Joe Dunand
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | AAA/A/INTL2 orgs | 288 | .201/.274/.347 | 8 | 0 | 43 | — | .166/.228/.292 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAAATL | 340 | .214/.313/.342 | 6 | 6 | 42 | — | .172/.251/.266 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAAATL | 403 | .268/.365/.481 | 17 | 3 | 86 | — | .224/.300/.380 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 500 | 750 | 1.250 | 375 | 417 | 19 | 14 | 503 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 239 | 217 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 278 | 369 | 647 | 157 | 277 | 30 | 7 | 288 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 273 | 243 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 332 | 391 | 723 | 128 | 305 | 20 | 7 | 321 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 525 | 462 | 112 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 119 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 320 | 333 | 654 | 91 | 307 | 23 | 7 | 295 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 28 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 269 | 484 | 115 | 190 | 18 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 83 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 402 | 542 | 944 | 222 | 444 | 30 | 11 | 410 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 229 | 204 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 279 | 373 | 651 | 172 | 258 | 31 | 7 | 289 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 286 | 47 | 0 | 170 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 44 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 273 | 293 | 565 | 73 | 273 | 18 | 5 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 340 | 295 | 63 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 105 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 129 | 308 | 31 | 11 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 403 | 347 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 107 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 365 | 481 | 846 | 213 | 336 | 27 | 11 | 372 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 21 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 588 | 988 | 294 | 304 | 29 | 10 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 239 | 223 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 82 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 228 | 305 | 533 | 126 | 251 | 34 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 273 | 248 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 76 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 280 | 347 | 627 | 125 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 525 | 475 | 98 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 144 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 268 | 282 | 550 | 76 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 229 | 209 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 85 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 235 | 306 | 541 | 134 | 240 | 37 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 133 | 71 | 205 | 254 | 60 | 0 | 110 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 340 | 308 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 126 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 172 | 251 | 266 | 517 | 94 | 268 | 37 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 403 | 361 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 128 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 224 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 155 | 301 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 21 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 588 | 988 | 294 | 364 | 29 | 10 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 21 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 500 | 750 | 1.250 | 375 | 417 | 19 | 14 | 503 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 471 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 158 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 255 | 327 | 582 | 125 | 269 | 31 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 460 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 125 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 307 | 380 | 687 | 141 | 293 | 24 | 7 | 305 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 501 | 105 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 152 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 271 | 291 | 562 | 82 | 282 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 553 | 488 | 116 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 124 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 315 | 330 | 645 | 92 | 301 | 22 | 7 | 291 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 83 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 402 | 542 | 944 | 222 | 444 | 30 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 83 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 402 | 542 | 944 | 222 | 444 | 30 | 11 | 410 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 288 | 264 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 112 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 225 | 284 | 509 | 121 | 245 | 39 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 288 | 259 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 85 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 147 | 262 | 30 | 7 | 278 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 340 | 307 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 126 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 173 | 251 | 267 | 518 | 94 | 275 | 37 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 340 | 295 | 63 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 105 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 129 | 308 | 31 | 11 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 403 | 361 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 128 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 224 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 155 | 308 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 403 | 347 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 107 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 365 | 481 | 846 | 213 | 336 | 27 | 11 | 372 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 400 | 556 | 956 | 278 | 304 | 29 | 10 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 473 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 158 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 255 | 326 | 581 | 125 | 261 | 31 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 553 | 506 | 105 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 152 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 271 | 289 | 559 | 81 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 288 | 265 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 112 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 225 | 283 | 508 | 121 | 241 | 39 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 340 | 305 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 126 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 174 | 251 | 269 | 520 | 95 | 268 | 37 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 403 | 361 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 128 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 224 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 155 | 301 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2200 | 1993 | 405 | 94 | 6 | 44 | 134 | 707 | 47 | 14 | 5 | 203 | 270 | 323 | 592 | 119 | 285 | 32 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -127 | +1 | +0 | +21 | +48 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 120 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 209 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 271 | 324 | 595 | 121 | 286 | 32 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 403 PAwOBA .365 → .295 (−70)K% 26.6% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.55% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 21.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 5.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .365 → .295; ISO .213 → .160; BABIP .336 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 340 PAwOBA .293 → .231 (−62)K% 30.9% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 17.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.47% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .293 → .231; ISO .129 → .097; BABIP .308 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 229 PAwOBA .284 → .234 (−49)K% 30.6% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.57% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.16% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.018 | 16.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.018 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.018 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .284 → .234; ISO .172 → .135; BABIP .258 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AJupiter Hammerheads · 15 PAwOBA .165 → .110 (−56)K% 46.7% → 62.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 46.67% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 62.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.960 | 4.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.960 | 25.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.226 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 145, 3B 99, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .165 → .110; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 525 PAwOBA .293 → .248 (−45)K% 22.7% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.67% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.62% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .293 → .248; ISO .091 → .081; BABIP .307 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 273 PAwOBA .317 → .270 (−46)K% 19.8% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.78% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.96% | ÷0.967 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 22.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.903 | ×0.960 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.850 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .317 → .270; ISO .128 → .121; BABIP .305 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 239 PAwOBA .283 → .236 (−47)K% 29.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.71% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.81% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 15.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.90% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 9.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .283 → .236; ISO .157 → .135; BABIP .277 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Marlins · 21 PAwOBA .515 → .382 (−132)K% 19.0% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 8.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 13.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 17.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 6.34% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .515 → .382; ISO .375 → .291; BABIP .417 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .