Sebastian Puche

C DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#550ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	169	.306/.479/.435	3	4	77	—	.194/.345/.269
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBPIT	279	.232/.318/.316	3	3	83	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPIT	48	.236/.322/.327	1	1	88	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPIT	120	.238/.326/.338	2	1	92	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%97

Z-Con%94

wOBA87

Chase%85

BB%81

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsMichael Arroyo (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18) · Alfredo Duno (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .315 / .313

PA87

HR1

K%20

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$55M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$26M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	124	38	7	0	3	34	13	7	4	0	306	479	435	914	129	312	8	20	411	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	134	26	4	0	2	24	16	7	4	0	194	345	269	614	75	195	9	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	134	26	4	0	2	24	16	7	4	0	194	345	269	614	75	200	9	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	124	38	7	0	3	34	13	7	4	0	306	479	435	914	129	312	8	20	411	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	136	26	4	0	2	24	16	7	4	0	191	345	265	610	74	195	9	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	169	136	26	4	0	2	24	16	7	4	0	191	345	265	610	74	195	9	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	279	246	58	10	2	3	26	56	5	3	1	232	318	316	634	84	287	20	9	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	141	124	30	5	1	2	13	28	3	2	1	236	322	329	651	93	289	20	9	298	88	-2	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	247	217	51	9	1	3	23	49	5	3	1	239	326	340	666	101	291	20	9	304	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	369	324	78	13	2	6	35	74	7	4	2	241	328	350	678	108	292	20	9	308	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	96	16	3	8	42	89	8	5	2	243	330	358	688	115	293	20	9	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	445	392	96	16	2	9	42	89	8	5	2	245	331	365	696	120	294	20	9	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	97	16	3	9	42	89	8	5	2	246	332	369	701	122	295	20	9	317	100	+0	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	96	16	2	9	42	89	8	5	2	247	332	371	704	124	295	20	9	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	445	392	96	16	2	9	42	89	8	5	2	247	333	373	705	126	294	20	9	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	445	392	95	16	2	9	42	89	8	5	3	246	331	370	701	124	294	20	9	317	101	+0	-0	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	445	392	95	16	2	9	42	90	8	4	3	244	329	365	694	121	293	20	9	314	99	-1	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	445	392	95	16	2	9	42	92	8	4	4	241	327	358	685	117	291	21	9	310	96	-2	-1	-1	+8	+10	1.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	445	392	93	15	2	8	42	93	8	4	5	238	323	350	673	112	290	21	9	306	93	-4	-1	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	426	377	87	14	2	7	39	91	7	3	13	234	318	340	658	106	286	21	9	299	89	-6	-5	-3	+8	+9	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	407	361	82	13	2	6	37	89	6	3	56	228	312	327	639	99	282	22	9	292	84	-8	-22	-4	+7	+9	-1.8
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	48	42	10	2	0	1	5	10	1	1	0	236	322	327	649	91	290	21	10	297	88	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	120	106	25	4	1	2	11	24	2	1	1	238	326	338	663	99	291	20	9	303	92	-1	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	200	175	42	7	1	3	19	40	4	2	1	241	328	347	675	106	292	20	10	307	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	221	53	9	1	4	24	50	5	3	1	243	329	355	684	112	293	20	10	310	97	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	256	225	55	10	1	5	24	51	5	3	1	244	330	361	691	117	294	20	9	313	99	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	254	223	55	10	1	5	24	51	5	3	1	246	331	365	696	119	295	20	9	315	100	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	221	55	10	1	5	24	50	5	3	1	246	332	367	699	121	295	20	10	316	101	+0	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	269	237	57	10	1	5	25	54	5	3	1	246	332	368	700	122	295	20	9	316	102	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	277	244	59	11	1	5	26	56	5	3	2	245	331	366	696	121	294	20	9	315	101	+0	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	282	248	60	11	1	5	27	57	5	3	2	243	329	361	690	118	293	20	10	312	99	-0	-0	-0	+5	+6	1.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	289	255	61	11	1	5	27	60	5	3	2	241	326	355	680	114	292	21	9	309	96	-1	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	289	255	60	10	1	5	27	60	5	3	3	237	322	347	669	109	290	21	9	304	93	-2	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	277	244	57	10	1	4	26	59	5	2	8	233	317	337	654	104	287	21	9	298	89	-4	-3	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	265	235	53	9	1	4	24	58	4	2	36	228	311	324	635	97	283	22	9	290	84	-5	-14	-2	+5	+6	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3330	2931	702	124	13	58	313	680	61	35	60	240	326	350	676	111	292	20	9	308	95	-16	-17	-7	+59	+72	9.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	137	24	3	11	61	133	12	7	12	240	326	350	675	110	292	20	9	308	95	-3	-3	-1	+12	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5851	5143	1231	204	28	106	557	1173	108	62	98	239	326	352	678	112	289	20	10	309	95	-29	-28	-10	+101	+123	16.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	137	23	3	12	62	130	12	7	11	240	327	354	680	114	289	20	10	309	95	-3	-3	-1	+12	+14	1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 169 PAwOBA .411 → .282 (−129)K% 7.7% → 9.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.69%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	9.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.12%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	14.08%
HBP% /PA	4.14%	—	×0.700	—	—	2.90%
Singles /BIP	25.23%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	—	16.30%
Doubles /BIP	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	—	3.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	1.27%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .411 → .282; ISO .129 → .074; BABIP .312 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Johnny Edwards'61-'74 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,132 PA	7.7	5,132	81	15	240*	313*	380*	+92	+0	16.7	16.2
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 16
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Omar Narváezlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,298 PA	3.5	2,298	53	0	251	334	374	+41	+15	12.6	12.9
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+4.3	3.6	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.1	3,417	63	34	242	324	358	+61	+36	12.1	10.4
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+7.0	2.3	pk7: 9
#4Dave Rader'71-'80 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,702 PA	4.1	2,702	30	8	254*	323*	380*	+47	+0	9.3	9.4
/162	664	7	2	+11.5	+0.0	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#6Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Puche (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	230/315/313	83	287	1	1	20%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
●Franklin Arias 2024 · A	18	48→58	37→50	46→50	52	223/290/295	72	258	3	6	15%	8%	68	-1.0	246/303/362	116	293	11	14	19%	7%	88	+0.5	260/316/394	134	300	15	13	18%	6%	99	+1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Virahonda 2024 · A	18	43	38→55	44→45	42	202/279/289	86	248	3	7	19%	4%	64	-1.3	190/275/279	89	238	7	5	22%	6%	61	-1.5	195/286/306	111	240	12	4	23%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	48→58	39→50	47→60	47	231/294/314	84	293	7	9	23%	7%	74	-0.5	241/292/319	78	321	4	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Demetrio Crisantes 2024 · A	19	48→58	38→50	46→55	43	227/284/313	85	310	5	7	27%	6%	70	-0.9	250/317/366	116	315	9	13	22%	8%	95	+0.9	258/328/389	130	318	10	12	21%	8%	102	+0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	44→54	40→50	49→55	52	205/271/295	90	227	7	11	13%	7%	61	-1.5	247/289/338	91	288	5	16	15%	5%	77	-0.3	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	48→58	37→40	45→50	52	224/309/297	73	285	4	5	21%	9%	76	-0.4	212/273/299	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	63	-1.4	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5

Sebastian Puche

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps