Brayan Medina — OGILVIE

Brayan Medina P FCL Twins

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%22.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	14	12	34	161	49	24	4	86%	2.4	20.7%	18.6%	2.1%	2.9%	5.88	5.30	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	14	12	34	161	49	24	4	86%	2.4	30.4%	14.9%	15.5%	2.5%	5.88	3.87	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	10	7	24	111	24	20	1	70%	2.4	14.7%	22.5%	-7.8%	1.0%	6.46	5.25	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	10	7	24	111	24	20	1	70%	2.4	21.6%	18.0%	3.6%	0.9%	6.46	4.16	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	9	8	37	166	24	19	1	89%	4.1	9.8%	14.3%	-4.5%	0.9%	4.82	4.59	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	9	8	37	166	24	19	1	89%	4.1	9.8%	14.3%	-4.5%	0.9%	4.82	4.59	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	9	8	37	166	24	19	1	89%	4.1	14.5%	11.4%	3.0%	0.6%	4.82	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	MIN	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.66	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	4	4	23	96	22	10	3	100%	5.7	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.54	4.48	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	2	2	10	42	10	4	1	100%	5.0	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.54	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	41	9	4	1	100%	4.9	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.54	4.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	185	82	21	100%	5.6	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.54	4.10	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		33	27	95	438	66	79	7	82%	2.9	15.1%	18.0%	-2.9%	1.7%	5.61	5.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	57	200	925	139	166	15	82%	2.9	15.1%	18.0%	-2.9%	1.7%	5.61	5.02	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	22.1%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.7%	12.5%	23	-0.18	—	—	—
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	84
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	82
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	81
River Ryan R 2022 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	26.1%	12.2%	2.3%	.321	3.89	20.2%	9.1%	134	+0.20	2.11	220	81
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	80
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	682	80
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	79
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	79
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	78
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	77
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	77
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	76
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	76
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	76
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.41	20.0%	8.4%	215	-1.19	4.34	257	76