Adrian La Rosa

C DSL Mets Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Blue	90	.297/.422/.446	2	7	50	—	.179/.289/.256
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBNYM	200	.209/.285/.291	2	4	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBNYM	59	.207/.285/.294	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBNYM	153	.211/.289/.304	2	3	74	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA78

Chase%77

wRC+74

ISO65

Z-Con%65

Speed43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Andrés Nolaya (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .282 / .289

PA80

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	74	22	5	0	2	12	22	4	7	0	297	422	446	868	149	400	24	13	394	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	78	14	3	0	1	8	27	4	7	0	179	289	256	545	77	246	30	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	78	14	3	0	1	8	27	4	7	0	179	289	256	545	77	260	30	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	74	22	5	0	2	12	22	4	7	0	297	422	446	868	149	400	24	13	394	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	78	14	3	0	1	8	27	4	7	0	179	289	256	545	77	246	30	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	78	14	3	0	1	8	27	4	7	0	179	289	256	545	77	246	30	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	200	179	38	7	1	2	15	56	4	4	1	209	285	291	576	82	290	28	8	265	65	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	173	154	33	6	1	2	14	48	3	4	1	213	290	303	593	89	292	28	8	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	316	282	61	11	2	4	25	86	6	7	2	217	295	313	608	96	293	27	8	278	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	426	381	83	15	2	6	34	115	8	9	2	220	298	323	621	103	294	27	8	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	504	449	100	18	3	8	40	134	10	11	3	223	301	331	632	108	295	27	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	520	463	104	19	3	9	42	137	10	11	3	225	303	338	641	113	295	26	8	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	463	105	19	3	9	42	137	10	11	3	226	304	341	645	114	296	26	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	463	106	19	3	10	42	136	10	11	3	227	304	342	647	116	296	26	8	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	463	106	19	3	10	42	136	10	11	3	227	304	343	647	116	296	26	8	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	520	463	105	19	3	10	42	137	10	11	3	225	303	340	643	115	295	26	8	292	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	520	463	104	19	3	9	42	138	10	11	3	224	301	335	637	112	294	27	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	520	464	102	18	2	9	42	140	9	10	3	221	298	329	627	108	293	27	8	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	520	464	100	18	2	8	42	142	9	10	4	218	295	321	616	103	291	27	8	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	504	450	97	17	2	8	40	139	9	9	5	214	290	311	601	97	288	28	8	274	72	-17	-0	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	207	285	294	578	87	282	27	8	266	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	153	137	29	5	1	2	12	42	3	3	1	211	289	304	593	93	284	27	8	272	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	231	206	44	8	1	3	18	62	5	5	1	214	292	313	606	100	285	27	8	277	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	285	254	55	10	1	5	23	76	6	6	2	216	295	321	616	105	285	27	8	281	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	299	267	58	10	2	5	24	79	6	7	2	219	297	328	625	110	286	26	8	284	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	296	264	58	10	2	5	24	78	6	7	2	220	298	331	629	111	287	26	8	286	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	295	263	58	10	2	5	24	77	6	6	2	220	298	333	631	113	287	26	8	287	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	294	262	58	10	1	6	24	77	6	6	2	220	298	333	632	113	287	26	8	287	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	311	277	62	11	2	6	25	82	6	7	2	219	297	331	628	112	286	26	8	285	83	-6	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	321	286	63	11	2	6	26	85	6	7	2	217	295	326	621	109	285	26	8	283	82	-7	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	327	292	63	11	1	6	26	88	6	7	2	215	293	320	612	105	284	27	8	279	79	-8	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	330	295	62	11	1	5	26	90	6	7	2	211	289	312	601	100	282	27	8	274	76	-9	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	328	293	61	11	1	5	26	91	6	6	3	207	284	302	586	95	279	28	8	268	72	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3529	3149	682	120	17	60	283	943	69	75	23	217	295	323	618	106	288	27	8	280	79	-84	+6	-4	+63	+76	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	125	22	3	11	52	174	13	14	4	216	295	321	615	105	286	27	8	280	79	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6253	5573	1235	223	32	104	503	1674	119	135	38	222	300	329	629	107	295	27	8	285	79	-149	+10	-7	+110	+134	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	128	23	3	11	52	174	12	14	4	221	298	328	626	107	294	27	8	285	79	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,611	61	76	223	297	331	+64	+32	8.4	7.2
/162	664	11	14	+11.9	+5.9	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian La Rosa (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	207/282/289	81	290	1	2	28%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	38→48	41→45	50	43	191/254/292	102	253	8	11	27%	7%	55	-2.0	176/229/262	86	311	8	13	43%	6%	38	-3.2	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1

Adrian La Rosa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps