Player 837800 — OGILVIE

Player 8378001B DSL CLE Mendoza

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .304 / .250

PA23

HR0

K%22

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	PIT	—	169	137	32	5	0	3	21	19	7	4	0	234	364	336	699	102	244	11	12	313	98	-0	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	PIT	—	169	124	38	7	0	3	34	13	7	4	0	306	479	435	914	129	312	8	20	411	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	23	20	4	1	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	200	304	250	554	50	275	22	9	298	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	PIT	—	192	157	36	6	0	3	23	24	8	4	0	229	356	325	681	96	246	12	12	311	97	-1	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	299	261	60	10	1	5	30	59	6	3	1	230	323	333	657	103	277	20	10	301	90	-4	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	398	348	81	14	2	7	40	80	7	4	1	233	324	345	669	112	278	20	10	304	92	-4	+0	+0	-7	+9	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	464	406	94	16	2	9	46	94	9	5	1	232	323	347	671	116	279	20	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	509	445	104	18	2	10	50	103	9	6	1	234	323	351	674	117	279	20	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	540	471	110	19	2	11	54	109	10	6	1	234	325	352	678	119	279	20	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	562	491	115	20	2	12	56	114	10	6	1	234	325	356	681	122	278	20	10	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	579	505	118	20	2	13	58	117	11	6	1	234	326	358	684	125	278	20	10	310	96	-3	+1	+0	-10	+13	0.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	591	516	121	21	2	13	59	119	11	6	1	234	326	359	684	124	278	20	10	311	96	-2	+1	+0	-11	+13	0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	283	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	286	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	277	—	—	288	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	277	—	—	290	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	277	—	—	291	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	291	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	292	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	276	—	—	293	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3965	3463	807	139	15	80	395	800	74	42	8	233	325	351	676	118	279	20	10	307	94	-27	+5	+0	-71	+86	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	132	23	2	13	65	131	12	7	1	232	324	349	673	116	279	20	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	-12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA	6.9	4,561	93	67	242	345	374	-49	-62	5.0	6.1
/162	664	14	10	-7.1	-9.0	0.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,239	83	47	234	321	351	-48	+0	4.8	4.8
/162	664	13	7	-7.4	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	5.1	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
/162	664	14	3	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837800 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	225/322/319	94	275	4	4	20%	10%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45	40→45	46→45	43	218/284/316	97	290	7	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	240/299/378	138	295	14	8	23%	5%	91	+0.7	245/306/391	146	298	14	8	22%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	252/301/349	97	306	6	17	19%	6%	84	+0.2	269/312/404	135	308	11	10	16%	4%	98	+0.6
●Jonah Bride 2021 · A	25	46→50	42→50	50→45	42	221/289/326	105	298	10	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	233/325/361	128	282	13	5	21%	10%	98	+1.2	244/343/391	147	285	16	3	19%	11%	108	+1.5
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	80	-0.2	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	74	-0.5	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	44	-0.5
✕Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	50→53	43→50	50→45	49	240/306/359	118	301	10	8	23%	8%	89	+0.5	247/306/393	146	295	16	6	21%	8%	97	+1.1	251/312/408	157	293	18	4	20%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/311	100	285	6	9	26%	9%	77	-0.3	201/281/287	86	292	5	8	30%	9%	64	-1.3	170/256/245	75	258	4	4	32%	9%	45	-1.7
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	217/317/303	86	303	6	5	28%	12%	82	-0.0	233/307/370	137	297	13	4	24%	9%	92	+0.7	233/310/379	146	292	14	2	24%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	44→42	43→50	46→55	43	213/280/332	119	287	10	10	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/300/374	151	295	16	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→43	41→45	46→45	46	215/278/318	103	271	8	7	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/283/336	114	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/341	121	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Daniel Pinero 2019 · A	25	47→48	40→45	48→40	48	223/290/320	97	280	7	5	22%	8%	74	-0.5	207/274/322	115	274	10	6	27%	7%	69	-0.9	184/253/305	121	241	13	5	28%	7%	55	-1.5
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	42	41→50	49→45	39	203/271/309	106	277	8	7	28%	5%	65	-1.2	201/257/280	79	289	4	6	30%	5%	53	-2.1	174/223/233	60	252	0	2	29%	3%	26	-1.0
✕Cooper Hummel 2019 · A	24	41→49	42→50	45→55	48	197/289/301	104	281	9	5	31%	10%	71	-0.8	217/310/353	136	291	14	6	28%	10%	91	+0.6	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	45	41→45	49→50	43	214/281/315	100	289	7	9	27%	7%	70	-0.8	216/277/320	104	301	9	13	30%	6%	70	-0.9	212/269/314	102	298	10	17	31%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Jeff McVaney 2015 · A	25	45→52	42→45	48→50	43	220/278/331	111	275	8	10	23%	6%	72	-0.7	225/292/322	97	279	6	13	20%	6%	76	-0.4	223/294/313	90	275	5	13	19%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Jeremy Barnes 2012 · A	25	47→54	41→45	41→45	43	224/278/329	105	297	7	4	26%	6%	72	-0.7	206/263/288	82	287	6	5	28%	6%	57	-1.8	152/216/169	17	222	0	0	29%	7%	11	-1.4
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	45	41→45	49→40	41	220/263/323	103	284	8	5	25%	5%	64	-1.3	225/268/335	110	288	11	7	25%	5%	70	-0.9	224/262/330	106	280	12	5	24%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2016 · AA	25	49→53	41→45	48→45	49	235/302/335	101	300	8	7	23%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/310	83	295	7	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	228/280/335	107	286	12	6	24%	6%	70	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps