Leanders Matos

SS DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP40OGV rank#370ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	228	.346/.462/.589	10	19	80	—	.208/.307/.330
2027PROJMLE	18	MLB—	338	.239/.312/.348	5	8	88	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	74	.242/.316/.359	1	2	92	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	179	.244/.320/.367	3	5	95	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%97

wOBA94

wRC+93

ISO92

K%85

Whiff%84

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Ronald Torreyes (age 18) · Jose Tabata (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+88

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .309 / .345

PA122

HR2

K%23

BB%9

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$77M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$27M		$37M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	185	64	11	2	10	37	32	3	19	4	346	462	589	1.051	243	370	14	16	453	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	197	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	208	307	330	637	122	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	197	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	208	307	330	637	122	231	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	185	64	11	2	10	37	32	3	19	4	346	462	589	1.051	243	370	14	16	453	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	198	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	207	307	328	635	121	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	228	198	41	7	1	5	25	39	3	19	4	207	307	328	635	121	228	17	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	338	303	72	12	3	5	29	78	3	8	1	239	312	348	660	110	301	23	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	172	153	37	6	1	3	15	39	2	4	1	242	316	359	675	117	302	23	9	304	92	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	294	262	64	11	2	6	26	66	4	8	2	244	320	367	687	123	303	22	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	404	361	88	15	3	8	35	91	5	11	3	246	322	375	697	129	304	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	480	429	107	18	4	11	42	107	6	13	3	248	324	381	705	133	304	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	532	473	118	20	4	12	47	118	7	14	4	249	325	385	710	136	304	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	562	501	125	21	4	13	49	125	7	15	4	250	326	388	714	138	305	22	9	319	102	+2	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	580	517	130	22	4	14	51	129	7	15	4	250	326	389	716	139	305	22	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+6	+13	2.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	592	528	131	22	4	14	52	131	7	15	4	250	326	390	716	140	305	22	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+6	+13	2.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	590	526	131	22	4	14	52	132	7	15	4	249	325	387	713	138	305	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+6	+13	2.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	583	520	129	22	4	13	51	131	7	14	4	248	324	383	707	135	304	22	9	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	566	505	125	21	4	13	50	129	6	13	4	246	321	377	698	131	303	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	552	493	121	20	4	12	48	128	6	12	4	243	318	370	687	127	302	23	9	309	95	-3	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	71%	534	477	115	19	4	11	46	126	6	10	5	239	313	360	674	121	299	24	9	303	91	-6	+0	-3	+6	+12	0.9
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	68%	511	458	107	17	3	10	43	123	5	9	6	234	307	348	656	114	296	24	8	296	86	-8	-1	-4	+5	+11	0.4
2042	33	MLB MLE	—	73%	475	427	97	15	3	8	40	117	5	8	8	228	300	334	635	106	292	25	8	287	81	-11	-2	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	74	67	16	3	1	1	6	17	1	2	0	242	316	359	675	117	302	23	8	304	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	179	159	38	6	1	3	16	40	2	5	1	244	320	367	687	123	303	22	9	309	95	-1	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	275	246	60	10	2	6	24	62	3	7	2	246	322	375	697	129	304	23	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	341	304	77	13	3	8	30	76	4	9	2	248	324	381	705	133	304	22	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	385	343	85	14	3	9	34	86	5	10	3	249	325	385	710	136	304	22	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	402	359	89	15	3	9	35	89	5	10	3	250	326	388	714	138	305	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	413	369	92	15	3	10	36	92	5	11	3	250	326	389	716	139	305	22	9	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	420	375	94	16	3	10	37	93	5	11	3	250	326	390	716	140	305	22	9	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	410	366	91	15	3	10	36	92	5	10	3	249	325	387	713	138	305	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	401	358	89	15	3	9	35	90	5	9	3	248	324	383	707	135	304	22	9	316	100	+0	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	379	339	83	14	3	8	33	86	4	8	3	246	321	377	698	131	303	23	9	313	98	-1	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	363	324	79	13	2	8	32	84	4	8	3	243	318	370	687	127	302	23	9	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	71%	379	339	82	13	3	8	33	89	4	7	3	239	313	360	674	121	299	23	9	303	91	-4	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.7
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	68%	348	312	73	12	2	6	29	84	4	6	4	234	307	348	656	114	296	24	8	296	86	-6	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2042	33	MLB CTX	—	73%	344	309	71	11	2	6	29	85	3	6	6	228	300	334	635	106	292	25	8	287	81	-8	-1	-3	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5113	4569	1119	185	37	111	445	1165	59	119	42	245	320	374	694	130	304	23	9	312	96	-17	+7	-10	+55	+111	14.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	143	24	5	14	57	148	8	15	5	246	322	377	699	131	306	23	9	312	96	-2	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7777	6937	1692	282	54	169	682	1759	91	198	64	244	320	373	693	129	302	23	9	311	96	-27	+12	-15	+81	+164	21.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	142	24	5	14	57	147	8	17	5	245	321	376	697	131	303	23	9	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 228 PAwOBA .446 → .287 (−160)K% 14.0% → 17.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.04%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	11.05%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.700	—	—	0.92%
Singles /BIP	26.80%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.966	—	17.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.966	—	4.17%
Triples /BIP	1.31%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.966	—	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	6.54%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	3.07%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .446 → .287; ISO .243 → .130; BABIP .370 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Scott Fletcher'81-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,976 PA	9.0	5,976	34	99	258*	330*	357*	+42	+40	17.2	18.2
/162	664	4	11	+4.6	+4.5	1.9	pk7: 19
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.9	5,236	113	121	246	317	376	+56	+33	18.8	15.5
/162	664	14	15	+7.1	+4.2	2.4	pk7: 12
#4Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#5Greg Gagne'83-'97 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,207 PA	9.3	6,207	111	108	249*	297*	394*	+65	+26	13.2	13.0
/162	664	12	12	+6.9	+2.8	1.4	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leanders Matos (OGILVIE)	18	60→65	43→48	57→62	65	236/309/345	109	301	2	3	23%	9%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	57→59	42→45	52→50	47	268/318/394	126	285	6	14	9%	4%	101	+1.4	271/315/368	97	293	5	11	9%	4%	94	+0.9	271/315/361	90	292	4	9	8%	4%	89	+0.4
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→54	43→60	51→55	43	237/286/361	125	297	8	12	23%	6%	82	-0.0	245/290/348	103	287	6	12	16%	5%	80	-0.2	243/299/456	214	281	25	12	23%	5%	111	+1.2
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4

Leanders Matos

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps