Jesus Flores

C DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	87	.377/.563/.574	1	2	118	—	.265/.425/.412
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTEX	197	.227/.326/.323	2	5	88	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBTEX	74	.230/.329/.334	1	2	92	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBTEX	191	.233/.332/.344	2	6	95	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA99

wRC+99

K%95

BB%95

Chase%91

ISO83

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJosue De Paula (age 19) · Jackson Holliday (age 19) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .323 / .320

PA78

HR1

K%21

BB%11

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$88M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.2	$4M	+$0.9M
Totals		$27M		$39M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	61	23	7	1	1	22	9	4	2	0	377	563	574	1.137	197	431	10	25	502	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	304	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	61	23	7	1	1	22	9	4	2	0	377	563	574	1.137	197	431	10	25	502	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	197	170	39	8	2	2	21	42	4	5	1	227	326	323	649	96	290	21	11	298	88	-3	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	171	148	34	7	1	2	18	37	3	5	2	231	329	334	663	103	292	22	11	304	92	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	314	271	64	13	3	4	34	67	6	9	3	234	332	343	675	110	293	21	11	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	424	367	86	18	3	6	45	90	9	13	5	236	334	351	685	115	294	21	11	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	502	434	104	22	4	8	53	106	10	15	6	238	335	358	693	120	295	21	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	110	10	16	6	240	335	364	700	125	296	21	11	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	110	10	16	6	241	336	367	704	127	297	21	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	110	10	16	6	241	337	369	706	128	297	21	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	110	10	16	6	241	337	370	707	129	296	21	11	320	102	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	111	10	16	6	240	335	367	703	127	296	21	11	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	520	450	108	22	4	9	55	112	10	15	6	238	333	362	696	124	295	22	11	315	100	-0	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	520	450	106	22	4	8	55	113	10	15	6	235	331	356	686	120	293	22	11	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	520	452	106	22	4	8	54	115	9	14	7	232	327	348	674	115	291	22	10	307	94	-4	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	504	438	99	20	3	7	52	113	9	13	8	228	322	337	659	110	288	22	10	301	90	-6	-1	-3	+9	+11	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	489	428	95	19	3	6	50	112	8	13	9	222	316	324	640	102	284	23	10	293	85	-9	-1	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2042	33	MLB MLE	TEX	70%	473	414	89	17	3	5	48	111	8	12	12	215	308	309	617	94	279	23	10	284	78	-12	-2	-4	+8	+10	-0.0
2043	34	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	431	378	79	15	3	4	43	105	7	11	14	207	298	291	589	84	272	24	10	273	71	-15	-3	-5	+8	+9	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	74	65	15	3	1	1	8	16	1	2	1	230	329	334	663	104	291	22	11	304	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	191	164	39	8	2	2	21	41	4	6	2	233	332	344	676	111	292	21	11	309	95	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
2030	21	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	289	250	59	12	2	4	31	61	6	9	3	236	334	353	687	117	293	21	11	313	97	-1	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	357	309	74	15	3	6	38	76	7	11	4	238	335	361	695	123	294	21	11	316	99	-0	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	376	326	79	16	3	7	40	80	7	11	4	240	335	367	703	127	295	21	11	318	101	+0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	372	323	78	15	3	7	39	79	7	11	4	241	336	370	707	129	296	21	10	320	102	+1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	370	321	77	15	3	7	39	78	7	11	4	242	337	372	709	131	296	21	11	321	102	+1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	369	320	77	15	3	7	39	78	7	11	4	242	337	373	710	131	295	21	11	321	102	+1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	362	314	76	15	3	7	38	77	7	11	4	240	336	370	706	130	295	21	10	319	101	+1	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	358	310	74	15	3	6	38	77	7	10	4	238	334	365	699	127	294	22	11	317	100	-0	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	348	302	72	14	3	6	37	76	6	10	4	236	331	358	689	123	292	22	11	313	97	-1	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	342	297	70	14	2	6	36	76	6	10	4	232	327	350	677	117	290	22	11	308	94	-2	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	329	286	65	13	2	5	34	74	6	9	5	228	322	339	661	111	287	22	10	302	90	-4	-0	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2041	32	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	317	277	61	12	2	4	32	73	5	8	6	222	316	326	642	104	283	23	10	294	85	-6	-1	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2042	33	MLB CTX	TEX	70%	332	291	63	12	2	4	33	78	5	8	8	215	308	310	618	95	278	23	10	284	78	-9	-2	-3	+6	+7	-0.0
2043	34	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	283	249	52	9	2	3	28	69	4	7	9	207	298	292	590	85	271	24	10	273	71	-10	-2	-3	+5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5069	4404	1031	203	39	82	531	1109	92	145	70	234	329	354	683	120	293	22	10	309	95	-31	+1	-13	+91	+110	16.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	133	26	5	11	68	142	12	19	9	235	330	358	688	122	294	22	10	309	95	-4	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7633	6617	1544	315	57	114	805	1660	144	219	109	233	330	350	679	117	293	22	11	308	95	-49	-0	-20	+135	+163	23.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	132	27	5	10	69	141	12	19	9	234	330	353	684	119	294	22	11	308	95	-4	-0	-2	+12	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2John Roseboro'57-'70 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,527 PA	8.3	5,527	104	67	247*	328*	393*	+97	-2	24.9	22.0
/162	664	12	8	+11.7	-0.2	3.0	pk7: 19
#3Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#4Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#5Al Lopez'28-'47 * career totals — 18 seasons, 6,607 PA	10.0	6,607	51	46	243*	314*	358*	+118	-1	21.3	17.4
/162	664	5	5	+11.8	-0.1	2.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	7.8	5,146	76	147	234	326	350	+92	+48	20.1	16.4
/162	664	10	19	+11.9	+6.2	2.6	pk7: 13
#6Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Flores (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	225/323/320	95	290	1	2	21%	11%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	48→58	38→50	47→55	59	223/318/314	92	250	4	11	12%	11%	84	+0.1	240/302/336	96	303	6	18	21%	6%	82	+0.0	260/322/413	154	311	16	25	21%	5%	109	+1.8
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
●Kevin McGonigle 2024 · A	19	51→57	39→50	47→50	54	240/319/330	90	294	6	15	20%	10%	87	+0.4	261/339/405	144	289	14	15	14%	10%	112	+2.2	271/359/435	164	294	17	13	14%	12%	126	+2.5
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	51→57	37→45	50	49	238/302/314	76	308	3	13	23%	8%	76	-0.4	254/322/351	97	304	8	13	18%	9%	93	+0.8	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Colt Emerson 2024 · A	19	56→51	43→45	54→50	49	261/343/383	122	348	9	14	26%	9%	109	+2.0	239/321/362	123	313	11	13	25%	9%	96	+1.0	231/311/363	132	302	13	14	26%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	47→57	40→50	54→45	44	224/275/327	103	289	6	6	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/289/389	139	299	15	6	21%	5%	90	+0.6	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0

Jesus Flores

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps