Jhoneiker Betancourt
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROKCWS | 71 | .230/.338/.393 | 1 | 0 | 24 | — | .143/.239/.254 |
| 2023 | 23 | ACWS | 275 | .226/.337/.403 | 10 | 0 | 67 | — | .184/.277/.329 |
| 2024 | 24 | A/ROKCWS | 33 | .241/.312/.414 | 1 | 0 | 50 | — | .242/.313/.414 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 61 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 321 | 649 | 54 | 349 | 21 | 3 | 300 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 218 | 202 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 271 | 277 | 548 | 64 | 269 | 19 | 6 | 252 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 129 | 105 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 314 | 442 | 429 | 870 | 114 | 376 | 15 | 11 | 399 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 25 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 368 | 520 | 526 | 1.046 | 158 | 375 | 8 | 20 | 469 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 71 | 61 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 338 | 393 | 731 | 164 | 289 | 21 | 7 | 333 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 275 | 226 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 337 | 403 | 740 | 177 | 252 | 23 | 10 | 322 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 200 | 0 | 6 | 266 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 571 | 905 | 286 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 367 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 61 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 230 | 211 | 440 | 35 | 237 | 26 | 2 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 218 | 206 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 136 | 183 | 170 | 353 | 34 | 181 | 23 | 4 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 129 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 318 | 255 | 572 | 55 | 246 | 18 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 400 | 429 | 829 | 143 | 291 | 12 | 12 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 71 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 239 | 254 | 493 | 111 | 193 | 30 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 275 | 234 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 277 | 329 | 606 | 145 | 211 | 32 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 174 | 0 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 571 | 905 | 286 | 200 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 61 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 230 | 211 | 440 | 35 | 244 | 26 | 2 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 61 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 321 | 649 | 54 | 349 | 21 | 3 | 300 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 218 | 206 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 136 | 183 | 170 | 353 | 34 | 181 | 23 | 4 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 218 | 202 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 271 | 277 | 548 | 64 | 269 | 19 | 6 | 252 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 129 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 318 | 255 | 572 | 55 | 253 | 18 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 129 | 105 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 314 | 442 | 429 | 870 | 114 | 376 | 15 | 11 | 399 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 400 | 429 | 829 | 143 | 294 | 12 | 12 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 25 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 368 | 520 | 526 | 1.046 | 158 | 375 | 8 | 20 | 469 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 71 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 239 | 254 | 493 | 111 | 195 | 30 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 71 | 61 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 338 | 393 | 731 | 164 | 289 | 21 | 7 | 333 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 275 | 234 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 277 | 329 | 606 | 145 | 228 | 32 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 275 | 226 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 337 | 403 | 740 | 177 | 252 | 23 | 10 | 322 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 33 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 219 | 300 | 519 | 133 | 154 | 12 | 3 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 33 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 312 | 414 | 726 | 172 | 231 | 9 | 6 | 315 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 61 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 230 | 211 | 440 | 35 | 237 | 26 | 2 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 218 | 204 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 137 | 183 | 172 | 355 | 34 | 181 | 23 | 4 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 129 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 202 | 318 | 257 | 575 | 55 | 246 | 18 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 400 | 429 | 829 | 143 | 291 | 12 | 12 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 71 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 239 | 254 | 493 | 111 | 193 | 30 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 275 | 243 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 277 | 317 | 593 | 140 | 211 | 32 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 33 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 219 | 290 | 509 | 129 | 187 | 12 | 3 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 33 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 219 | 290 | 509 | 129 | 187 | 12 | 3 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 812 | 721 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 205 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 171 | 253 | 258 | 510 | 87 | 215 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 41 | -57 | +0 | +0 | +14 | +18 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 164 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 172 | 253 | 260 | 513 | 88 | 215 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 41 | -46 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 17 PAwOBA .260 → .218 (−42)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.957 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 4.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 12.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .260 → .218; ISO .067 → .053; BABIP .200 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL White Sox · 16 PAwOBA .380 → .269 (−111)K% 18.8% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 14.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.012 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.076 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 6.29% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .269; ISO .286 → .198; BABIP .273 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 275 PAwOBA .327 → .267 (−60)K% 23.3% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.27% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.18% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.14% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×0.990 | 16.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×0.990 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.17% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .327 → .267; ISO .177 → .154; BABIP .252 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL White Sox · 71 PAwOBA .324 → .203 (−121)K% 21.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷1.008 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.04% | ÷0.961 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 4.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.04% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×0.975 | 11.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.287 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.975 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.104 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.975 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 1.41% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 100, 2B 157, 3B 121, K 102, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .324 → .203; ISO .164 → .089; BABIP .289 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL White Sox · 25 PAwOBA .458 → .349 (−109)K% 8.0% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 12.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 27.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.40% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .458 → .349; ISO .158 → .127; BABIP .375 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL White Sox · 129 PAwOBA .387 → .262 (−125)K% 14.7% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.75% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.995 | 18.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .387 → .262; ISO .114 → .067; BABIP .376 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL White Sox · 218 PAwOBA .244 → .162 (−82)K% 19.3% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.015 | ×1.008 | 13.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.015 | ×1.008 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.015 | ×1.008 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .244 → .162; ISO .064 → .039; BABIP .269 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL White Sox · 61 PAwOBA .292 → .194 (−98)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.92% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 19.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .292 → .194; ISO .054 → .032; BABIP .349 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).