Yordanny Monegro
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA3.90
FIP3.90
K%26.5%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%17.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 13 | 40 | 172 | 41 | 25 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 16.2% | 18.2% | -2.0% | 0.0% | 3.63 | 4.03 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 13 | 40 | 172 | 41 | 25 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 23.8% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 3.63 | 2.92 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 9 | 6 | 26 | 122 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 67% | 2.9 | 13.4% | 14.3% | -1.0% | 9.1% | 7.36 | 8.76 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 9 | 6 | 26 | 122 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 67% | 2.9 | 19.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.36 | 6.41 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 66 | 269 | 93 | 26 | 1 | 93% | 4.7 | 25.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 2.06 | 2.34 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 13 | 66 | 269 | 93 | 26 | 1 | 93% | 4.7 | 34.6% | 9.7% | 24.9% | 0.4% | 2.06 | 1.65 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 76 | 306 | 94 | 29 | 7 | 94% | 4.2 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 2.84 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 76 | 306 | 94 | 29 | 7 | 94% | 4.2 | 30.7% | 9.5% | 21.2% | 2.3% | 2.84 | 2.97 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 9 | 8 | 34 | 137 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 89% | 3.7 | 29.0% | 6.4% | 22.5% | 2.1% | 2.67 | 2.63 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 9 | 8 | 34 | 137 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 89% | 3.7 | 35.8% | 5.8% | 29.9% | 2.2% | 2.67 | 2.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 10 | 52 | 221 | 59 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.5% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 10 | 54 | 227 | 61 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 26.7% | 8.4% | 18.3% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 62 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.86 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 62 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.85 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.7% | 8.4% | 18.3% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.85 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 41 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 3.83 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 49 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.86 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 18 | 103 | 436 | 117 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.8% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 3.46 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 227 | 72 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.8% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 3.46 | +4.5 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 57 | 241 | 1006 | 225 | 122 | 23 | 90% | 3.8 | 22.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 4.01 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 47 | 200 | 836 | 187 | 101 | 19 | 90% | 3.8 | 22.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yordanny Monegro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.90 | 26.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | — | 3.83 | 26.8% | 18.4% | 162 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 84 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.69 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .256 | 5.06 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.37 | 3.69 | 333 | 83 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 83 |
| Brendan Beck R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 82 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 81 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 81 |
| Bryce Mayer R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.30 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.80 | 27.2% | 12.2% | 52 | +1.50 | 3.30 | 140 | 81 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 81 |
| Nolan Perry R 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.24 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 136 | 81 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.94 | 29.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .317 | 3.94 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 202 | +1.00 | 1.95 | 230 | 80 |
| Braxton Bragg R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.78 | 22.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | .325 | 2.47 | 26.2% | 18.1% | 59 | -1.31 | 2.47 | 155 | 79 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.31 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .281 | 7.92 | 12.4% | 2.7% | 52 | +4.61 | 3.31 | 191 | 79 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 78 |
| Cody Morris R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .362 | 2.86 | 31.1% | 20.9% | 96 | -1.14 | 2.26 | 256 | 77 |
| Angel Jimenez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.95 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 194 | 77 |
| Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 76 |
| David Festa R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.55 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .341 | 3.71 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 209 | +0.16 | 3.55 | 405 | 76 |
| Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 76 |
| Jacob Kisting R 2026 · 2.74 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.74 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 144 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 26.7% | 8.5% | 1.10 | 3.87 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Juan Nicasio ('19) | 5 | 68 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 0.83 | 4.21 |