Yordanny Monegro

Yordanny Monegro P Greenville Drive

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.95

FIP3.95

K%27.0%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%17.8%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†6565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.4M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$11M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	13	13	40	172	41	25	0	100%	3.1	16.2%	18.2%	-2.0%	0.0%	3.63	4.03	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	13	13	40	172	41	25	0	100%	3.1	23.8%	14.5%	9.3%	0.0%	3.63	2.92	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	9	6	26	122	24	14	7	67%	2.9	13.4%	14.3%	-1.0%	8.5%	7.36	8.46	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	9	6	26	122	24	14	7	67%	2.9	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	5.7%	7.36	6.41	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	66	269	93	26	1	93%	4.7	25.4%	11.0%	14.4%	0.0%	2.06	2.34	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	66	269	93	26	1	93%	4.7	25.4%	11.0%	14.4%	0.0%	2.06	2.34	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	13	66	269	93	26	1	93%	4.7	34.6%	9.7%	24.9%	0.4%	2.06	1.65	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	3.2%	2.84	4.25	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	3.2%	2.84	4.25	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	30.7%	9.5%	21.2%	2.3%	2.84	2.97	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	29.0%	6.4%	22.5%	2.3%	2.67	2.76	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	29.0%	6.4%	22.5%	2.3%	2.67	2.76	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	35.8%	5.8%	29.9%	2.2%	2.67	2.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	3	3	7	30	8	6	2	100%	2.2	—	—	—	—	4.05	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	3	3	7	30	8	6	2	100%	2.2	—	—	—	—	4.05	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	BOS	2	2	4	17	7	4	1	100%	1.9	41.2%	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	4.91	5.83	—
2026	23	AA RAW	BOS	1	1	3	13	1	2	1	100%	3.0	7.7%	15.4%	-7.7%	7.7%	3.00	8.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	70	296	81	27	8	100%	5.4	27.2%	9.0%	18.2%	2.9%	3.93	3.89	+0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	71	300	82	27	9	100%	5.9	27.3%	8.8%	18.5%	2.9%	3.90	3.86	+0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	71	300	82	26	9	100%	5.9	27.3%	8.8%	18.5%	2.9%	3.89	3.86	+0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	70	295	80	26	9	100%	5.8	27.2%	8.9%	18.3%	2.9%	3.91	3.91	+0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	68	286	78	26	9	100%	6.2	27.1%	9.0%	18.1%	3.0%	3.96	4.00	+0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	65	273	73	25	9	100%	5.9	26.9%	9.3%	17.6%	3.2%	4.06	4.13	+0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	5	5	30	127	34	11	4	100%	6.0	27.2%	9.0%	18.2%	2.8%	3.89	3.85	+0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	47	198	54	18	6	100%	5.9	27.3%	8.8%	18.5%	2.8%	3.86	3.82	+0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	56	236	65	21	7	100%	6.2	27.3%	8.8%	18.5%	2.8%	3.85	3.82	+0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	60	253	69	23	7	100%	6.0	27.2%	8.9%	18.3%	2.8%	3.87	3.87	+0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	60	253	69	23	7	100%	6.0	27.1%	9.0%	18.1%	2.9%	3.92	3.96	+0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	59	249	67	23	8	100%	5.9	26.9%	9.3%	17.6%	3.1%	4.02	4.09	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	53	312	1319	358	118	38	100%	5.9	27.2%	9.0%	18.2%	2.9%	3.90	3.53	+5.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	229	76	24	100%	5.9	27.2%	9.0%	18.2%	2.9%	3.90	3.53	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		66	60	247	1036	233	128	25	91%	3.7	22.5%	12.3%	10.2%	2.4%	3.24	4.10	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	49	200	838	188	103	20	91%	3.7	22.5%	12.3%	10.2%	2.4%	3.24	4.10	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yordanny Monegro (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.95	27.0%	9.3%	2.9%	—	3.87	27.3%	18.4%	212	-0.08	—	—	—
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	84
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	82
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	81
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	81
River Ryan R 2022 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	26.1%	12.2%	2.3%	.321	3.89	20.2%	9.1%	134	+0.20	2.11	220	81
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	81
Cade Horton R 2023 · 3.22 FIP	21	SP	3.22	26.0%	8.8%	2.2%	.273	3.60	21.6%	13.8%	181	+0.38	3.22	270	81
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	80
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	79
Kumar Rocker R 2023 · 2.86 FIP	23	SP	2.86	29.1%	7.3%	2.4%	.317	3.93	22.0%	13.5%	250	+1.07	1.93	278	79
David Festa R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	24.4%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.75	26.7%	18.6%	209	+0.06	3.67	405	78
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	77
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	76
Cody Morris R 2019 · 3.73 FIP	22	SP	3.73	21.6%	8.1%	2.6%	.362	2.85	31.1%	20.9%	96	-0.88	2.23	256	75
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.22	21.7%	13.8%	422	+0.36	3.71	565	75
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	682	75
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	75
Ryan Jensen R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	21.4%	10.8%	4.0%	.236	4.51	21.6%	4.7%	180	-0.35	4.00	311	75
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	67	27.2%	9.0%	1.14	3.94
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61