Aroon Escobar — OGILVIE

Aroon Escobar3B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION567 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.2	$6M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.4M
Totals		$22M		$33M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	117	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	92	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	182	+10	+2	—	—	+2	1.4
2025	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	24	22	4	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	182	250	273	523	91	250	25	8	239	48	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	198	168	43	1	3	4	22	41	4	14	2	256	356	369	725	113	307	21	11	325	106	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	316	270	77	12	0	11	32	51	10	10	3	285	381	452	833	167	311	16	10	370	136	+14	+1	—	—	+7	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	152	27	2	1	2	15	37	14	11	6	178	309	243	553	66	205	20	8	252	57	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	117	18	5	0	1	13	20	3	13	2	154	256	222	478	68	179	15	10	226	39	-10	+2	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	85	22	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	259	382	388	771	129	263	13	12	331	110	+1	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	20	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	24	23	4	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	174	208	261	469	87	242	29	4	204	24	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	198	177	38	1	2	3	13	55	4	14	2	215	284	294	577	79	275	28	7	261	63	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	316	278	67	11	0	9	24	68	10	10	3	241	324	378	701	137	276	22	8	308	95	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	152	27	2	1	2	15	37	14	11	6	178	309	243	553	66	214	20	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	117	18	5	0	1	13	20	3	13	2	154	256	222	478	68	175	15	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	85	22	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	259	382	388	771	129	275	13	12	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	478	109	12	3	12	38	130	14	24	5	228	304	341	645	113	282	24	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	538	460	124	13	4	15	56	98	14	24	5	270	366	413	779	143	307	18	10	348	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	155	27	2	1	2	15	37	14	11	6	174	309	239	548	65	205	20	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	117	18	5	0	1	13	20	3	13	2	154	256	222	478	68	179	15	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	86	22	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	256	382	384	766	128	263	13	12	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	481	109	12	3	12	38	130	14	24	5	227	304	339	643	112	274	24	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	134	117	18	5	0	1	13	20	3	13	2	154	256	222	478	68	179	15	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	104	86	22	2	0	3	13	14	4	9	0	256	382	384	766	128	263	13	12	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	538	481	109	12	3	12	38	130	14	24	5	227	304	339	643	112	274	24	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	PHI	—	567	506	103	14	2	9	46	112	10	27	7	204	283	292	575	89	241	20	8	257	60	-27	+3	+0	+2	+12	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA RAW	PHI	—	567	485	110	16	2	11	67	92	10	27	7	227	333	336	669	109	256	16	12	307	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	PHI	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		268	22	11	285	79	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	PHI	—	576	514	104	14	2	9	47	114	10	27	7	202	282	290	572	88	240	20	8	257	60	-27	+3	-0	+2	+12	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	519	463	108	16	2	12	43	101	8	17	4	233	309	354	664	121	271	19	8	300	89	-7	+2	-3	+2	+11	0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	609	543	130	19	3	16	51	117	10	20	5	239	316	374	690	134	273	19	8	308	95	-4	+2	-4	+2	+13	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	74%	627	558	136	20	3	18	54	119	10	21	5	244	322	387	709	143	275	19	9	314	99	-1	+2	-4	+2	+14	1.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	77%	638	568	139	21	3	19	55	121	10	21	5	245	322	393	715	148	275	19	9	317	101	+1	+2	-4	+2	+14	1.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	78%	633	563	137	20	3	19	55	120	10	21	5	243	322	391	712	147	275	19	9	319	102	+1	+2	-4	+2	+14	1.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	77%	625	555	136	20	3	19	55	118	10	21	5	245	324	395	719	150	275	19	9	319	102	+1	+2	-4	+2	+14	1.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	77%	616	546	132	19	3	18	55	118	10	20	5	242	322	386	709	145	275	19	9	318	101	+1	+2	-5	+2	+13	1.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	75%	605	537	129	19	2	18	54	117	9	18	4	240	320	384	704	143	274	19	9	316	100	-0	+2	-5	+2	+13	1.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	73%	594	527	125	18	2	17	53	116	9	16	4	237	317	376	693	139	272	20	9	313	98	-2	+2	-6	+2	+13	0.9
2036	31	MLB MLE	PHI	73%	583	517	121	17	2	16	52	116	9	13	3	234	315	368	682	133	270	20	9	308	95	-4	+1	-7	+2	+13	0.6
2037	32	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	572	507	116	16	2	15	51	116	9	11	3	229	310	357	667	128	267	20	9	303	91	-6	+1	-7	+2	+12	0.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	525	465	105	14	2	13	47	109	8	8	2	226	308	348	656	123	263	21	9	296	86	-8	+1	-8	+2	+11	-0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	478	426	97	12	2	11	42	102	7	5	1	228	307	343	650	115	272	21	9	297	87	-7	+1	-8	+2	+10	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	255	228	54	8	1	6	21	49	4	9	2	237	312	360	672	123	273	19	8	292	89	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	417	372	90	13	2	12	35	80	7	14	3	242	319	384	703	142	276	19	8	302	95	-3	+2	-3	+1	+9	0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	74%	466	416	102	15	2	14	40	88	7	16	4	245	322	392	714	147	278	19	9	308	99	-1	+2	-3	+2	+10	1.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	77%	491	438	107	16	2	15	42	93	8	16	4	244	322	393	714	148	278	19	9	312	101	+1	+2	-3	+2	+11	1.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	78%	495	441	109	16	2	16	43	93	8	17	4	247	325	401	727	154	278	19	9	313	102	+1	+2	-3	+2	+11	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	77%	482	428	106	16	2	15	43	91	8	16	4	248	328	400	727	152	278	19	9	313	102	+1	+2	-3	+2	+10	1.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	77%	472	420	103	15	2	15	42	90	7	15	4	245	324	398	722	152	277	19	9	312	101	+1	+1	-4	+2	+10	1.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	75%	451	400	98	14	2	14	41	87	7	13	3	245	326	395	721	150	276	19	9	310	100	-0	+1	-4	+2	+10	0.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	73%	436	387	94	14	2	13	39	85	7	12	3	243	323	390	714	147	275	19	9	307	98	-1	+1	-4	+2	+9	0.7
2036	31	MLB CTX	PHI	73%	424	377	90	13	1	13	38	84	6	10	2	239	318	382	700	143	272	20	9	302	95	-3	+1	-5	+2	+9	0.5
2037	32	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	414	368	86	12	1	12	37	84	6	8	2	234	314	370	683	136	269	20	9	297	91	-4	+1	-5	+1	+9	0.2
2038	33	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	379	336	76	10	1	10	34	79	6	6	1	226	309	351	660	125	265	21	9	290	86	-6	+1	-6	+1	+8	-0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	323	286	67	9	1	8	29	69	5	3	1	234	316	357	672	122	275	21	9	291	87	-5	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5505	4897	1182	171	21	163	484	1072	86	155	37	241	320	385	705	143	276	19	9	305	94	-23	+16	-51	+20	+119	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	139	20	2	19	57	127	10	18	4	240	319	381	700	140	276	20	9	305	94	-3	+2	-6	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	8595	7615	1788	252	36	229	747	1693	154	269	64	235	316	368	683	133	271	20	9	306	94	-35	+22	-70	+27	+165	11.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	135	19	3	17	56	128	12	20	5	234	315	366	682	132	271	20	9	306	94	-3	+2	-6	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	8.3	5,512	152	154	239	315	376	+20	-24	16.1	13.9
/162	664	18	19	+2.4	-2.9	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Jonathan Villarlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,934 PA	5.9	3,934	101	239	255	322	397	+24	-40	12.8	13.9
/162	664	17	40	+4.0	-6.8	2.2	pk7: 15
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aroon Escobar (OGILVIE)	21	40→52	40→50	45→42	52	223/299/322	98	268	6	13	20%	8%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lastings Milledge 2006 · AA	21	55→59	42→50	47→55	41	259/316/368	109	335	8	21	24%	5%	95	+1.0	253/321/385	132	310	12	17	21%	6%	101	+1.4	254/325/393	139	302	14	19	20%	7%	100	+1.0
✕Kelvin Diaz 2008 · A	21	52	47→50	44→45	49	255/327/393	138	287	14	7	16%	7%	105	+1.7	231/292/351	120	283	10	9	21%	6%	82	+0.0	224/279/357	134	275	10	13	22%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	48→50	44→45	42→50	47	236/296/352	116	299	11	10	24%	8%	83	+0.1	210/269/331	121	284	12	6	29%	7%	69	-0.9	205/272/316	111	274	13	9	29%	8%	65	-0.7
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	49→53	44→60	46→50	45	235/296/355	121	315	10	14	28%	8%	84	+0.2	261/327/451	190	310	25	8	23%	8%	118	+2.7	258/344/398	139	293	17	6	17%	11%	111	+2.3
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	45→55	45	43→50	47	223/293/345	122	251	13	10	17%	6%	82	-0.0	236/287/316	80	290	5	9	19%	5%	72	-0.7	266/322/370	104	333	7	11	21%	5%	94	+0.6
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Jairo Perez 2009 · A	21	47	42→50	46→50	47	226/302/335	108	267	8	9	18%	6%	83	+0.1	224/289/334	110	263	9	9	18%	7%	78	-0.3	266/321/418	151	304	17	8	18%	5%	107	+0.9
✕Ramón Urías 2016 · AAA	22	54→61	42→50	45→50	43	263/313/369	106	307	10	12	18%	4%	94	+0.9	261/327/387	126	314	12	12	20%	5%	104	+1.6	259/331/402	142	315	14	10	21%	6%	106	+0.9
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	47→53	47→50	47→45	44	235/291/371	136	301	15	7	26%	7%	86	+0.3	227/310/349	122	298	13	5	27%	9%	89	+0.5	216/314/329	113	281	13	3	26%	10%	83	+0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→57	48→55	41→30	43	244/288/390	146	290	16	5	22%	6%	90	+0.6	259/299/413	154	303	18	2	21%	5%	99	+1.3	261/303/419	158	303	20	0	21%	5%	99	+1.0
✕Daniel Robertson 2015 · A	21	51→54	44→45	38→40	48	246/312/362	116	301	11	3	21%	7%	93	+0.8	236/307/338	102	302	7	4	23%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	48→50	43→55	39→45	48	232/293/350	118	281	10	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	227/289/334	107	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	239/301/393	154	272	16	6	18%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	41→40	50→60	53	246/331/344	98	291	8	14	18%	9%	95	+1.0	238/298/316	78	271	5	21	13%	6%	76	-0.4	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	52→60	41→55	47→55	45	250/294/346	96	299	9	12	20%	6%	81	-0.1	249/290/342	93	295	8	9	18%	4%	78	-0.3	275/329/432	158	317	18	21	19%	5%	112	+1.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	80	-0.1	219/274/328	109	275	11	5	24%	5%	70	-0.8	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Enrique Osorio 2007 · AAA	22	46→56	39→45	47→50	51	221/305/308	87	264	7	14	18%	8%	78	-0.3	215/274/286	71	266	6	14	20%	6%	60	-1.6	266/324/380	114	298	12	10	15%	6%	97	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps