Yordanny Monegro

P Greenville Drive

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1063ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	18	17	76	2.84	2.97	30.7%	9.5%	—	K 23.7% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.25
2025	22	AABOS	9	8	34	2.67	2.06	35.8%	5.8%	—	K 29.0% · BB 6.4% · FIP 2.76
2026	23	MIX2 levels	3	3	7	4.05	7.30	26.7%	20.0%	—	K 26.7% · BB 20.0% · FIP 7.04
2027PROJ	24	MLBBOS	—	—	0	3.94	3.94	27.1%	8.9%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBBOS	4	4	25	3.90	3.88	27.1%	8.8%	0.4
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBBOS	6	6	38	3.91	3.89	27.0%	8.8%	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsSam Benschoter (age 24) · Kyle Brnovich (age 23) · Ryan Garcia (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.94

FIP3.94

K%27.1%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%18.2%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	13	13	40	172	41	25	0	100%	3.1	16.2%	18.2%	-2.0%	0.0%	3.63	4.03	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	13	13	40	172	41	25	0	100%	3.1	23.8%	14.5%	9.3%	0.0%	3.63	2.92	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	9	6	26	122	24	14	7	67%	2.9	13.4%	14.3%	-1.0%	8.5%	7.36	8.46	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	9	6	26	122	24	14	7	67%	2.9	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	5.7%	7.36	6.41	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	66	269	93	26	1	93%	4.7	25.4%	11.0%	14.4%	0.0%	2.06	2.34	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	13	66	269	93	26	1	93%	4.7	34.6%	9.7%	24.9%	0.4%	2.06	1.65	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	3.2%	2.84	4.25	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	3.2%	2.84	4.25	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	76	306	94	29	7	94%	4.2	30.7%	9.5%	21.2%	2.3%	2.84	2.97	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	29.0%	6.4%	22.5%	2.3%	2.67	2.76	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	29.0%	6.4%	22.5%	2.3%	2.67	2.76	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	9	8	34	137	49	8	3	89%	3.7	35.8%	5.8%	29.9%	2.2%	2.67	2.06	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	7	30	8	6	2	100%	2.2	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	6.7%	4.05	7.04	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	7	30	8	6	2	100%	2.2	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	6.7%	4.05	7.04	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	7	30	8	6	2	100%	2.2	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	6.7%	4.05	7.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	27.1%	8.9%	18.2%	3.0%	3.94	3.94	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	58	244	66	21	7	100%	5.8	27.1%	8.8%	18.3%	2.9%	3.94	3.92	+1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	58	244	66	21	7	100%	5.8	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	2.9%	3.95	3.93	+1.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	4	4	25	106	29	9	3	100%	6.2	27.1%	8.8%	18.3%	2.9%	3.90	3.88	+0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	6	6	38	160	43	14	5	100%	6.3	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	2.9%	3.91	3.89	+0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	63	267	72	23	8	100%	5.8	27.1%	8.8%	18.3%	2.9%	3.91	3.50	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	228	73	25	100%	5.9	27.1%	8.8%	18.3%	2.9%	3.91	3.50	+4.6
Career	—	MLE		66	60	247	1036	233	128	25	91%	3.7	22.5%	12.3%	10.2%	2.4%	3.24	4.10	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	49	200	838	188	103	20	91%	3.7	22.5%	12.3%	10.2%	2.4%	3.24	4.10	+3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 34 IPFIP 2.02 → 2.76 (+0.73)K% 35.8% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	35.77%	—	×0.810	28.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.84%	—	×1.100	6.42%
HR / BF /BF	2.19%	÷1.119	×1.200	2.35%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 124).

Result: FIP 2.02 → 2.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Greenville Drive · 66 IPFIP 3.18 → 4.25 (+1.07)K% 30.8% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.83%	—	×0.770	23.74%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.77%	—	×1.150	11.24%
HR / BF /BF	2.63%	÷1.043	×1.250	3.15%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 109).

Result: FIP 3.18 → 4.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Red Sox · 10 IPFIP 1.52 → 2.56 (+1.05)K% 30.0% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.00%	—	×0.680	20.40%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.50%	—	×1.250	9.38%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.952	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 1.52 → 2.56, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASalem Red Sox · 41 IPFIP 1.43 → 2.41 (+0.98)K% 34.5% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	34.48%	—	×0.740	25.52%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.77%	—	×1.180	11.53%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.999	×1.300	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.43 → 2.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Red Sox · 15 IPFIP 0.91 → 2.15 (+1.24)K% 37.0% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	37.04%	—	×0.680	25.19%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.41%	—	×1.250	9.26%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.974	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 0.91 → 2.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Greenville Drive · 10 IPFIP 3.31 → 4.61 (+1.31)K% 31.7% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.71%	—	×0.770	24.41%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.20%	—	×1.150	14.02%
HR / BF /BF	2.44%	÷0.931	×1.250	3.28%

Result: FIP 3.31 → 4.61, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Red Sox · 26 IPFIP 6.04 → 8.46 (+2.42)K% 19.7% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.67%	—	×0.680	13.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.48%	—	×1.250	14.34%
HR / BF /BF	5.74%	÷0.943	×1.400	8.52%

Result: FIP 6.04 → 8.46, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKDSL BOS Blue · 40 IPFIP 2.93 → 4.03 (+1.10)K% 23.8% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.84%	—	×0.680	16.21%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.53%	—	×1.250	18.17%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.458	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.93 → 4.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yordanny Monegro (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.0%	—	3.93	27.1%	18.3%	116	-0.01	—	—	—
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.96	18.7%	8.6%	306	+1.25	3.61	441	85
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	82
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.53	19.8%	6.6%	278	+1.79	3.74	362	81
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.67	22.0%	14.9%	279	+0.48	3.19	310	80
Kyle Bradish R 2021 · 3.60 FIP	24	SP	3.60	26.4%	10.6%	2.5%	.333	3.30	24.9%	17.2%	345	-0.30	2.20	750	79
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	79
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	78
German Nunez R 2024 · 3.00 FIP	22	SP	3.00	24.8%	6.8%	2.1%	.298	3.36	22.1%	11.2%	19	+0.36	2.27	151	78
Dylan DeLucia R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	23	SP	3.88	21.6%	7.4%	3.0%	.241	5.29	18.0%	7.2%	197	+1.41	3.88	232	78
Jaden Hamm R 2024 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP	3.79	23.5%	8.9%	2.8%	.273	4.79	17.1%	7.3%	83	+1.00	3.79	182	77
Jared Karros R 2024 · 3.36 FIP	23	SP	3.36	21.9%	9.2%	1.7%	.281	7.71	12.4%	2.7%	52	+4.35	3.36	191	76
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	76
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.31	22.9%	10.2%	109	+0.88	3.43	142	75
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	75
Cole Sands R 2021 · 3.67 FIP	24	SP	3.67	23.3%	11.5%	1.9%	.269	3.53	25.0%	17.4%	216	-0.14	2.28	474	74
Blake Wehunt R 2024 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP	3.65	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.30	21.0%	11.4%	164	+0.65	3.65	256	74
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	694	74
Mitch White R 2019 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP	4.64	22.7%	8.3%	4.4%	.309	3.53	20.9%	12.9%	194	-1.11	2.49	626	73
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	73
Zack Lee R 2024 · 3.51 FIP	23	SP-	3.51	19.2%	7.0%	2.1%	.293	4.54	15.0%	6.5%	153	+1.03	3.22	236	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	27.1%	8.8%	1.14	3.94
Danny Farquhar ('18)	1.4	54	26.9%	9.2%	0.99	3.93
Buddy Schultz ('75-'79, 2 WAR*)	1.2	60	27.4%*	8.5%*	1.21*	4.14*
Oliver Drake ('20)	1.0	68	26.2%	9.5%	1.06	4.27
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Bob James ('78-'87, 4 WAR*)	2.0	68	26.3%*	8.8%*	1.07*	4.04*
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*