Player 837864 — OGILVIE

Player 837864— DSL Brewers Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .293 / .380

PA190

HR6

SB9

K%26

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	MIL	—	123	112	25	5	1	6	9	27	1	12	1	223	287	446	733	223	237	22	7	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.3
YTD	—	ROK	MIL	—	123	105	33	7	1	8	16	19	1	12	1	314	410	629	1.038	314	316	15	13	443	197	+14	+2	+0	-2	+3	1.7
ROS	—	ROK	MIL	0%	190	171	38	7	1	6	15	49	2	9	1	222	293	380	673	158	277	26	8	298	86	-3	+1	+0	-3	+5	0.1
ROS	—	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	MIL	—	123	113	25	5	1	6	9	27	1	12	1	221	287	442	729	221	235	22	7	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.3
TOT	—	ROK	MIL	—	313	283	63	12	2	12	24	76	3	21	2	223	290	406	697	184	259	24	8	305	92	-3	+3	+0	-6	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIL	0%	315	284	64	12	2	9	25	81	3	10	1	225	295	377	672	151	278	26	8	301	88	-4	+2	+0	-6	+9	0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIL	0%	408	369	84	16	3	12	33	103	3	13	2	228	296	385	681	157	279	25	8	303	90	-5	+2	+0	-7	+12	0.1
2029	25	MLB	MIL	0%	471	426	96	18	3	14	38	119	4	15	2	225	295	380	675	155	279	25	8	304	91	-5	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.2
2030	25	MLB	MIL	0%	513	462	106	20	3	16	42	129	4	16	2	229	299	390	689	160	279	25	8	304	91	-5	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.3
2031	25	MLB	MIL	0%	543	489	111	21	3	16	44	136	5	17	2	227	297	380	678	153	279	25	8	304	91	-5	+3	+0	-10	+15	0.3
2032	25	MLB	MIL	0%	564	508	116	22	4	17	46	142	5	18	2	228	299	388	687	159	279	25	8	304	91	-6	+3	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2033	25	MLB	MIL	0%	580	522	119	22	4	18	48	146	5	19	2	228	299	389	688	161	278	25	8	304	91	-6	+3	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2034	25	MLB	MIL	0%	592	533	122	23	4	18	49	149	5	19	2	229	300	388	688	159	278	25	8	304	91	-6	+3	+0	-11	+17	0.3
2027	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4176	3764	856	161	27	126	340	1054	36	136	16	227	298	385	683	158	280	25	8	304	90	-45	+21	+0	-75	+118	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	133	25	4	20	53	164	6	21	2	227	298	386	683	159	279	25	8	304	90	-7	+3	+0	-12	+18	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,299	129	137	228	295	385	-48	+0	4.9	4.7
	/162	664	20	21	228	295	385	-7.5	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837864 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	223/290/406	184	259	12	21	24%	8%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→41	48→50	51→50	45	219/286/364	145	276	16	14	27%	7%	82	+0.5	206/262/337	131	281	14	9	31%	6%	64	-0.8	165/214/276	112	225	13	5	33%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	89	+0.9	213/282/332	119	290	10	11	28%	7%	71	-0.3	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Alex Castellanos 2012 · AA	25	46→49	50→55	53→50	38	232/284/396	164	311	16	13	30%	5%	89	+0.9	210/275/359	149	291	16	16	32%	6%	76	+0.0	198/258/327	129	294	12	8	35%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Ryan Cordell 2017 · AA	25	44→42	50	53→50	40	227/271/380	153	285	18	14	27%	5%	79	+0.3	205/253/335	130	274	14	13	30%	5%	59	-1.1	189/242/308	119	257	13	13	31%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	46→44	46→50	53→50	49	225/309/354	130	297	14	18	28%	9%	89	+0.9	206/283/353	147	268	17	12	28%	9%	78	+0.2	182/260/332	150	231	18	10	29%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Keon Broxton 2015 · AA	25	43→48	50→55	54→60	38	219/270/374	156	313	19	16	36%	6%	77	+0.1	227/294/395	168	342	18	32	36%	8%	92	+1.2	223/298/398	174	337	19	38	37%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Steve Selsky 2013 · A	24	50→52	47→50	53→45	41	245/296/385	140	316	14	11	26%	5%	90	+1.0	236/299/342	106	328	9	8	29%	6%	80	+0.4	252/319/358	106	361	10	4	30%	7%	91	+0.6
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Michael Helman 2022 · A	26	39→41	51→55	52→55	44	205/262/364	158	247	18	14	26%	7%	71	-0.3	222/281/382	160	270	20	24	25%	7%	84	+0.6	219/280/378	159	264	21	28	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Brewer Hicklen 2021 · A	25	44→43	49→55	56→60	35	216/274/360	145	328	17	25	38%	5%	76	+0.0	202/278/362	160	316	20	32	40%	8%	78	+0.2	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Taylor Featherston 2014 · A	24	46→45	48→55	52→50	39	229/278/374	145	303	15	12	29%	5%	80	+0.4	217/261/362	145	279	16	11	28%	4%	70	-0.3	206/250/350	143	260	16	11	27%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1