 461 | 413 | 87 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 158 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 211 | 287 | 378 | 664 | 167 | 286 | 34 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 501 | 449 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 168 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 257 | 301 | 558 | 125 | 239 | 34 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 24 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 182 | 339 | 33 | 8 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 167 | 143 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 126 | 247 | 182 | 429 | 56 | 196 | 34 | 8 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 281 | 517 | 94 | 292 | 41 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 357 | 40 | 20 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 48 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 167 | 296 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Blue Jays | — | 48 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 458 | 538 | 997 | 205 | 393 | 19 | 15 | 442 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 440 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 144 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 276 | 370 | 646 | 182 | 223 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 423 | 101 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 239 | 347 | 473 | 820 | 234 | 258 | 21 | 11 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 574 | 124 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 58 | 227 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 216 | 304 | 389 | 693 | 172 | 306 | 34 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 658 | 547 | 140 | 38 | 2 | 29 | 85 | 179 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 256 | 371 | 492 | 863 | 236 | 317 | 27 | 13 | 375 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 471 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 176 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 178 | 259 | 306 | 564 | 127 | 244 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 525 | 454 | 98 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 56 | 147 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 318 | 394 | 712 | 178 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 320 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 289 | 247 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 103 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 126 | 245 | 178 | 423 | 53 | 205 | 36 | 8 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 289 | 238 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 189 | 325 | 286 | 611 | 97 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 289 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL MLE | Cardenales de Lara | — | 19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 611 | 917 | 1.528 | 500 | 364 | 5 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL RAW | Cardenales de Lara | — | 19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 611 | 917 | 1.528 | 500 | 364 | 5 | 21 | 584 | 281 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 48 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 167 | 305 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 443 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 144 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 187 | 276 | 368 | 644 | 181 | 214 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 580 | 124 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 58 | 227 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 214 | 304 | 384 | 689 | 171 | 296 | 34 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 469 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 176 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 128 | 244 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 289 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 103 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 245 | 177 | 422 | 52 | 197 | 36 | 8 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 469 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 176 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 128 | 244 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 289 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 103 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 245 | 177 | 422 | 52 | 197 | 36 | 8 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 266 | 235 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 83 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 178 | 269 | 281 | 551 | 104 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 255 | 59 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 26% | 173 | 152 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 270 | 283 | 553 | 104 | 249 | 31 | 8 | 256 | 59 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 26% | 45 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 270 | 284 | 554 | 104 | 250 | 31 | 9 | 256 | 59 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 45 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 267 | 275 | 542 | 100 | 240 | 31 | 9 | 256 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 100 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 202 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 265 | 270 | 535 | 97 | 238 | 31 | 9 | 256 | 66 | -31 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2352 | 2062 | 386 | 89 | 4 | 65 | 191 | 762 | 71 | 18 | 5 | 187 | 279 | 329 | 608 | 142 | 254 | 32 | 8 | 265 | 66 | -15 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 107 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 53 | 211 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 280 | 330 | 610 | 142 | 256 | 32 | 8 | 265 | 66 | -32 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 167 PAwOBA .257 → .208 (−49)K% 28.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.14% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.78% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 5.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 13.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷0.847 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .257 → .208; ISO .072 → .054; BABIP .231 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 34 PAwOBA .255 → .212 (−43)K% 32.4% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.35% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 19.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 5.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .212; ISO .100 → .086; BABIP .316 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 15 PAwOBA .300 → .208 (−92)K% 26.7% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 17.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 13.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 10.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.284 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .300 → .208; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAABuffalo Bisons · 501 PAwOBA .307 → .249 (−58)K% 28.1% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.14% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.84% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.82% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.51% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .307 → .249; ISO .171 → .128; BABIP .261 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 24 PAwOBA .452 → .351 (−101)K% 25.0% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.041 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.962 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 5.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 10.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .452 → .351; ISO .333 → .245; BABIP .385 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 461 PAwOBA .354 → .286 (−68)K% 27.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.11% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.105 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.78% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 8.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.033 | ×0.950 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.68% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 93, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .354 → .286; ISO .214 → .173; BABIP .312 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 96 PAwOBA .424 → .355 (−69)K% 29.2% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 11.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 5.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 18.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 14.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.916 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.97% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .424 → .355; ISO .270 → .219; BABIP .386 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Vancouver Canadians · 272 PAwOBA .341 → .268 (−73)K% 22.1% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.06% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.40% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.07% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 14.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.254 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.74% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 6.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 151, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .341 → .268; ISO .219 → .176; BABIP .239 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .