Aroon Escobar — OGILVIE

Aroon Escobar3B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION372 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .301 / .315

PA248

HR4

SB10

K%21

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$12M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$12M	+$9M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+2.2	$11M	+$7M
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+2.0	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$24M		$68M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	152	29	2	1	2	15	37	14	11	6	191	320	257	577	66	231	20	8	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	134	117	19	6	0	1	13	20	3	13	2	162	263	239	502	77	186	15	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	104	84	21	2	0	3	14	13	4	9	0	250	382	381	763	131	261	12	13	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	538	479	109	13	3	11	37	126	14	24	5	228	302	336	638	109	280	23	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	538	460	124	13	4	15	56	98	14	24	5	270	366	413	779	143	307	18	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	PHI	—	372	333	66	7	1	5	32	80	5	20	5	198	278	270	549	72	244	22	9	252	51	-21	+2	+0	+1	+11	-0.7
YTD	21	AA	PHI	—	372	319	72	8	1	6	46	62	5	20	5	226	332	313	646	88	261	17	12	300	88	-5	+2	+0	+1	+11	0.9
ROS	21	AA	PHI	2%	248	222	50	6	1	4	20	52	4	10	2	225	301	315	616	90	278	21	8	287	78	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	PHI	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		280	20	0	277	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	AA	PHI	—	377	338	67	7	1	5	32	81	5	20	5	198	277	269	547	71	244	21	8	252	51	-21	+2	-0	+1	+11	-0.7
TOT	21	AA	PHI	—	620	555	116	13	2	9	52	132	9	30	7	209	287	288	576	79	257	21	8	266	62	-27	+3	-2	+2	+18	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PHI	49%	581	519	123	16	2	13	48	119	9	20	5	237	312	351	663	114	282	20	8	303	90	-7	+2	-4	+2	+16	1.0
2028	23	MLB	PHI	68%	609	543	133	18	3	16	52	123	9	21	5	245	321	378	699	133	284	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	-4	+2	+17	1.6
2029	24	MLB	PHI	74%	627	559	139	19	3	18	54	125	9	22	5	249	325	390	715	141	285	20	9	317	101	+1	+2	-4	+2	+18	1.9
2030	25	MLB	PHI	77%	638	568	141	19	3	19	56	127	9	22	5	248	325	393	718	144	285	20	9	320	103	+2	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.1
2031	26	MLB	PHI	78%	636	566	140	19	3	19	56	126	9	22	5	247	325	392	717	145	285	20	9	321	104	+3	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.2
2032	27	MLB	PHI	77%	628	558	139	19	3	19	56	125	9	22	5	249	327	396	724	147	285	20	9	321	104	+3	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.2
2033	28	MLB	PHI	77%	619	549	134	18	2	18	56	124	9	20	5	244	324	383	707	138	284	20	9	320	103	+2	+2	-5	+2	+18	2.0
2034	29	MLB	PHI	75%	608	539	132	18	2	18	55	123	9	19	4	245	325	386	711	141	283	20	9	318	102	+1	+2	-5	+2	+17	1.8
2035	30	MLB	PHI	73%	597	529	128	17	2	17	54	122	9	16	4	242	323	378	701	136	282	20	9	315	99	-0	+2	-6	+2	+17	1.5
2036	31	MLB	PHI	73%	586	520	124	16	2	16	53	122	8	14	3	238	318	369	688	131	280	21	9	311	96	-3	+2	-7	+2	+17	1.1
2037	32	MLB	PHI	72%	575	510	119	15	2	15	52	122	8	11	3	233	314	359	673	125	276	21	9	305	92	-5	+1	-7	+2	+16	0.7
2038	33	MLB	PHI	72%	525	466	107	13	2	13	47	114	7	8	2	230	310	350	659	120	273	22	9	299	87	-8	+1	-8	+2	+15	0.2
2027	22	MLB	PHI	49%	286	256	61	8	1	7	24	58	4	10	2	238	313	359	673	121	284	20	8	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2028	23	MLB	PHI	68%	417	373	91	12	2	11	35	84	6	14	3	244	319	375	694	131	285	20	8	303	90	-5	+2	-3	+1	+12	0.8
2029	24	MLB	PHI	74%	466	416	103	14	2	13	40	93	7	16	4	248	324	385	709	137	287	20	9	309	95	-3	+2	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2030	25	MLB	PHI	77%	491	438	109	15	2	15	43	97	7	17	4	249	326	395	721	146	287	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.3
2031	26	MLB	PHI	78%	497	443	110	15	2	15	44	98	7	17	4	248	326	393	719	144	287	20	9	313	98	-1	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.3
2032	27	MLB	PHI	77%	485	432	108	15	2	15	43	96	7	17	4	250	328	398	726	148	287	20	9	313	98	-1	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.3
2033	28	MLB	PHI	77%	474	421	104	14	2	14	43	95	7	16	4	247	327	390	717	143	286	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	-4	+2	+13	1.2
2034	29	MLB	PHI	75%	454	403	99	13	2	13	41	92	7	14	3	246	326	385	711	139	285	20	9	310	95	-2	+2	-4	+2	+13	1.0
2035	30	MLB	PHI	73%	439	390	96	13	2	13	40	90	6	12	3	246	326	390	715	144	284	21	9	307	93	-3	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.8
2036	31	MLB	PHI	73%	426	378	91	12	1	12	39	89	6	10	2	241	322	373	695	132	281	21	9	303	90	-5	+1	-5	+2	+12	0.5
2037	32	MLB	PHI	72%	416	369	87	11	1	11	38	88	6	8	2	236	317	360	678	125	278	21	9	297	86	-7	+1	-5	+1	+12	0.2
2038	33	MLB	PHI	72%	379	337	78	10	1	10	34	82	5	6	1	231	311	356	667	125	274	22	9	291	81	-8	+1	-6	+1	+11	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5235	4661	1138	152	20	149	464	1063	75	157	36	244	323	381	704	137	285	20	9	306	92	-45	+17	-46	+19	+148	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	141	19	2	19	58	132	9	19	4	244	322	382	704	138	283	20	9	306	92	-6	+2	-6	+2	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	8439	7480	1787	236	34	222	738	1720	143	284	66	239	319	369	688	130	280	20	9	309	95	-51	+30	-64	+30	+239	18.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	138	18	3	17	57	132	11	22	5	240	320	370	690	130	281	20	9	309	95	-4	+2	-5	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	143	34	4	1	3	24	26	14	11	6	238	398	343	740	105	263	14	13	342	120	+4	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	134	110	23	7	0	1	20	13	3	13	2	209	346	300	646	91	227	10	15	304	91	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	104	77	26	2	0	3	21	10	4	9	0	338	500	481	981	143	354	10	20	437	192	+11	+2	—	—	+3	1.6
2025	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	24	22	4	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	182	250	273	523	91	250	25	8	239	41	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	198	168	43	1	3	4	22	41	4	14	2	256	356	369	725	113	307	21	11	325	107	+2	+2	—	—	+6	0.9
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	316	270	77	12	0	11	32	51	10	10	3	285	381	452	833	167	311	16	10	370	141	+15	+1	—	—	+9	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	5,235	147	158	244	319	381	+19	-24	17.2	14.9
	/162	664	19	20	244	319	381	+2.4	-3.0	2.2	pk7: 13
#5Jonathan Villarlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,934 PA	10	3,934	101	239	255	322	397	+24	-40	12.8	13.9
	/162	664	17	40	255	322	397	+4.0	-6.8	2.2	pk7: 15
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aroon Escobar (OGILVIE)	21	40→52	40→50	45→42	52	209/287/288	79	257	9	30	21%	8%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lastings Milledge 2006 · AA	21	54→59	42→50	47→55	41	258/315/369	111	336	9	21	25%	5%	95	+1.4	254/321/389	135	311	13	17	22%	6%	102	+1.9	255/326/397	142	302	15	19	20%	7%	102	+1.5
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	49→53	45→60	46→50	44	235/295/364	129	315	11	14	28%	7%	84	+0.6	260/326/451	191	309	25	8	24%	8%	121	+3.2	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
✕Kelvin Diaz 2008 · A	21	52	47→50	44→45	49	255/327/393	138	287	14	7	16%	7%	106	+2.2	231/292/351	120	283	10	9	21%	6%	80	+0.4	224/279/357	134	275	10	13	22%	4%	76	+0.0
●Ramón Urías 2016 · AAA	22	51→57	42→50	45→50	41	249/296/354	105	296	10	12	20%	4%	82	+0.5	250/316/377	127	303	13	12	21%	5%	97	+1.5	249/317/382	133	319	14	3	25%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	45→55	45→55	47→55	43	227/277/351	125	282	13	12	24%	6%	73	-0.1	254/304/410	156	312	12	18	22%	6%	100	+1.7	265/317/429	165	317	13	20	20%	6%	106	+2.0
●Jonathan Schoop 2013 · AA	21	47→57	44→60	44→45	44	231/282/351	120	278	11	6	21%	6%	76	+0.0	226/267/366	140	275	17	4	24%	4%	73	-0.1	265/304/452	186	306	25	1	22%	4%	111	+2.3
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	230/299/397	167	296	19	11	28%	7%	96	+1.5	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Jairo Perez 2009 · A	21	47	42→55	46→50	47	226/302/335	108	267	8	9	18%	6%	81	+0.4	224/290/330	106	264	9	9	18%	7%	74	-0.1	262/318/409	147	302	16	8	18%	5%	104	+1.0
●Miguel Vargas 2021 · A	21	51→53	41→55	49→50	47	243/298/348	105	300	6	9	21%	7%	81	+0.4	243/304/405	162	287	18	11	21%	7%	99	+1.7	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	48→50	43→55	39→45	48	232/293/350	118	281	10	5	21%	7%	80	+0.4	229/290/342	113	274	9	7	19%	7%	77	+0.1	243/303/403	161	276	17	6	19%	6%	96	+1.0
●Thairo Estrada 2017 · A	21	51→59	42→55	47→55	44	250/294/354	104	298	10	12	20%	6%	81	+0.4	249/289/348	99	294	9	9	18%	4%	77	+0.1	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
●Matt Vierling 2019 · A	22	48→56	46→50	43→50	38	239/282/372	133	308	14	9	27%	4%	81	+0.4	204/259/300	96	277	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	257/317/400	143	310	14	10	21%	7%	100	+1.5
●Aaron Cunningham 2007 · A	21	50→58	45→55	47→50	41	242/300/368	126	309	12	12	25%	5%	88	+0.9	256/311/406	150	325	15	15	25%	6%	102	+1.8	257/314/411	153	327	15	16	25%	6%	102	+1.6
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	47→50	48→50	47→45	43	235/289/374	140	300	16	7	27%	6%	85	+0.7	228/311/352	124	302	14	5	27%	9%	89	+1.0	218/316/334	116	287	14	3	27%	10%	83	+0.3
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	47→60	49→55	41	242/301/379	137	306	14	12	25%	5%	92	+1.2	249/319/435	186	302	22	19	25%	6%	115	+2.7	247/321/459	212	303	27	25	27%	7%	117	+2.6
●Connor Norby 2022 · A	22	48→49	42→55	48→50	45	228/302/336	108	326	10	11	31%	8%	80	+0.4	236/297/399	163	309	19	11	29%	7%	95	+1.4	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
●Daniel Robertson 2015 · A	21	50→54	43→45	38→40	47	241/306/351	110	296	10	3	22%	7%	86	+0.8	234/303/335	101	301	8	4	23%	7%	80	+0.4	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	78	+0.2	219/274/328	109	275	10	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3