Jesus GalizC Great Lakes Loons
Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 183 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .263 / .286
PA76
HR1
K%26
BB%7
BABIP265
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.70.80.90.80.70.50.2+$35M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.7$2M+$1M
2034Arb-2$1M+0.5$1M+$0.5M
2035Arb-3$0.6M+0.2$0.4M+$0.2M
Totals $6M $10M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 112104 16310 4263 20 154207202409 48203 234 176 -7
202117 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 112101 22510 7173 20 218288287575 69259 156 264 60
202218 ROKACL Dodgers 9989 14603 7363 00 157242326568 169220 367 256 54
202218 ROKACL Dodgers 9985 20804 11253 00 235343471814 235286 2511 361 134
202319 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 330306 701216 161053 31 229274333607 105320 325 268 63
202319 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 330300 801618 21743 31 267320407727 140323 226 320 103
202420 A2 teams 270237 341212 1811411 00 143237228465 84256 427 214 22
202420 A2 teams 270231 511723 248011 00 221323351674 130316 309 305 92
202521 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 3226 5100 591 00 192344231575 38294 2816
202521 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 3226 5100 591 00 192344231575 38294 2816 285 76
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+LAD 6861 13200 6180 00 213284246529 33295 269 236 39 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
YTD22 A+LAD 6858 14200 9130 00 241343276619 34304 1913 290 80 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.2
ROS22 A+LAD 0% 7670 14301 5201 10 200263286549 86268 267 256 54 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS22 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 265 243 44 +0 +0
FULL22 A+LAD 6862 13200 6180 00 210284242526 32289 269 236 39 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
TOT22 A+LAD 144131 27501 11381 10 206273267540 61280 268 246 47 -9 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBLAD 35% 172155 34713 13432 21 219288335624 116270 258 269 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202824 MLBLAD 46% 292264 561115 22724 41 212283318601 106273 258 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
202925 MLBLAD 52% 368332 721427 28905 62 217288334622 117274 248 282 74 -11 +0 +0 +7 +10 0.7
203026 MLBLAD 54% 417377 821628 321025 72 218287334622 117274 248 284 75 -12 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.8
203127 MLBLAD 54% 443399 871729 351086 72 218291338629 120274 248 284 75 -12 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203228 MLBLAD 54% 455410 891829 361126 72 217290337626 120274 258 283 75 -13 +1 -1 +8 +13 0.8
203329 MLBLAD 53% 456411 891829 361136 72 217289336625 119273 258 281 73 -14 +1 -1 +8 +13 0.7
203430 MLBLAD 57% 452407 881729 361136 72 216290334624 118272 258 278 71 -15 +1 -2 +8 +13 0.5
203531 MLBLAD 59% 429387 811618 341095 62 209282318600 109269 258 274 68 -16 +0 -3 +8 +12 0.2
203632 MLBLAD 61% 400360 741417 321035 51 206280308588 103266 268 268 64 -16 +1 -4 +7 +11 -0.1
202723 MLBLAD 35% 5954 11201 4151 10 204271296567 93267 257 256 54 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202824 MLBLAD 46% 135122 26512 10332 21 213284320603 107269 247 264 61 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
202925 MLBLAD 52% 190172 37714 14462 31 215282337619 122270 247 269 64 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203026 MLBLAD 54% 226204 44914 17553 41 216286328614 113271 248 271 65 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203127 MLBLAD 54% 240216 47915 19593 41 218290338628 120271 258 271 65 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.2
203228 MLBLAD 54% 247222 47915 20613 41 212286329615 117270 258 270 65 -10 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.2
203329 MLBLAD 53% 242218 47915 19603 41 216287335622 119269 258 268 63 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
203430 MLBLAD 57% 257232 491015 20643 41 211282328610 116268 258 265 61 -11 +0 -1 +5 +7 -0.0
203531 MLBLAD 59% 255230 48915 20653 41 209281322602 113266 258 262 58 -12 +0 -2 +5 +7 -0.2
203632 MLBLAD 61% 245221 45914 19633 31 204276308583 104262 268 256 54 -13 +0 -2 +4 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 20961892 40178940 16252126 339 212283326609 114269 258 266 62 -91 +3 -6 +37 +59 0.3
/ 162G 650587 12424312 501628 103 211282324606 112269 258 266 62 -28 +1 -2 +12 +18 0.1
Career 48034334 9051851986 359127572 6418 209280320600 111273 277 269 64 -194 +6 -10 +86 +136 2.3
/ 162G 650587 12325312 4917310 92 210282324606 114273 278 269 64 -26 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 112101 22510 7173 20 218288287575 69259 156 264 60 -5 +0 +3 -0.1
202218 ROKACL Dodgers 9985 20804 11253 00 235343471814 235286 2511 361 134 +4 +0 +3 0.7
202319 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 330300 801618 21743 31 267320407727 140323 226 320 103 +1 +0 +9 1.1
202420 A+Great Lakes Loons 5448 2100 5190 00 4213262195 2167 359 105 -61 -10 +0 +2 -0.8
202420 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 216183 491623 196111 00 268371426797 158377 289 355 130 +7 +0 +6 1.4
202521 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 3226 5100 591 00 192344231575 38294 2816 285 76 -1 +0 +1 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,0984032216284331+37+202.82.7
/1626641310+11.9+6.30.9pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jesus Galiz (OGILVIE) 22 20→25 32→37 42→47 52 206/273/267 61280 11 26% 8% 47 -0.2
Franklin Tineo
2017 · A
22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Andy Paz
2015 · A
22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Claudio Finol
2022 · A
22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Luis De La Cruz
2011 · A
22 39 40 47→30 38 193/229/294 101252 66 26% 4% 37 -2.6 234/265/316 82286 56 19% 4% 58 -1.2 263/286/335713104416%3%67-0.2
David Narodowski
2011 · A
22 36 40 42→45 46 181/257/264 83246 87 29% 8% 43 -2.2 200/260/286 86282 78 29% 7% 50 -1.8 185/240/258732574728%7%30-0.7
Narbe Cruz
2023 · A
22 41 38→40 44→45 40 197/250/273 76268 57 28% 5% 42 -2.3 215/268/305 90308 86 31% 5% 58 -1.2 215/271/305903139632%5%54-0.7
Steven Baron
2013 · A
22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Gerardo Bustamante
2008 · A
22 38 39→45 42→50 40 189/237/273 83260 84 30% 6% 36 -2.7 198/258/276 78271 55 27% 7% 46 -2.0 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
Malvin Matos
2019 · A
22 43→38 39→45 48→50 44 207/272/295 88279 610 26% 7% 57 -1.2 211/277/333 122296 1411 32% 7% 69 -0.4 196/266/321125267171332%7%58-0.9
Brian Serven
2017 · A
22 39 37→45 39→30 40 187/227/257 70241 44 24% 4% 27 -3.3 192/247/283 91253 64 26% 5% 43 -2.2 224/307/3331093279131%9%79+0.1
Tyler Kolodny
2010 · A
22 40→36 43→45 49→50 41 200/271/316 116273 118 30% 6% 63 -0.9 212/286/347 135281 1410 29% 6% 78 +0.2 214/295/369155271171026%6%84+0.2
Glenn Santiago
2023 · A
22 42 41→40 46→45 39 204/256/303 99288 98 31% 6% 52 -1.6 199/262/282 83293 79 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/253/253702696832%7%37-1.1
Blake Hunt
2021 · A
22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Deivi Mejia
2011 · A
21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
Alexis Wilson
2019 · A
22 41 38→40 48→30 45 195/262/274 79263 54 27% 8% 47 -1.9 219/268/308 89279 85 24% 6% 58 -1.2 222/264/2987626710121%4%51-0.6
Willy Diaz
2016 · A
22 39 38→40 43→40 46 187/275/268 81281 63 33% 9% 53 -1.5 189/257/267 78337 45 41% 7% 43 -2.2 169/224/243753182444%5%20-1.2