Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 232 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 93% | 3.5 | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 6.66 | 4.05 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 232 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 93% | 3.5 | 19.8% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 1.3% | 6.66 | 3.00 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 44 | 207 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 64% | 4.0 | 11.8% | 14.5% | -2.7% | 5.6% | 6.18 | 6.99 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 44 | 207 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 64% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.18 | 5.48 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 5 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40% | 1.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 0.29 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 5 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40% | 1.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 0.37 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 51 | 238 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 4.2 | 14.4% | 15.3% | -0.9% | 3.9% | 6.00 | 5.94 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 51 | 238 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 5.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 5 | 5 | 26 | 109 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 72 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 34 | 151 | 707 | 100 | 86 | 25 | 81% | 3.6 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.21 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 45 | 200 | 938 | 133 | 115 | 33 | 81% | 3.6 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.21 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yoscar Pimentel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.31 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 26 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 85 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 83 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 82 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 82 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 82 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 80 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 78 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 77 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 77 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 76 |
| James McArthur R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.53 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .310 | 4.16 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 194 | +0.63 | 3.53 | 352 | 76 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 75 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 75 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 75 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 74 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 74 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 73 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |